Travis John Berge : Citation Profile


Are you Travis John Berge?

Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

7

H index

4

i10 index

185

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

11

Articles

13

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   10 years (2009 - 2019). See details.
   Cites by year: 18
   Journals where Travis John Berge has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 69.    Total self citations: 7 (3.65 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pbe546
   Updated: 2020-07-04    RAS profile: 2019-03-31    
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Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Travis John Berge.

Is cited by:

Pierdzioch, Christian (14)

Fritsche, Ulrich (7)

GUPTA, RANGAN (7)

Nyberg, Henri (6)

Guérin, Pierre (5)

Pönkä, Harri (5)

Lahiri, Kajal (5)

Leiva-Leon, Danilo (5)

Martínez García, Enrique (4)

Drehmann, Mathias (4)

Ribeiro, Pinho (4)

Cites to:

Diebold, Francis (8)

Kose, Ayhan (8)

Rudebusch, Glenn (7)

Watson, Mark (7)

Otrok, Christopher (7)

Hamilton, James (6)

Jorda, Oscar (6)

Stock, James (6)

Prasad, Eswar (6)

Mazumder, Sandeep (4)

Rossi, Barbara (4)

Main data


Where Travis John Berge has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
Economic Review2
FRBSF Economic Letter2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Research Working Paper / Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City4
Finance and Economics Discussion Series / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)3
Working Papers / University of California, Davis, Department of Economics2

Recent works citing Travis John Berge (2019 and 2018)


YearTitle of citing document
2017Credit Booms in Commodity Exporters. (2017). Saldarriaga, Miguel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:apc:wpaper:2017-098.

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2019Optimal FX Hedge Tenor with Liquidity Risk. (2019). Loeper, Gregoire ; Aarons, Mark ; Zhang, Rongju. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1903.06346.

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2020Machine Learning Algorithms for Financial Asset Price Forecasting. (2020). Ndikum, Philip. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2004.01504.

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2020Loss Rate Forecasting Framework Based on Macroeconomic Changes: Application to US Credit Card Industry. (2020). Handfield, Robert B ; Lengacher, David C ; Taghiyeh, Sajjad. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2006.07911.

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2020External Monetary Constraints Imposed by Developed Economies on Developing Economies: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan. (2020). Jamil, Zartaj ; Zahra, Hafiza Sadaf ; Younas, Muhammad Zeeshan ; Rizwan, Muhammad Ali. In: Asian Development Policy Review. RePEc:asi:adprev:2020:p:7-29.

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2019Does the Cost of Private Debt Respond to Monetary Policy? Heteroskedasticity-Based Identification in a Model with Regimes. (2019). Guidolin, Massimo ; Pedio, Manuela. In: BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers. RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp19118.

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2017Model averaging in markov-switching models: predicting national recessions with regional data. (2017). Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; Guérin, Pierre. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bde:wpaper:1727.

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2018The financial cycle and recession risk. (2018). BORIO, Claudio ; Xia, Dora ; Drehmann, Mathias. In: BIS Quarterly Review. RePEc:bis:bisqtr:1812g.

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2019Predicting recessions: financial cycle versus term spread. (2019). Author, Dora Xia ; Drehmann, Mathias ; Borio, Claudio. In: BIS Working Papers. RePEc:bis:biswps:818.

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2017Residential investment and recession predictability. (2017). Herstad, Eyo ; Anundsen, Andre ; Aastveit, Knut Are. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bny:wpaper:0057.

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2018Business cycle narratives. (2018). Thorsrud, Leif ; Larsen, Vegard. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bny:wpaper:0064.

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2019Does Business Confidence Matter for Investment?. (2019). Khan, Hashmat ; Upadhayaya, Santosh. In: Carleton Economic Papers. RePEc:car:carecp:17-13.

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2019Business Cycle Narratives. (2019). Thorsrud, Leif ; Larsen, Vegard. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7468.

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2018Households’ Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: Survey Evidence from New Zealand. (2018). Neumeier, Florian ; Hayo, Bernd. In: ifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ifowps:_255.

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2018The Slope of the Term Structure and Recessions: The Pre-Fed Evidence, 1857-1913. (2018). Stuart, Rebecca ; Gerlach, Stefan. In: CEPR Discussion Papers. RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13013.

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2019Revisiting the Economic Crisis after a Decade: Statistical and Machine Learning Perspectives. (2019). Kong, Jooan ; Shin, Hee Eun ; Zhang, Jingqian ; Yu, Jiayan. In: Economics and Applied Informatics. RePEc:ddj:fseeai:y:2019:i:2:p:14-19.

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2018Macro Aspects of Housing. (2018). Ng, Joe Cho Yiu ; Leung, Charles ; Yiu, Joe Cho. In: ISER Discussion Paper. RePEc:dpr:wpaper:1030.

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2017Modelling and Forecasting Recessions in Oil-exporting Countries: The Case of Iran. (2017). Fattahi, Shahram ; Mehrabi, Fatemeh ; Monkaresi, Hamed ; Sohaili, Kiomars . In: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-03-75.

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2017Model averaging in Markov-switching models: Predicting national recessions with regional data. (2017). Leiva-Leon, Danilo ; Guérin, Pierre ; Guerin, Pierre . In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:157:y:2017:i:c:p:45-49.

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2019Structural changes in large economic datasets: A nonparametric homogeneity test. (2019). Costola, Michele ; Casarin, Roberto. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:176:y:2019:i:c:p:55-59.

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2018Market timing over the business cycle. (2018). Sander, Magnus . In: Journal of Empirical Finance. RePEc:eee:empfin:v:46:y:2018:i:c:p:130-145.

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2019Forecasting the sign of U.S. oil and gas industry stock index excess returns employing macroeconomic variables. (2019). Kemp, Alexander ; Liu, Jingzhen. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:81:y:2019:i:c:p:672-686.

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2018A top-down approach to identifying bull and bear market states. (2018). Hanna, Alan J. In: International Review of Financial Analysis. RePEc:eee:finana:v:55:y:2018:i:c:p:93-110.

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2017Dating systemic financial stress episodes in the EU countries. (2017). Peltonen, Tuomas ; Klaus, Benjamin ; Duprey, Thibaut. In: Journal of Financial Stability. RePEc:eee:finsta:v:32:y:2017:i:c:p:30-56.

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2017Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization. (2017). Piger, Jeremy ; Giusto, Andrea. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:1:p:174-184.

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2017Predicting recessions with boosted regression trees. (2017). Pierdzioch, Christian ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Dopke, Jorg. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:745-759.

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2018Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time. (2018). Camacho, Maximo ; Poncela, Pilar ; Perez-Quiros, Gabriel. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:4:p:598-611.

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2019Recession forecasting using Bayesian classification. (2019). Hall, Aaron Smalter ; Davig, Troy. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:848-867.

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2019Residential investment and recession predictability. (2019). Herstad, Eyo I ; Anundsen, Andre K ; Aastveit, Knut Are. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:1790-1799.

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2020Improved recession dating using stock market volatility. (2020). Startz, Richard ; Huang, Yu-Fan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:2:p:507-514.

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2019Ambiguity in securitization markets. (2019). Anderson, Alyssa Gray. In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:102:y:2019:i:c:p:231-255.

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2020Spread the Word: International spillovers from central bank communication. (2020). Bertsch, Christoph ; Armelius, Hanna ; Zhang, Xin ; Hull, Isaiah. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:103:y:2020:i:c:s0261560619302967.

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2019Forecasting recessions with time-varying models. (2019). Hwang, Youngjin. In: Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:62:y:2019:i:c:s0164070419300758.

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2018Predicting economic growth with stock networks. (2018). Heiberger, Raphael H. In: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:489:y:2018:i:c:p:102-111.

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2019Negative house price co-movements and US recessions. (2019). Eriksen, Jonas ; Christiansen, Charlotte ; Moller, Stig V. In: Regional Science and Urban Economics. RePEc:eee:regeco:v:77:y:2019:i:c:p:382-394.

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2020Do bond markets find inflation targets credible? Evidence from five inflation-targeting countries. (2020). Ka, Kook ; Ho, Kyu ; Kim, Young Min. In: International Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:eee:reveco:v:67:y:2020:i:c:p:66-84.

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2018Learning from history: volatility and financial crises. (2018). Danielsson, Jon ; Zer, Ilknur ; Valenzuela, Marcela. In: LSE Research Online Documents on Economics. RePEc:ehl:lserod:91136.

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2018Macro Aspects of Housing. (2018). Ng, Joe Cho Yiu ; Leung, Charles. In: Globalization Institute Working Papers. RePEc:fip:feddgw:340.

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2017Calibrating Macroprudential Policy to Forecasts of Financial Stability. (2017). Lopez, Jose ; Brave, Scott. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:fip:fedfwp:2017-17.

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2019Binary Conditional Forecasts. (2019). Owyang, Michael ; McCracken, Michael ; McGillicuddy, Joseph. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2019-029.

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2020Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered. (2020). Taylor, Alan ; Schularick, Moritz ; Jorda, Oscar. In: Staff Reports. RePEc:fip:fednsr:87987.

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2018ARE CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATIONS AN INTERNATIONAL PHENOMENON? Results of spatial panel regressions models. (2018). Širaňová, Mária ; Tura-Gawron, Karolina ; Fisikowski, Karol ; Siranova, Maria. In: GUT FME Working Paper Series A. RePEc:gdk:wpaper:50.

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2020What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy?. (2020). Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Sinclair, Tara M ; Burgi, Constantin. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-001.

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2018Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany. (2018). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Muller, Karsten ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201803.

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2019On the Directional Accuracy of United States Housing Starts Forecasts: Evidence from Survey Data. (2019). Meyer, Tim. In: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:58:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11146-017-9637-9.

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2018A Tale of Two Cities: An Examination of Medallion Prices in New York and Chicago. (2018). Bagchi, Sutirtha . In: Review of Industrial Organization. RePEc:kap:revind:v:53:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s11151-018-9612-5.

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2019Tech on the ROC: A New Way of Looking at Exporting Firms. (2019). Costa, Stefano ; Zurlo, Davide ; Vicarelli, Claudio ; Sallusti, Federico . In: Working Papers LuissLab. RePEc:lui:lleewp:19152.

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2018Households’ Inflation Perceptions and Expectations: Survey Evidence from New Zealand. (2018). Neumeier, Florian ; Hayo, Bernd. In: MAGKS Papers on Economics. RePEc:mar:magkse:201805.

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2018Forecasting Deflation Probability in the EA: A Combinatoric Approach. (2018). Brugnolini, Luca. In: CBM Working Papers. RePEc:mlt:wpaper:0118.

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2019Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield curve. (2019). van Nieuwenhuyze, CH ; Deroose, M ; de Backer, B. In: Economic Review. RePEc:nbb:ecrart:y:2019:m:june:i:i:p:69-93.

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2020Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered. (2020). Taylor, Alan ; Jorda, Oscar ; Schularick, Moritz. In: NBER Working Papers. RePEc:nbr:nberwo:26962.

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2017Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter. (2017). Wong, Benjamin ; Morley, James ; Kamber, Gunes. In: Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series. RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:2017/1.

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2018Forecasting the state of the Finnish business cycle. (2018). Pönkä, Harri ; Stenborg, Markku. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:91226.

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2018Macro Aspects of Housing. (2018). Yiu, Joe Cho ; Ka, Charles. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:93512.

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2020Monetary policy implications of the COVID-19 outbreak, the social pandemic. (2020). Dupont, Genevieve ; Roedl, Marianne. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:99981.

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2017Uncertainty and Forecasts of U.S. Recessions. (2017). Pierdzioch, Christian ; GUPTA, RANGAN. In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:201732.

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2018Forecasting Changes of Economic Inequality: A Boosting Approach. (2018). Pierdzioch, Christian ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Silva, Emmanuel ; Hassani, Hossein. In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:201868.

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2018Credit Booms in Commodity Exporters. (2018). Saldarriaga, Miguel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:rbp:wpaper:2018-008.

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2018Macroeconomic Impacts of External Shocks on Economy:Recursive Vector Autoregressive (RVAR) Analysis. (2018). Khan, Muhammad Arshad ; Younas, Muhammad Zeeshan. In: Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE). RePEc:rfh:bbejor:v:7:y:2018:i:4:p:169-184.

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2019Deviating from Perfect Foresight but not from Theoretical Consistency: The Behavior of Inflation Expectations in Brazil. (2019). Lima, Gilberto ; de Freitas, Leilane. In: Working Papers, Department of Economics. RePEc:spa:wpaper:2019wpecon36.

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2017Dating Cyclical Turning Points for Russia: Formal Methods and Informal Choices. (2017). Smirnov, Sergey V ; Petronevich, Anna V ; Kondrashov, Nikolay V. In: Journal of Business Cycle Research. RePEc:spr:jbuscr:v:13:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s41549-017-0014-9.

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2019Tech on the ROC: Export Threshold and Technology Adoption Interacted. (2019). vicarelli, claudio ; Costa, Stefano ; Zurlo, Davide ; Sallusti, Federico. In: LEM Papers Series. RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2019/38.

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2017Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter. (2017). Wong, Benjamin ; Morley, James ; Kamber, Gunes. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:swe:wpaper:2016-09a.

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2018Confidence Bands for ROC Curves With Serially Dependent Data. (2018). Lahiri, Kajal ; Yang, Liu. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. RePEc:taf:jnlbes:v:36:y:2018:i:1:p:115-130.

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2019Recession Prediction with OptimalUse of Leading Indicators. (2019). Kauppi, Heikki. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:tkk:dpaper:dp125.

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2019Bubbles and crises: Replicating the Anundsen et al. (2016) results. (2019). Fu, Bowen. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. RePEc:wly:japmet:v:34:y:2019:i:5:p:822-826.

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2018Forecasting US interest rates and business cycle with a nonlinear regime switching VAR model. (2018). Nyberg, Henri. In: Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:wly:jforec:v:37:y:2018:i:1:p:1-15.

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2019Divisia monetary aggregates for a heterogeneous euro area. (2019). Nautz, Dieter ; Sieckmann, Lea ; Brill, Maximilian . In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:zbw:fubsbe:20199.

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2020On Recessive and Expansionary Impact of Financial Development: Empirical Evidence. (2020). NGUENA, Christian ; Kodila-Tedika, Oasis. In: GLO Discussion Paper Series. RePEc:zbw:glodps:555.

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Works by Travis John Berge:


YearTitleTypeCited
2011Evaluating the Classification of Economic Activity into Recessions and Expansions In: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics.
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article103
2010A Chronology of International Business Cycles Through Non-parametric Decoding In: Working Papers.
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paper5
2010A chronology of international business cycles through non-parametric decoding.(2010) In: Research Working Paper.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 5
paper
2009The Classification of Economic Activity into Expansions and Recessions In: Working Papers.
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paper0
2018Understanding survey-based inflation expectations In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article7
2017Understanding Survey Based Inflation Expectations.(2017) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 7
paper
2010Future recession risks In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
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article1
2011Future recession risks: an update In: FRBSF Economic Letter.
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article1
2011A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain 1850-2011 In: Working Paper Series.
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paper8
2011A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850-2011.(2011) In: Research Working Paper.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 8
paper
2013A chronology of turning points in economic activity: Spain, 1850–2011.(2013) In: SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 8
article
2019Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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paper0
2019Duration Dependence, Monetary Policy Asymmetries, and the Business Cycle In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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paper0
2016Which Market Indicators Best Forecast Recessions? In: FEDS Notes.
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paper1
2014Global effects of U.S. monetary policy: is unconventional policy different? In: Economic Review.
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article7
2012Has globalization increased the synchronicity of international business cycles? In: Economic Review.
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article6
2012Has globalization increased the synchronicity of international business cycles?.(2012) In: MPRA Paper.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 6
paper
2014The global impact of U.S. monetary policy In: Macro Bulletin.
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article1
2011Forecasting disconnected exchange rates In: Research Working Paper.
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paper10
2014FORECASTING DISCONNECTED EXCHANGE RATES.(2014) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 10
article
2013Predicting recessions with leading indicators: model averaging and selection over the business cycle In: Research Working Paper.
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paper25
2015Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection over the Business Cycle.(2015) In: Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 25
article
2010Currency Carry Trades In: NBER Chapters.
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chapter10
2010Currency Carry Trades.(2010) In: NBER Working Papers.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 10
paper
2011Currency Carry Trades.(2011) In: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 10
article

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