Pilar Poncela : Citation Profile

Are you Pilar Poncela?

European Commission (80% share)
Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (20% share)

9

H index

9

i10 index

185

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

28

Articles

22

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   21 years (1996 - 2017). See details.
   Cites by year: 8
   Journals where Pilar Poncela has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 56.    Total self citations: 16 (7.96 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/ppo612
   Updated: 2019-11-10    RAS profile: 2018-04-26    
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Relations with other researchers

Works with:

Perez Quiros, Gabriel (4)

Camacho, Maximo (4)

Ruiz, Esther (3)

Corona, Francisco (3)

Sánchez-Mangas, Rocío (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Pilar Poncela.

Is cited by:

Camacho, Maximo (7)

Bürgi, Constantin (6)

Carstensen, Kai (5)

Reif, Magnus (5)

Clements, Michael (5)

Wolters, Maik (5)

Martinez-Martin, Jaime (5)

Guérin, Pierre (5)

Marcellino, Massimiliano (5)

Bonham, Carl (4)

Smith, Paul (4)

Cites to:

Reichlin, Lucrezia (39)

Bai, Jushan (29)

Watson, Mark (28)

Ng, Serena (27)

Forni, Mario (27)

Lippi, Marco (24)

Giannone, Domenico (23)

Perez Quiros, Gabriel (23)

Hallin, Marc (19)

Camacho, Maximo (17)

Diebold, Francis (16)

Main data

Where Pilar Poncela has published?

Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting7
Empirical Economics3
Statistics & Probability Letters2
Revista CEPAL2
Applied Economics2
Journal of Applied Econometrics2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS / Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística12
Working Papers / Banco de Espaa4

Recent works citing Pilar Poncela (2018 and 2017)

YearTitle of citing document
2018Nowcasting Canadian Economic Activity in an Uncertain Environment. (2018). Chernis, Tony ; Sekkel, Rodrigo. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:bca:bocadp:18-9.

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2017Monetary policy shocks and the dynamics of agricultural commodity prices: evidence from structural and factor†augmented VAR analyses. (2017). Rafayet, MD ; Gilbert, Scott. In: Agricultural Economics. RePEc:bla:agecon:v:48:y:2017:i:1:p:15-27.

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2018The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance. (2018). Morley, James. In: The Economic Record. RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:94:y:2018:i:306:p:338-340.

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2017Should one follow movements in the oil price or in money supply? Forecasting quarterly GDP growth in Russia with higher-frequency indicators. (2017). Solanko, Laura ; Mikosch, Heiner. In: BOFIT Discussion Papers. RePEc:bof:bofitp:2017_019.

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2018What is the Spillover Effect of the U.S. Equity and Money Market on the Key Latin American Agricultural Exports?. (2018). Andres, Giron ; Victor, Giron ; Eduardo, Giron Luis ; Paola, Sierra Lya. In: Global Economy Journal. RePEc:bpj:glecon:v:18:y:2018:i:4:p:9:n:4.

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2017Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle. (2017). Wolters, Maik ; Reif, Magnus ; Carstensen, Kai ; Heinrich, Markus . In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_6457.

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2017Efectos diferenciales de la tasa de cambio real sobre el comercio internacional en Colombia. (2017). Torres García, Alejandro ; Goda, Thomas ; Villanueva, Adriana Romero ; Gonzalez, Santiago Sanchez ; Garcia, Alejandro Torres. In: DOCUMENTOS DE TRABAJO CIEF. RePEc:col:000122:015662.

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2017La construcción de indicadores de la actividad económica: una revisión bibliográfica. (2017). Vidal Alejandro, Pavel ; Collazos-Rodriguez, Jaime ; Vidal-Alejandro, Pavel ; Sanabria-Dominguez, Johana ; Sierra, Lya Paola. In: REVISTA APUNTES DEL CENES. RePEc:col:000152:015779.

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2017Accurate Subsampling Intervals of Principal Components Factors. (2017). Ruiz, Esther ; de Vicente, Javier . In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:23974.

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2017Electricity prices forecasting by averaging dynamic factor models. (2017). Garcia-Martos, Carolina ; Bastos, Guadalupe ; Alonso, Andres Modesto . In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:24028.

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2017Has Financialization in Commodity Markets Affected the Predictability in Metal Markets? The Efficient Markets Hypotheses for Metal Returns. (2017). Sierra, Lya Paola ; Osorio, Carolina ; Giron, Luis Eduardo. In: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-04-03.

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2017Forecasting in a Mixed Up World: Nowcasting Hawaii Tourism. (2017). Fuleky, Peter ; Bonham, Carl ; Jones, James ; Hirashima, Ashley . In: Annals of Tourism Research. RePEc:eee:anture:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:191-202.

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2017A data-driven multi-model methodology with deep feature selection for short-term wind forecasting. (2017). Feng, Cong ; Zhang, Jie ; Hodge, Bri-Mathias ; Cui, Mingjian. In: Applied Energy. RePEc:eee:appene:v:190:y:2017:i:c:p:1245-1257.

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2019Modeling wind power investments, policies and social benefits for deregulated electricity market – A review. (2019). Iniyan, S ; Chinmoy, Lakshmi ; Goic, Ranko. In: Applied Energy. RePEc:eee:appene:v:242:y:2019:i:c:p:364-377.

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2017Identifying business cycle turning points in real time with vector quantization. (2017). Piger, Jeremy ; Giusto, Andrea. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:1:p:174-184.

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2017Forecasting inflation: Phillips curve effects on services price measures. (2017). Zaman, Saeed ; Tallman, Ellis. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:442-457.

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2017Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations. (2017). Scheufele, Rolf ; Kaufmann, Daniel. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:878-893.

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2018Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time. (2018). Camacho, Maximo ; Poncela, Pilar ; Perez-Quiros, Gabriel. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:4:p:598-611.

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2019Google data in bridge equation models for German GDP. (2019). Gotz, Thomas B ; Knetsch, Thomas A. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:45-66.

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2017Short-term wind forecast of a data assimilation/weather forecasting system with wind turbine anemometer measurement assimilation. (2017). , William ; Haupt, Sue Ellen ; Wu, Yonghui ; Bourgeois, Alfred J ; Liu, Yubao . In: Renewable Energy. RePEc:eee:renene:v:107:y:2017:i:c:p:340-351.

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2017The new public transport pricing in Madrid Metropolitan Area: A welfare analysis. (2017). Burguillo, Mercedes ; Sanz-Sanz, Jose Felix ; Romero-Jordan, Desiderio. In: Research in Transportation Economics. RePEc:eee:retrec:v:62:y:2017:i:c:p:25-36.

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2018Assessing urban road safety through multidimensional indexes: Application of multicriteria decision making analysis to rank the Spanish provinces. (2018). Castro-Nuo, Mercedes ; Arevalo-Quijada, Teresa M. In: Transport Policy. RePEc:eee:trapol:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:118-129.

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2019From legislation to compliance: The power of traffic law enforcement for the case study of Spain. (2019). Pedregal, Diego J ; Lopez-Valpuesta, Lourdes ; Castro-Nuo, Mercedes ; Castillo-Manzano, Jose I. In: Transport Policy. RePEc:eee:trapol:v:75:y:2019:i:c:p:1-9.

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2019Dynamic specification tests for dynamic factor models. (2019). Sentana, Enrique ; Fiorentini, Gabriele. In: Econometrics Working Papers Archive. RePEc:fir:econom:wp2018_07.

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2018Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Low Redundancy Feature Selection. (2018). Huang, Nantian ; Lin, Lin ; Qi, Bin ; Yu, Zhiyong ; Cai, Guowei ; Xing, Enkai . In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:7:p:1638-:d:153983.

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2019Data-Driven Mitigation of Energy Scheduling Inaccuracy in Renewable-Penetrated Grids: Summerside Electric Use Case. (2019). Farrokhabadi, Mostafa. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:12:y:2019:i:12:p:2228-:d:238996.

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2019Dynamic Factor Models. (2019). Fuleky, Peter ; Doz, Catherine . In: Working Papers. RePEc:hae:wpaper:2019-4.

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2019Dynamic Factor Models. (2019). Fuleky, Peter ; Doz, Catherine . In: PSE Working Papers. RePEc:hal:psewpa:halshs-02262202.

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2019A Nationwide or Localized Housing Crisis? Evidence from Structural Instability in US Housing Price and Volume Cycles. (2019). Huang, Meichi. In: Computational Economics. RePEc:kap:compec:v:53:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s10614-018-9822-9.

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2017Do professional forecasters behave as if they believed in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve for the euro area?. (2017). Lopez-Perez, Victor . In: Empirica. RePEc:kap:empiri:v:44:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10663-016-9314-x.

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2019Some International Evidence on Double-Dip Recession. (2019). Maggs, Gary E ; Kyer, Ben L. In: International Advances in Economic Research. RePEc:kap:iaecre:v:25:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11294-019-09747-2.

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2017Entropy Econometrics for combining regional economic forecasts: A Data-Weighted Prior Estimator. (2017). Fernández Vázquez, Esteban ; Moreno, Blanca ; Fernandez-Vazquez, Esteban. In: Journal of Geographical Systems. RePEc:kap:jgeosy:v:19:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s10109-017-0259-9.

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2017Time Series Modeling of Inflation and its Volatility in Croatia. (2017). Bonjak, Mile ; Ivko, Igor. In: Notitia - journal for sustainable development. RePEc:noa:journl:y:2017:i:3:p:1-10.

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2017Smeed fs Law and the Role of Hospitals in Modeling Fatalities and Traffic Accidents. (2017). Fukushige, Mototsugu ; Lu, Yueh-Tzu . In: Discussion Papers in Economics and Business. RePEc:osk:wpaper:1722.

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2019Extracting global factors from local yield curves. (2019). Stagnol, Lauren. In: Journal of Asset Management. RePEc:pal:assmgt:v:20:y:2019:i:5:d:10.1057_s41260-019-00126-4.

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2017Beating the Simple Average: Egalitarian LASSO for Combining Economic Forecasts. (2017). Shin, Minchul ; Diebold, Francis X. In: PIER Working Paper Archive. RePEc:pen:papers:17-017.

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2017Nowcasting Slovak GDP by a Small Dynamic Factor Model. (2017). Tóth, Peter ; Toth, Peter . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:77245.

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2017Commodity Price Co-movement: Heterogeneity and the Time Varying Impact of Fundamentals. (2017). Xu, Bing ; Sakemoto, Ryuta ; Byrne, Joseph. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:80791.

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2018A fire department for the Euro area: reflections on a fiscal risk-sharing capacity. (2018). Gabrisch, Hubert. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:83965.

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2018A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects on Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy. (2018). Hartigan, Luke ; Morley, James. In: RBA Annual Conference Volume. RePEc:rba:rbaacv:acv2018-07.

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2018Machine Learning Macroeconometrics: A Primer. (2018). Korobilis, Dimitris. In: Working Paper series. RePEc:rim:rimwps:18-30.

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2017METHODS AND TECHNIQUES FOR PREPARING FORECASTS. (2017). Anghelache, Constantin ; Stoica, Radu ; Samson, Tudor ; Madalina - Gabriela Anghel, . In: Romanian Statistical Review Supplement. RePEc:rsr:supplm:v:65:y:2017:i:4:p:26-36.

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2018Temporal clustering of time series via threshold autoregressive models: application to commodity prices. (2018). Aslan, Sipan ; Iyigun, Cem ; Yozgatligil, Ceylan . In: Annals of Operations Research. RePEc:spr:annopr:v:260:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-017-2659-0.

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2019.

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2017The role of indicator selection in nowcasting euro-area GDP in pseudo-real time. (2017). Golinelli, Roberto ; Pappalardo, Carmine ; Girardi, Alessandro. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1151-z.

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2017A nonparametric approach to identifying a subset of forecasters that outperforms the simple average. (2017). Sinclair, Tara ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Burgi, Constantin . In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1152-y.

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2017Metals: resources or financial assets? A multivariate cross-sectional analysis. (2017). Lutzenberger, Fabian ; Rathgeber, Andreas W ; Stepanek, Christian ; Mayer, Herbert G ; Gleich, Benedikt . In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1162-9.

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2018Large Shocks and the Business Cycle: The Effect of Outlier Adjustments. (2018). Ohtsuka, Yoshihiro. In: Journal of Business Cycle Research. RePEc:spr:jbuscr:v:14:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s41549-018-0027-z.

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2017Macroeconomic Modelling and Bayesian Methods. (2017). Dua, Pami. In: Journal of Quantitative Economics. RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:15:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s40953-017-0077-4.

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2017A dynamic factor model for the Mexican economy: are common trends useful when predicting economic activity?. (2017). Corona, Francisco ; Orraca, Pedro ; Gonzalez-Farias, Graciela. In: Latin American Economic Review. RePEc:spr:laecrv:v:26:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s40503-017-0044-7.

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2019A Factor Model Analysis of the Australian Economy and the Effects of Inflation Targeting. (2019). Morley, James ; Hartigan, Luke. In: Working Papers. RePEc:syd:wpaper:2019-10.

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2017Business Cycle Dating and Forecasting with Real-time Swiss GDP Data. (2017). Wegmueller, Philipp ; Glocker, Christian ; Wegmuller, Philipp. In: WIFO Working Papers. RePEc:wfo:wpaper:y:2017:i:542.

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2018Contribution of the Austrian Governments Financial Market Interventions by HETA Asset Resolution AG to the Stabilisation of the Austrian Financial Market. (2018). Scheiblecker, Marcus ; Pekanov, Atanas ; Kaniovski, Serguei ; Glocker, Christian. In: WIFO Studies. RePEc:wfo:wstudy:60979.

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2017Google data in bridge equation models for German GDP. (2017). Knetsch, Thomas ; Götz, Thomas ; Gotz, Thomas B. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:zbw:bubdps:182017.

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2018Vor wichtigen wirtschaftspolitischen Weichenstellungen. Jahresgutachten 2018/19. (2018). . In: Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten. RePEc:zbw:svrwjg:201819.

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2017Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle. (2017). Wolters, Maik ; Reif, Magnus ; Carstensen, Kai ; Heinrich, Markus . In: Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking. RePEc:zbw:vfsc17:168206.

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Works by Pilar Poncela:

YearTitleTypeCited
2010Green shoots in the euro area. A real time measure In: Working Papers.
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2012Extracting non-linear signals from several economic indicators In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper14
2012Extracting nonlinear signals from several economic indicators.(2012) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 14		paper
2015Extracting Nonlinear Signals from Several Economic Indicators.(2015) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2012Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper20
2012Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time.(2012) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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2013Short-term forecasting for empirical economists. A survey of the recently proposed algorithms In: Working Papers.
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2013Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists: A Survey of the Recently Proposed Algorithms.(2013) In: Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics.
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1998Measuring Intervention Effects on Multiple Time Series Subjected to Linear Restrictions: A Banking Example. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
[Citation analysis]		article0
1997Measuring intervention effects on multiplie time series subjected to linear restrictions: A Banking Example.(1997) In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
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2012Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area. A Real Time Measure In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper13
2014Green shoots and double dips in the euro area: A real time measure.(2014) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1996Pooling information and forecasting with dynamic factor analysis In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2017Estimating non-stationary common factors : Implications for risk sharing In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
1997Data graduation based on statistical time series methods In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper3
2001Data graduation based on statistical time series methods.(2001) In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
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1997Eigenstructure of nonstationary factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
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2000Forecasting with nostationary dynamic factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper19
2004Forecasting with nonstationary dynamic factor models.(2004) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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2002Forecasting monthly us consumer price indexes through a disaggregated I(2) analysis In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper6
2012Sparse partial least squares in time series for macroeconomic forecasting In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper5
2015Sparse Partial Least Squares in Time Series for Macroeconomic Forecasting.(2015) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2012More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper3
2014Selecting and combining experts from survey forecasts In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper1
2015Small versus big-data factor extraction in Dynamic Factor Models: An empirical assessment In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
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2016Small- Versus Big-Data Factor Extraction in Dynamic Factor Models: An Empirical Assessment.(2016) In: Advances in Econometrics.
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2016Determining the number of factors after stationary univariate transformations In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
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2017Determining the number of factors after stationary univariate transformations.(2017) In: Empirical Economics.
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2014México: la combinación de las predicciones mensuales de inflación mediante encuestas In: Revista CEPAL.
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2014Mexico: Combining monthly inflation predictions from surveys In: Revista CEPAL.
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2013Automatic tuning of Kalman filters by maximum likelihood methods for wind energy forecasting In: Applied Energy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article11
2004Time series analysis by state space methods: J. Durbin and S.J. Koopman, Oxford Statistical Series 24, 2001, Oxford University Press, ISBN 0-19-852354-8, 254 pages, price: [UK pound]36.00 (hardback) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2005Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article8
2005Introduction to nonlinearities, business cycles, and forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article1
2006Forecasting traffic accidents using disaggregated data In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article3
2011Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article12
2011Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques.(2011) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2016Choosing a dynamic common factor as a coincident index In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
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2010Green Shoots? Where, when and how? In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2014Some New Results on the Estimation of Structural Budget Balance for Spain In: Hacienda Pública Española.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article4
2016Risk Sharing in Europe In: JRC Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper2
2002Forecasting European GNP Data through Common Factor Models and Other Procedures. In: Journal of Forecasting.
[Citation analysis]		article4
2017Automatic Signal Extraction for Stationary and Non-Stationary Time Series by Circulant SSA In: MPRA Paper.
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2017Long-term links between raw materials prices, real exchange rate and relative de-industrialization in a commodity-dependent economy: empirical evidence of “Dutch disease” in Colombia In: Empirical Economics.
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2017Measuring uncertainty and assessing its predictive power in the euro area In: Empirical Economics.
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2017A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data In: Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics.
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2006A two factor model to combine US inflation forecasts In: Applied Economics.
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2014Common dynamics of nonenergy commodity prices and their relation to uncertainty In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article7
2006Demand Forecast and Elasticities Estimation of Public Transport In: Journal of Transport Economics and Policy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article10
2007The relationship between road traffic accidents and real economic activity in Spain: common cycles and health issues In: Health Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article12
2014The Effects of Disaggregation on Forecasting Nonstationary Time Series In: Journal of Forecasting.
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