Herman O. Stekler : Citation Profile


Are you Herman O. Stekler?

George Washington University

15

H index

19

i10 index

710

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

92

Articles

39

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   56 years (1960 - 2016). See details.
   Cites by year: 12
   Journals where Herman O. Stekler has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 56.    Total self citations: 56 (7.31 %)

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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pst377
   Updated: 2018-06-16    RAS profile: 2017-04-17    
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Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Sinclair, Tara (8)

Zhao, Yongchen (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Herman O. Stekler.

Is cited by:

Ericsson, Neil (41)

Fritsche, Ulrich (27)

Tsuchiya, Yoichi (22)

Bürgi, Constantin (21)

Dovern, Jonas (16)

Simionescu (Bratu), Mihaela (15)

Hendry, David (15)

Smirnov, Sergey (14)

Lahiri, Kajal (13)

Jannsen, Nils (13)

Sinclair, Tara (13)

Cites to:

Joutz, Fred (31)

Sinclair, Tara (28)

Lahiri, Kajal (27)

Romer, Christina (15)

Orphanides, Athanasios (15)

Romer, David (15)

Diebold, Francis (15)

Clements, Michael (14)

Batchelor, Roy (14)

Peel, David (13)

Barot, Bharat (13)

Main data


Where Herman O. Stekler has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting39
The Journal of Business7
Economics Letters6
Journal of Macroeconomics5
Applied Economics3
Economic Modelling3
American Economic Review2
Indian Economic Review2
Business Economics2
Applied Economics Letters2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting26
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy6
Staff Studies / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)2

Recent works citing Herman O. Stekler (2018 and 2017)


YearTitle of citing document
2017“Let the data do the talking: Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations by means of genetic programming”. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: AQR Working Papers. RePEc:aqr:wpaper:201706.

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2018“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: AQR Working Papers. RePEc:aqr:wpaper:201801.

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2017Predicting Economic Recessions Using Machine Learning Algorithms. (2017). ormerod, paul ; Nyman, Rickard. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1701.01428.

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2017Clustering and forecasting inflation expectations using the World Economic Survey: the case of the 2014 oil price shock on inflation targeting countries. (2017). Zarate-Solano, Hector ; Zapata-Sanabria, Daniel R. In: Borradores de Economia. RePEc:bdr:borrec:993.

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2018Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages. (2018). Claessens, Stijn ; Kose, Ayhan M. In: BIS Papers. RePEc:bis:bisbps:95.

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2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: a survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: BIS Working Papers. RePEc:bis:biswps:676.

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2017Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC. (2017). van Norden, Simon ; Croushore, Dean. In: CIRANO Working Papers. RePEc:cir:cirwor:2017s-09.

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2017Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: CEPR Discussion Papers. RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:12460.

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2017A day late and a dollar short: The effect of policy uncertainty on fed forecast errors. (2017). Jones, Adam T ; Ogden, Richard E. In: Economic Analysis and Policy. RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:54:y:2017:i:c:p:112-122.

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2018How efficient are Chinas macroeconomic forecasts? Evidences from a new forecasting evaluation approach. (2018). Sun, Yuying ; Zhang, Xun ; Wang, Shouyang. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:68:y:2018:i:c:p:506-513.

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2017Bias, rationality and asymmetric loss functions. (2017). Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Burgi, Constantin . In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:154:y:2017:i:c:p:113-116.

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2018What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk. (2018). Goodwin, Paul ; Stekler, Herman O ; Onkal, Dilek. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:266:y:2018:i:1:p:238-246.

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2017Forecasting market returns: bagging or combining?. (2017). Wohar, Mark ; Jordan, Steven J ; Vivian, Andrew. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:1:p:102-120.

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2017Evaluating multi-step system forecasts with relatively few forecast-error observations. (2017). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:359-372.

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2017Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:523-542.

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2017How biased are U.S. government forecasts of the federal debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:2:p:543-559.

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2017Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle. (2017). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:33:y:2017:i:4:p:760-769.

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2018Deciding between alternative approaches in macroeconomics. (2018). Hendry, David. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:1:p:119-135.

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2018Testing the Wisdom of Crowds in the field: Transfermarkt valuations and international soccer results. (2018). Peeters, Thomas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:34:y:2018:i:1:p:17-29.

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2017Comparing Federal Reserve, Blue Chip, and time series forecasts of US output growth. (2017). Baghestani, Hamid ; Abual-Foul, Bassam M. In: Journal of Economics and Business. RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:89:y:2017:i:c:p:47-56.

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2017Expectations and forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-time evidence from the business press. (2017). Mathy, Gabriel ; Stekler, Herman . In: Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:53:y:2017:i:c:p:1-15.

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2017Do analysts forecasts of term spread differential help predict directional change in exchange rates?. (2017). Baghestani, Hamid ; Toledo, Hugo . In: International Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:eee:reveco:v:47:y:2017:i:c:p:62-69.

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2017On the rationality and efficiency of inflation forecasts: Evidence from advanced and emerging market economies. (2017). Jalles, Joao. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:40:y:2017:i:c:p:175-189.

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2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes: A survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: CAMA Working Papers. RePEc:een:camaaa:2017-76.

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2017Measurement error of global production. (2017). Bergeijk, Peter. In: ISS Working Papers - General Series. RePEc:ems:euriss:100849.

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2017Evaluating Medium Term Forecasting Methods and their Implications for EU Output Gap Calculations. (2017). Mc, Kieran ; Vandermeulen, Valerie ; Roeger, Werner. In: European Economy - Discussion Papers 2015 -. RePEc:euf:dispap:070.

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2017The Leading Indicators of the Economic Cycles in Lithuania. (2017). Stundziene, Alina ; Giziene, Vilda ; Barkauskas, Vytautas. In: Engineering Economics. RePEc:exl:25engi:v:28:y:2017:i:3:p:280-289.

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2017Whats the Story? A New Perspective on the Value of Economic Forecasts. (2017). Sharpe, Steven ; Hollrah, Christopher A ; Sinha, Nitish R. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2017-107.

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2017How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: International Finance Discussion Papers. RePEc:fip:fedgif:1189.

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2017Sentiment in Central Banks Financial Stability Reports. (2017). Correa, Ricardo ; Mislang, Nathan ; Londono, Juan M ; Garud, Keshav. In: International Finance Discussion Papers. RePEc:fip:fedgif:1203.

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2017FISCAL SURPRISES AT THE FOMC. (2017). van Norden, Simon ; Croushore, Dean. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedpwp:17-13.

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2017Evaluating Forecasts, Narratives and Policy Using a Test of Invariance. (2017). Martinez, Andrew ; Hendry, David ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Econometrics. RePEc:gam:jecnmx:v:5:y:2017:i:3:p:39-:d:110547.

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2017How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-001.

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2017Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey among professional forecasters. (2017). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Döpke, Jörg ; Waldhof, Gabi ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-002.

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2017What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk. (2017). Goodwin, Paul ; Stekler, Herman O ; Onkal, Dilek. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-003.

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2017Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data. (2017). Mathy, Gabriel ; Stekler, Herman O. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-004.

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2018French Nowcasts of the US Economy during the Great Recession: A Textual Analysis. (2018). Catalfamo, Emma. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-001.

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2017Theories, techniques and the formation of German business cycle forecasts: Evidence from a survey of professional forecasters. (2017). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Döpke, Jörg ; Waldhof, Gabi ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201701.

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2018Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany. (2018). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Muller, Karsten ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Macroeconomics and Finance Series. RePEc:hep:macppr:201803.

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2017Communicating Company Innovation Culture: Assessment Through Job Advertisements Analysis. (2017). Shmatko, Natalia ; Meissner, Dirk ; Lavrynenko, Alina. In: HSE Working papers. RePEc:hig:wpaper:74sti2017.

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2017Vergleichende Evaluation der Konjunkturprognosen des Instituts für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung an der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung für den Zeitraum 2005-2014. (2017). Tarassow, Artur ; Fritsche, Ulrich. In: IMK Studies. RePEc:imk:studie:54-2017.

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2017Let the data do the talking: Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations by means of genetic programming. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: IREA Working Papers. RePEc:ira:wpaper:201711.

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2018“Tracking economic growth by evolving expectations via genetic programming: A two-step approach”. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: IREA Working Papers. RePEc:ira:wpaper:201801.

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2017Fiscal Activism and Price Volatility: Evidence from Advanced and Emerging Economies. (2017). Jalles, Joao ; Afonso, Antonio. In: Working Papers Department of Economics. RePEc:ise:isegwp:wp042017.

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2017A plausible Decision Heuristics Model: Fallibility of human judgment as an endogenous problem. (2017). Saenz-Royo, Carlos . In: Working Papers. RePEc:jau:wpaper:2017/04.

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2017Asset Prices and Macroeconomic Outcomes: A Survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers. RePEc:koc:wpaper:1718.

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2017Creating and assessing composite indicators: Dynamic applications for the port industry and seaborne trade. (2017). Angelopoulos, Jason . In: Maritime Economics & Logistics. RePEc:pal:marecl:v:19:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1057_s41278-016-0050-8.

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2017Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data. (2017). Wohlrabe, Klaus ; Garnitz, Johanna ; Lehmann, Robert. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:81772.

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2017Evaluating a leading indicator: an application—the term spread. (2017). Stekler, Herman O ; Ye, Tianyu . In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:53:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-016-1200-7.

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2017Is time-variant information stickiness state-dependent?. (2017). Xu, Yingying ; Su, Chi-Wei ; Jia, Zichao ; Liu, Zhixin. In: Portuguese Economic Journal. RePEc:spr:portec:v:16:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10258-017-0129-x.

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2017A new approach for the quantification of qualitative measures of economic expectations. (2017). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology. RePEc:spr:qualqt:v:51:y:2017:i:6:d:10.1007_s11135-016-0416-0.

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2018A Data-Driven Approach to Construct Survey-Based Indicators by Means of Evolutionary Algorithms. (2018). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement. RePEc:spr:soinre:v:135:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s11205-016-1490-3.

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2017Do US consumer survey data help beat the random walk in forecasting mortgage rates?. (2017). Baghestani, Hamid ; McMillan, David. In: Cogent Economics & Finance. RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:5:y:2017:i:1:p:1343017.

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2018The analysis and forecasting of ATP tennis matches using a high-dimensional dynamic model. (2018). Gorgi, P ; Lit, R ; Koopman, Siem Jan. In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:tin:wpaper:20180009.

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2017Asset prices and macroeconomic outcomes : a survey. (2017). Kose, Ayhan ; Claessens, Stijn. In: Policy Research Working Paper Series. RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8259.

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2018Asset Price Spillovers From Unconventional Monetary Policy: A Global Empirical Perspective. (2018). Siklos, Pierre ; Domenico, Pierre Siklos . In: LCERPA Working Papers. RePEc:wlu:lcerpa:0109.

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Works by Herman O. Stekler:


YearTitleTypeCited
1972An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts. In: American Economic Review.
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article14
1974An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply. In: American Economic Review.
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article0
2002Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment In: Journal of Economic Perspectives.
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article2
1987Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment]. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article0
1976Simultaneous Control of Prices and Output. In: Economica.
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2013Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved? In: German Economic Review.
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article7
2012Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.
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2011Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2011DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS In: Journal of Prediction Markets.
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article0
2001Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now In: Indian Economic Review.
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article0
2001Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It? In: Indian Economic Review.
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article0
2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts In: Economics Bulletin.
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2012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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2012A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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1995Modeling fully employed economies In: Economic Modelling.
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article0
2014Interpreting and evaluating CESIfos World Economic Survey directional forecasts In: Economic Modelling.
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article8
1990Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches In: Economic Modelling.
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2010Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? In: Economics Letters.
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article21
2010Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?.(2010) In: Working Papers.
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1979Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics In: Economics Letters.
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1979Forecasts of construction activity for states In: Economics Letters.
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article9
2000The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation In: Economics Letters.
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article11
1980Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation In: Economics Letters.
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1981Employment impact of public construction In: Economics Letters.
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1994Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1994Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1994Introduction In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1995Kiplingers looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1996Is there a consensus among financial forecasters? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1997Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1999Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1999Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2000Book review In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2001Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2003Improving our ability to predict the unusual event In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2003Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2003Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2005The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2006Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007Introduction to The future of macroeconomic forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2009Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2008Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2009Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2010Sports forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007Sports Forecasting.(2007) In: Working Papers.
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2010Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2009Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game.(2009) In: Working Papers.
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2010Issues in sports forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2009Issues in Sports Forecasting.(2009) In: Working Papers.
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2012Jointly evaluating the Federal Reserve’s forecasts of GDP growth and inflation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2011Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2013Information rigidity in growth forecasts: Some cross-country evidence In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2011Information Rigidity in Growth Forecasts; Some Cross-Country Evidence.(2011) In: IMF Working Papers.
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2013Examining the quality of early GDP component estimates In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2011Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2015Evaluating a vector of the Fed’s forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2012EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FED’S FORECASTS.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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2012Evaluating a Vector of the Feds Forecasts.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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2016Evaluating qualitative forecasts: The FOMC minutes, 2006–2010 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1988Who forecasts better? : Herman O. Stekler, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 5 (1987) 155-158 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1989Econometrics and structural change : Lyle D. Broemeling and Hiroki Tsurumi, (Marcel Dekker, New York, 1987) pp. 266, $59.75 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1990Forecasting methods for management : Spyros Makridakis and Steven C. Wheelwright, Fifth Edition (Wiley, New York, 1989), pp. 470, $52.95 (hard), $27.15, [UK pound]15.95 (soft). In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1991Do consensus forecasts exist? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1991Market and survey forecasts of the three-month treasury bill rate : R.W. Hafer, Scott E. Hein and S. Scott MacDonald, Journal of Business (1991) forthcoming. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1991Macroeconomic forecast evaluation techniques In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1992Comparative performance of U.S. econometric models : Lawrence R. Klein, (ed.), (Oxford University Press, New York, 1991) pp. 325, $45.00 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1993Are economic forecasts significantly better than naive predictions? An appropriate test In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1993Forecasting elections : Michael S. Lewis-Beck and Tom W. Rice, 1992, (CQ Press, Washington, DC), 163 pp., paperback $18.95, ISBN 0-8718 7-600-0 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1990The lead and accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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1999An Evaluation of Federal Reserve Forecasting: Comment In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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2002The state of macroeconomic forecasting In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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2002Reply to the comments on The state of macroeconomic forecasting In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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2015What can we learn from revisions to the Greenbook forecasts? In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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2014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?.(2014) In: Working Papers.
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