Herman O. Stekler : Citation Profile


Deceased: 2018-09-04

15

H index

22

i10 index

837

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

98

Articles

42

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   58 years (1960 - 2018). See details.
   Cites by year: 14
   Journals where Herman O. Stekler has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 100.    Total self citations: 59 (6.58 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
ABOUT THIS REPORT:

   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pst377
   Updated: 2019-09-14    RAS profile:    
   Missing citations? Add them    Incorrect content? Let us know

Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Sinclair, Tara (9)

Boulier, Bryan (2)

Zhao, Yongchen (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Herman O. Stekler.

Is cited by:

Ericsson, Neil (44)

Fritsche, Ulrich (29)

Dovern, Jonas (28)

Tsuchiya, Yoichi (25)

Bürgi, Constantin (21)

Sinclair, Tara (19)

Smirnov, Sergey (17)

Hendry, David (17)

Simionescu (Bratu), Mihaela (16)

Jannsen, Nils (14)

Döpke, Jörg (13)

Cites to:

Joutz, Fred (41)

Sinclair, Tara (35)

Lahiri, Kajal (33)

Romer, David (22)

Romer, Christina (20)

Peel, David (18)

Clements, Michael (18)

Orphanides, Athanasios (15)

Diebold, Francis (15)

Barot, Bharat (14)

Batchelor, Roy (14)

Main data


Where Herman O. Stekler has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting39
The Journal of Business7
Journal of Macroeconomics6
Economics Letters6
Economic Modelling3
Applied Economics3
American Economic Review2
Indian Economic Review2
Applied Economics Letters2
Business Economics2
Journal of Economic Methodology2
Economics Bulletin2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting29
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy6
Staff Studies / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)2

Recent works citing Herman O. Stekler (2019 and 2018)


YearTitle of citing document
2018Evaluating the USDA’s Net Farm Income Forecast. (2018). Kuethe, Todd ; Sanders, Dwight R ; Hubbs, Todd. In: Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics. RePEc:ags:jlaare:276505.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017“Let the data do the talking: Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations by means of genetic programming”. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: AQR Working Papers. RePEc:aqr:wpaper:201706.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: AQR Working Papers. RePEc:aqr:wpaper:201801.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Predicting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning Algorithms. (2017). ormerod, paul ; Nyman, Rickard. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1701.01428.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Dynamics between Oil Prices and UAE Effective Exchange Rates: An Empirical Examination. (2019). Abual-Foul, Bassam M ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:bap:journl:190207.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Evaluating the Bank of Canada Staff Economic Projections Using a New Database of Real-Time Data and Forecasts. (2018). Champagne, Julien ; Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Poulin-Bellisle, Guillaume. In: Staff Working Papers. RePEc:bca:bocawp:18-52.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Clustering and forecasting inflation expectations using the World Economic Survey: the case of the 2014 oil price shock on inflation targeting countries. (2017). Zarate-Solano, Hector ; Zapata-Sanabria, Daniel R. In: Borradores de Economia. RePEc:bdr:borrec:993.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages. (2018). Claessens, Stijn ; Kose, Ayhan M. In: BIS Papers. RePEc:bis:bisbps:95.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: BIS Working Papers. RePEc:bis:biswps:676.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018GDP growth forecasts and information flows: Is there evidence of overreactions?. (2018). Aromi, Daniel J. In: International Finance. RePEc:bla:intfin:v:21:y:2018:i:2:p:122-139.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities. (2019). Thorsrud, Leif ; Larsen, Vegard ; Zhulanova, Julia. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bny:wpaper:0075.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Monetary Policy Lessons from the Greenbook. (2018). Ireland, Peter ; Belongia, Michael. In: Boston College Working Papers in Economics. RePEc:boc:bocoec:955.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019High-Frequency Credit Spread Information and Macroeconomic Forecast Revision. (2019). Ka, Kook ; Ioannidis, Christos ; Deschamps, Bruno. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bok:wpaper:1917.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data. (2019). Wohlrabe, Klaus ; Lehmann, Robert ; Garnitz, Johanna. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7691.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: CEPR Discussion Papers. RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:12460.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections. (2019). Lambrias, Kyriacos ; Kontogeorgos, Georgios. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192291.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017A day late and a dollar short: The effect of policy uncertainty on fed forecast errors. (2017). Jones, Adam T ; Ogden, Richard E. In: Economic Analysis and Policy. RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:54:y:2017:i:c:p:112-122.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018How efficient are Chinas macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach. (2018). Sun, Yuying ; Zhang, Xun ; Wang, Shouyang. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:506-513.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests. (2018). Pierdzioch, Christian ; Behrens, Christoph ; Risse, Marian. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:72:y:2018:i:c:p:270-277.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Time-varying information rigidities and fluctuations in professional forecasters disagreement. (2018). Hur, Joonyoung. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:75:y:2018:i:c:p:117-131.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Oil prices and real exchange rates in the NAFTA region. (2019). Toledo, Hugo ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:48:y:2019:i:c:p:253-264.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Bias, rationality and asymmetric loss functions. (2017). Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Burgi, Constantin . In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:154:y:2017:i:c:p:113-116.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018The FOMC versus the staff, revisited: When do policymakers add value?. (2018). Binder, Carola ; Wetzel, Samantha. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:171:y:2018:i:c:p:72-75.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk. (2018). Goodwin, Paul ; Stekler, Herman O ; Onkal, Dilek. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:266:y:2018:i:1:p:238-246.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Improving prediction market forecasts by detecting and correcting possible over-reaction to price movements. (2019). Sung, Ming-Chien ; Cheah, Eng-Tuck ; Tai, Chung-Ching ; David, . In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:272:y:2019:i:1:p:389-405.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?. (2017). Wohar, Mark ; Jordan, Steven J ; Vivian, Andrew. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:1:p:102-120.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations. (2017). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:359-372.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:523-542.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:543-559.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle. (2017). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:760-769.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics. (2018). Hendry, David. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:1:p:119-135.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Testing the Wisdom of Crowds in the field: Transfermarkt valuations and international soccer results. (2018). Peeters, Thomas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:1:p:17-29.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Automatic selection of unobserved components models for supply chain forecasting. (2019). Villegas, Marco A ; Pedregal, Diego J. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:157-169.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Demand forecasting with user-generated online information. (2019). Schaer, Oliver ; Fildes, Robert ; Kourentzes, Nikolaos. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:197-212.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019The inventory performance of forecasting methods: Evidence from the M3 competition data. (2019). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Disney, Stephen M ; Wang, Xun. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:251-265.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Keeping a weather eye on prediction markets: The influence of environmental conditions on forecasting accuracy. (2019). Costa, Luis Felipe ; Ma, Tiejun ; Sung, Ming-Chien . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:321-335.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Predictive regressions under asymmetric loss: Factor augmentation and model selection. (2019). Hacioglu Hoke, Sinem ; Demetrescu, Matei. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:80-99.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Efficiency of online football betting markets. (2019). De Angelis, Luca ; Angelini, Giovanni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:712-721.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019A calibration method with dynamic updates for within-match forecasting of wins in tennis. (2019). Reid, Machar ; Kovalchik, Stephanie. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:756-766.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Exploiting sports-betting market using machine learning. (2019). Elezn, Filip ; Ourek, Gustav ; Hubaek, Ondej. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:783-796.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Comparing Federal Reserve, Blue Chip, and time series forecasts of US output growth. (2017). Abu Al-Foul, Bassam ; Baghestani, Hamid ; Abual-Foul, Bassam M. In: Journal of Economics and Business. RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:89:y:2017:i:c:p:47-56.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press. (2017). Mathy, Gabriel ; Stekler, Herman . In: Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:53:y:2017:i:c:p:1-15.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018The Effects of Culture on Consumers Consumption and Generation of Online Reviews. (2018). Kim, Jongmin ; Jun, Mina. In: Journal of Interactive Marketing. RePEc:eee:joinma:v:43:y:2018:i:c:p:134-150.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Quantile smoothing in supply chain and logistics forecasting. (2019). Bruzda, Joanna . In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:208:y:2019:i:c:p:122-139.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Another look at forecast selection and combination: Evidence from forecast pooling. (2019). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Barrow, Devon ; Kourentzes, Nikolaos. In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:209:y:2019:i:c:p:226-235.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Semi-strong inefficiency in the fixed odds betting market: Underestimating the positive impact of head coach replacement in the main European soccer leagues. (2019). Bernardo, Giovanni ; Verona, Roberto ; Ruberti, Massimo. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:71:y:2019:i:c:p:239-246.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies. (2017). Jalles, Joao. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:40:y:2017:i:c:p:175-189.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018The economic value of business cycle forecasts for potential investors – Evidence from Germany. (2018). Dopke, Jorg ; Tegtmeier, Lars ; Muller, Karsten. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:46:y:2018:i:c:p:445-461.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: CAMA Working Papers. RePEc:een:camaaa:2017-76.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Measurement error of global production. (2017). Bergeijk, Peter. In: ISS Working Papers - General Series. RePEc:ems:euriss:100849.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Evaluating Medium Term Forecasting Methods and their Implications for EU Output Gap Calculations. (2017). Mc, Kieran ; Vandermeulen, Valerie ; Roeger, Werner. In: European Economy - Discussion Papers 2015 -. RePEc:euf:dispap:070.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017The Leading Indicators of the Economic Cycles in Lithuania. (2017). Stundziene, Alina ; Giziene, Vilda ; Barkauskas, Vytautas. In: Engineering Economics. RePEc:exl:25engi:v:28:y:2017:i:3:p:280-289.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Whats the Story? A New Perspective on the Value of Economic Forecasts. (2018). Sharpe, Steven ; Hollrah, Christopher A ; Sinha, Nitish R. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2017-107.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Finance Discussion Papers. RePEc:fip:fedgif:1189.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Sentiment in Central Banks Financial Stability Reports. (2017). Correa, Ricardo ; Mislang, Nathan ; Londono, Juan M ; Garud, Keshav. In: International Finance Discussion Papers. RePEc:fip:fedgif:1203.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance. (2017). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Econometrics. RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:5:y:2017:i:3:p:39-:d:110547.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters. (2017). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Döpke, Jörg ; Waldhof, Gabi ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data. (2017). Mathy, Gabriel ; Stekler, Herman O. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018French Nowcasts of the US Economy during the Great Recession: A Textual Analysis. (2018). Catalfamo, Emma. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Forecasting the 1937-1938 Recession: Quantifying Contemporary Newspaper Forecasts. (2018). Mathy, Gabriel ; Roatta, Christian. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts. (2018). Jones, Jacob T ; Stekler, Herman O ; Sinclair, Tara M. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-005.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Going with your Gut: The (In)accuracy of Forecast Revisions in a Football Score Prediction Game. (2018). Singleton, Carl ; Reade, J ; Brown, Alsdair. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting. (2019). Sinclair, Tara M. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2019-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2018). Tien, Pao-Lin ; Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2016-14.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters. (2017). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Döpke, Jörg ; Waldhof, Gabi ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201701.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany. (2018). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Muller, Karsten ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201803.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Deciphering Professional Forecasters’ Stories - Analyzing a Corpus of Textual Predictions for the German Economy. (2018). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Puckelwald, Johannes . In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201804.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Communicating Company Innovation Culture: Assessment Through Job Advertisements Analysis. (2017). Shmatko, Natalia ; Meissner, Dirk ; Lavrynenko, Alina. In: HSE Working papers. RePEc:hig:wpaper:74sti2017.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Vergleichende Evaluation der Konjunkturprognosen des Instituts für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung an der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung für den Zeitraum 2005-2014. (2017). Tarassow, Artur ; Fritsche, Ulrich. In: IMK Studies. RePEc:imk:studie:54-2017.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Let the data do the talking: Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations by means of genetic programming. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: IREA Working Papers. RePEc:ira:wpaper:201711.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: IREA Working Papers. RePEc:ira:wpaper:201801.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies. (2017). Jalles, Joao ; Afonso, Antonio. In: Working Papers Department of Economics. RePEc:ise:isegwp:wp042017.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017A plausible Decision Heuristics Model: Fallibility of human judgment as an endogenous problem. (2017). Saenz-Royo, Carlos . In: Working Papers. RePEc:jau:wpaper:2017/04.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Metropolitan Hotel Sector Forecast Accuracy in El Paso. (2019). Fullerton, Thomas ; Walke, Adam G. In: Atlantic Economic Journal. RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:47:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s11293-019-09620-x.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations for the design of economic indicators in five European regions. (2019). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Empirica. RePEc:kap:empiri:v:46:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s10663-017-9395-1.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019On the Directional Accuracy of United States Housing Starts Forecasts: Evidence from Survey Data. (2019). Meyer, Tim. In: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:58:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11146-017-9637-9.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers. RePEc:koc:wpaper:1718.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Benchmarking Portfolio Flows. (2018). Burger, John ; Warnock, Veronica Cacdac. In: IMF Economic Review. RePEc:pal:imfecr:v:66:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1057_s41308-018-0062-8.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data. (2017). Wohlrabe, Klaus ; Garnitz, Johanna ; Lehmann, Robert. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:81772.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Going with your gut: the (in)accuracy of forecast revisions in a football score prediction game. (2019). Singleton, Carl ; Brown, Alasdair ; Reade, James J. In: Economics & Management Discussion Papers. RePEc:rdg:emxxdp:em-dp2019-05.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Wenig Unterschiede – Zur Treffsicherheit Internationaler Prognosen und Prognostiker. (2018). Heilemann, Ullrich ; Muller, Karsten. In: AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv. RePEc:spr:astaws:v:12:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11943-018-0230-3.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019Evaluating Croatian stock index forecasts. (2019). Jeri, Silvija Vlah ; Anelinovi, Mihovil. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:56:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1393-4.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?. (2017). Xu, Yingying ; Su, Chi-Wei ; Jia, Zichao ; Liu, Zhixin. In: Portuguese Economic Journal. RePEc:spr:portec:v:16:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10258-017-0129-x.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017A new approach for the quantification of qualitative measures of economic expectations. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology. RePEc:spr:qualqt:v:51:y:2017:i:6:d:10.1007_s11135-016-0416-0.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018A Data-Driven Approach to Construct Survey-Based Indicators by Means of Evolutionary Algorithms. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement. RePEc:spr:soinre:v:135:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11205-016-1490-3.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018The analysis and forecasting of ATP tennis matches using a high-dimensional dynamic model. (2018). Koopman, Siem Jan ; Lit, R ; Gorgi, P. In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180009.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes : a survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: Policy Research Working Paper Series. RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8259.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Making Data Measurement Errors Transparent: The Case of the IMF. (2017). Bergeijk, Peter ; PEter, . In: World Economics. RePEc:wej:wldecn:679.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Asset Price Spillovers From Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Global Empirical Perspective. (2018). Siklos, Pierre ; Domenico, Pierre Siklos . In: LCERPA Working Papers. RePEc:wlu:lcerpa:0109.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2018Does Interval Knowledge Sharpen Forecasting Models? Evidence from China’s Typical Ports. (2018). Huang, Anqiang ; Zhang, Zhenji ; Wang, Shouyang ; Qiao, Han ; Lai, Kin Keung. In: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM). RePEc:wsi:ijitdm:v:17:y:2018:i:02:n:s0219622017500456.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2017Systematische Prognosefehler in unterschiedlichen Konjunkturphasen. (2017). Dovern, Jonas ; Jannsen, Nils. In: IfW-Box. RePEc:zbw:ifwbox:201715.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2019How forecast accuracy depends on conditioning assumptions. (2019). Engelke, Carola ; Schult, Christoph ; Heinisch, Katja. In: IWH Discussion Papers. RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:182019.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Works by Herman O. Stekler:


YearTitleTypeCited
1972An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts. In: American Economic Review.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article15
1974An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply. In: American Economic Review.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2002Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment In: Journal of Economic Perspectives.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article2
1987Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment]. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
[Citation analysis]
article1
1976Simultaneous Control of Prices and Output. In: Economica.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2013Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved? In: German Economic Review.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article9
2012Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2011Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games.(2011) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2011DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS In: Journal of Prediction Markets.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2001Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now In: Indian Economic Review.
[Citation analysis]
article0
2001Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It? In: Indian Economic Review.
[Citation analysis]
article0
2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts In: Economics Bulletin.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article11
2012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS.(2012) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 11
paper
2017Evaluating a long-run forecast: The World Bank poverty forecasts In: Economics Bulletin.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2016Evaluating a Long-run Forecast: The World Bank Poverty Forecasts.(2016) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
1995Modeling fully employed economies In: Economic Modelling.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2014Interpreting and evaluating CESIfos World Economic Survey directional forecasts In: Economic Modelling.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article12
1990Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches In: Economic Modelling.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article1
2010Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article24
2010Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?.(2010) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 24
paper
1979Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1979Forecasts of construction activity for states In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article9
2000The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article12
1980Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1981Employment impact of public construction In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2018What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk In: European Journal of Operational Research.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2017What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk.(2017) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
1994Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1994Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1994Introduction In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1995Kiplingers looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1996Is there a consensus among financial forecasters? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article16
1997Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1999Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article38
1999Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article17
2000Book review In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article59
2001Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2003Improving our ability to predict the unusual event In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article3
2003Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article26
2003Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article3
2005The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article20
2006Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2007Introduction to The future of macroeconomic forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
2007The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article21
2007Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article2
2007The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
2009Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article2
2008Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions.(2008) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 2
paper
2009Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2010Sports forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2007Sports Forecasting.(2007) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2010Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article3
2009Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game.(2009) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 3
paper
2010Issues in sports forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article12
2009Issues in Sports Forecasting.(2009) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 12
paper
2012Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
2011Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation.(2011) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 8
paper
2013Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article25
2011Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts; Some Cross-Country Evidence.(2011) In: IMF Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 25
paper
2013Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
2011Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates.(2011) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 8
paper
2015Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article5
2012EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FED’S FORECASTS.(2012) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 5
paper
2016Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article14
1988Who forecasts better? : Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article1
1989Econometrics and structural change : Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1990Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft). In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1991Do consensus forecasts exist? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
1991Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1991Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article17
1992Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1993Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
1993Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1990The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article7
1999An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2002The state of macroeconomic forecasting In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article87
2002Reply to the comments on The state of macroeconomic forecasting In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article64
2015What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article9
2014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?.(2014) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 9
paper
2017Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article5
2016Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press.(2016) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 5
paper
1987Modeling high levels of defense expenditures: A Vietnam In: Journal of Policy Modeling.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1976Economic forecasting and contracyclical stabilization policy In: Journal of Public Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1983A regional forecasting model for construction activity In: Regional Science and Urban Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article1
1996Information Problems for Policy Analysis and Forecasting In: Eastern Economic Journal.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2014Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: a German Forecasting Competition In: CAMA Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper5
2014EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION.(2014) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 5
paper
1969Economic forecasts: evaluation procedures and results In: Staff Studies.
[Citation analysis]
paper0
1969Some problems in forecasting inventory investment In: Staff Studies.
[Citation analysis]
paper0
2008Evaluating Current Year Forecasts Made During the Year: A Japanese Example In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2010Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example.(2010) In: Applied Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
article
2008Evaluating Consensus Forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2008What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts? In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper2
2008Are unbiased forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2012Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved? In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper3
2003Has the accuracy of German macroeconomic forecasts improved?.(2003) In: Technical Reports.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 3
paper
2010Perspectives on Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2011The Forecasting Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper1
2011Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper2
2014HOW DID THE FOMC VIEW THE GREAT RECESSION AS IT WAS HAPPENING?: EVALUATING THE MINUTES FROM FOMC MEETINGS, 2006-2010 In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2016Evaluating a Leading Indicator: An Application: the Term Spread In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2017Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread.(2017) In: Empirical Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
article
2016Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2016Predicting U.S. Business Cycle Turning Points Using Real-Time Diffusion Indexes Based on a Large Data Set.(2016) In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2016Nowcasting German Turning Points Using CUSUM Analysis In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2017Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper1
2018Was the deflation of the depression anticipated? An inference using real-time data.(2018) In: Journal of Economic Methodology.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has another version. Agregated cites: 1
article
2019A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2009Jointly Evaluating GDP and Inflation Forcasts in the Context of the Taylor Rule In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper1
2011Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper3
2012A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper8
2012Evaluating a Vector of the Feds Forecasts In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper0
2014What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts? In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper2
2014Evaluating Forecasts of a Vector of Variables: A German Forecasting Competition In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper5
2000Why Do Empirical Results Change? Forecasts as Tests of Rational Expectations In: History of Political Economy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article3
2007An evaluation of the forecasts of the federal reserve: a pooled approach In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article41
2017Nowcasting: Identifying German Cyclical Turning Points In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik).
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1977Fuzziness in Economic Systems, Its Modeling and Control In: NBER Chapters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
chapter4
2003Monthly Output Index for the U.S. Transportation Sector In: Discussion Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
paper9
1975Why do Forecasters Underestimate? In: Economic Inquiry.
[Citation analysis]
article4
1960Dealer-Manufacturer Relationship in the Automobile Industry: Comment In: The Quarterly Journal of Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1976Optimal Stabilization Policies for Deterministic and Stochastic Linear Systems: Comments In: Review of Economic Studies.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
2012Interpreting the Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession In: Business Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article4
2013Forecasting the Downturn of the Great Recession In: Business Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article1
1998Sources of turning point forecast errors In: Applied Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article4
2001The term spread as a cyclical indicator: a forecasting evaluation In: Applied Financial Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article4
1998Data revisions and forecasting In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8
2006Testing the efficiency of the National Football League betting market In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article10
2010Directional forecasts of GDP and inflation: a joint evaluation with an application to Federal Reserve predictions In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article33
2005Methodological issues in forecasting: Insights from the egregious business forecast errors of late 1930 In: Journal of Economic Methodology.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article6
2013An evaluation of Chinese economic forecasts In: Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article4
1969Evaluation of Econometric Inventory Forecasts. In: The Review of Economics and Statistics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article1
1961A Simulation of the Forecasting Performance of the Diffusion Index In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1967The Federal Budget as a Short-Term Forecasting Tool In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article3
1968An Evaluation of Quarterly Judgmental Economic Forecasts In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article5
1968Forecasting the GNP Price Deflator In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1971An Analysis of the 1968-69 Economic Forecasts. In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article2
1976The Savings Rate as a Tool of Economic Analysis. In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article0
1990Evaluating Predictions of Change. In: The Journal of Business.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article49
1959Forecasting Industrial Production--Leading Series versus Autoregression In: Journal of Political Economy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article8

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Sponsored by INOMICS. Last updated July, 1st 2019. Contact: CitEc Team