Herman O. Stekler : Citation Profile


Deceased: 2018-09-04

16

H index

27

i10 index

912

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

97

Articles

42

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   58 years (1960 - 2018). See details.
   Cites by year: 15
   Journals where Herman O. Stekler has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 68.    Total self citations: 59 (6.08 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pst377
   Updated: 2020-09-14    RAS profile:    
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Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Sinclair, Tara (3)

Boulier, Bryan (2)

Zhao, Yongchen (2)

Kim, Jin Ho (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Herman O. Stekler.

Is cited by:

Ericsson, Neil (41)

Sinclair, Tara (33)

Fritsche, Ulrich (32)

Bürgi, Constantin (27)

Tsuchiya, Yoichi (25)

Dovern, Jonas (25)

Smirnov, Sergey (15)

Simionescu (Bratu), Mihaela (15)

Hendry, David (15)

Lahiri, Kajal (13)

Döpke, Jörg (13)

Cites to:

Joutz, Fred (32)

Lahiri, Kajal (29)

Sinclair, Tara (28)

Romer, David (20)

Romer, Christina (18)

Orphanides, Athanasios (15)

Clements, Michael (15)

Diebold, Francis (15)

Batchelor, Roy (14)

Barot, Bharat (14)

Peel, David (14)

Main data


Where Herman O. Stekler has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting39
The Journal of Business7
Economics Letters6
Journal of Macroeconomics6
Applied Economics3
Economic Modelling3
Indian Economic Review2
Business Economics2
Economics Bulletin2
Applied Economics Letters2
Journal of Economic Methodology2
American Economic Review2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting29
Working Papers / The George Washington University, Institute for International Economic Policy6
Staff Studies / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)2

Recent works citing Herman O. Stekler (2020 and 2019)


YearTitle of citing document
2020Understanding the Great Recession Using Machine Learning Algorithms. (2020). Ormerod, Paul ; Nyman, Rickard . In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2001.02115.

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2020The role of stickiness, extrapolation and past consensus forecasts in macroeconomic expectations. (2020). Lustenhouwer, Joep ; Hagenhoff, Tim. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0686.

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2019Dynamics between Oil Prices and UAE Effective Exchange Rates: An Empirical Examination. (2019). Abual-Foul, Bassam M ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:bap:journl:190207.

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2019Long-Term Economic Forecasting with Structured Analogies and Interaction Groups. (2019). Sapountzis, Stelios ; Litsiou, Konstantia ; Alghassab, Waleed S ; Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos . In: Working Papers. RePEc:bng:wpaper:19018.

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2019News-driven inflation expectations and information rigidities. (2019). Thorsrud, Leif ; Larsen, Vegard ; Zhulanova, Julia. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bny:wpaper:0075.

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2019High-Frequency Credit Spread Information and Macroeconomic Forecast Revision. (2019). Ka, Kook ; Ioannidis, Christos ; Deschamps, Bruno. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bok:wpaper:1917.

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2019The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution. (2019). Lehmann, Robert ; Wolllmershauser, Timo. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7460.

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2019Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data. (2019). Wohlrabe, Klaus ; Lehmann, Robert ; Garnitz, Johanna. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7691.

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2020Revisiones en cuentas nacionales trimestrales Chile 2006-2019. (2020). Teitelboim, Danae Scherman. In: Economic Statistics Series. RePEc:chb:bcchee:131.

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2019An analysis of the Eurosystem/ECB projections. (2019). Lambrias, Kyriacos ; Kontogeorgos, Georgios. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20192291.

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2019Oil prices and real exchange rates in the NAFTA region. (2019). Toledo, Hugo ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:48:y:2019:i:c:p:253-264.

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2019Improving prediction market forecasts by detecting and correcting possible over-reaction to price movements. (2019). Sung, Ming-Chien ; Cheah, Eng-Tuck ; Tai, Chung-Ching ; David, . In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:272:y:2019:i:1:p:389-405.

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2019Probabilistic forecast reconciliation with applications to wind power and electric load. (2019). Jeon, Joo Young ; Petropoulos, Fotios ; Panagiotelis, Anastasios. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:279:y:2019:i:2:p:364-379.

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2020A gamma process based in-play prediction model for National Basketball Association games. (2020). Song, Kai ; Shi, Jian. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:283:y:2020:i:2:p:706-713.

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2020Generalizing the Theta method for automatic forecasting. (2020). Makridakis, Spyros ; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios ; Spiliotis, Evangelos. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:284:y:2020:i:2:p:550-558.

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2019Automatic selection of unobserved components models for supply chain forecasting. (2019). Villegas, Marco A ; Pedregal, Diego J. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:157-169.

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2019Demand forecasting with user-generated online information. (2019). Schaer, Oliver ; Fildes, Robert ; Kourentzes, Nikolaos. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:197-212.

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2019The inventory performance of forecasting methods: Evidence from the M3 competition data. (2019). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Disney, Stephen M ; Wang, Xun. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:251-265.

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2019Keeping a weather eye on prediction markets: The influence of environmental conditions on forecasting accuracy. (2019). Costa, Luis Felipe ; Ma, Tiejun ; Sung, Ming-Chien . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:321-335.

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2019Predictive regressions under asymmetric loss: Factor augmentation and model selection. (2019). Hacioglu Hoke, Sinem ; Demetrescu, Matei. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:1:p:80-99.

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2019Efficiency of online football betting markets. (2019). De Angelis, Luca ; Angelini, Giovanni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:712-721.

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2019A calibration method with dynamic updates for within-match forecasting of wins in tennis. (2019). Reid, Machar ; Kovalchik, Stephanie. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:756-766.

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2019Exploiting sports-betting market using machine learning. (2019). Elezn, Filip ; Ourek, Gustav ; Hubaek, Ondej. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:2:p:783-796.

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2019Characteristics and implications of Chinese macroeconomic data revisions. (2019). Sinclair, Tara. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:1108-1117.

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2019Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies. (2019). Loungani, Prakash ; Jalles, Joao ; Ball, Laurence. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:1131-1142.

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2019Forecasts in times of crises. (2019). Papageorgiou, Chris ; Kuenzel, David ; Eicher, Theo ; Christofides, Charis. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:1143-1159.

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2019Some observations on forecasting and policy. (2019). Wright, Jonathan H. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:3:p:1186-1192.

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2019Evaluating the conditionality of judgmental forecasts. (2019). Sinha, Nitish R ; Chang, Andrew C ; Berge, Travis J. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:35:y:2019:i:4:p:1627-1635.

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2020Forecasting in social settings: The state of the art. (2020). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Hyndman, Rob J ; Makridakis, Spyros. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:1:p:15-28.

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2020The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods. (2020). Assimakopoulos, Vassilios ; Spiliotis, Evangelos ; Makridakis, Spyros. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:1:p:54-74.

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2020High-frequency credit spread information and macroeconomic forecast revision. (2020). Ka, Kook ; Ioannidis, Christos ; Deschamps, Bruno. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:2:p:358-372.

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2020Are betting returns a useful measure of accuracy in (sports) forecasting?. (2020). Memmert, Daniel ; Wunderlich, Fabian. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:36:y:2020:i:2:p:713-722.

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2020GDP announcements and stock prices. (2020). Ohtsuka, Yoshihiro ; Iizuka, Nobuo ; Funashima, Yoshito. In: Journal of Economics and Business. RePEc:eee:jebusi:v:108:y:2020:i:c:s0148619519302772.

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2019Has macroeconomic forecasting changed after the Great Recession? Panel-based evidence on forecast accuracy and forecaster behavior from Germany. (2019). Dopke, Jorg ; Muller, Karsten ; Fritsche, Ulrich. In: Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:62:y:2019:i:c:s0164070418303550.

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2019Do victories and losses matter? Effects of football on life satisfaction. (2019). Janhuba, Radek. In: Journal of Economic Psychology. RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:75:y:2019:i:pb:s016748701730507x.

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2020Central tendency bias in belief elicitation. (2020). Smith, John ; Filippin, Antonio ; Crosetto, Paolo ; Katuak, Peter. In: Journal of Economic Psychology. RePEc:eee:joepsy:v:78:y:2020:i:c:s0167487020300301.

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2019Quantile smoothing in supply chain and logistics forecasting. (2019). Bruzda, Joanna . In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:208:y:2019:i:c:p:122-139.

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2019Another look at forecast selection and combination: Evidence from forecast pooling. (2019). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Barrow, Devon ; Kourentzes, Nikolaos. In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:209:y:2019:i:c:p:226-235.

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2019Semi-strong inefficiency in the fixed odds betting market: Underestimating the positive impact of head coach replacement in the main European soccer leagues. (2019). Bernardo, Giovanni ; Verona, Roberto ; Ruberti, Massimo. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:71:y:2019:i:c:p:239-246.

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2019A directional analysis of oil prices and real exchange rates in BRIC countries. (2019). Khallaf, Ashraf ; Chazi, Abdelaziz ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:50:y:2019:i:c:p:450-456.

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2020The state-dependence of output revisions. (2020). Hubert, Paul ; Ducoudré, Bruno ; Tabarly, Guilhem. In: Documents de Travail de l'OFCE. RePEc:fce:doctra:2004.

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2019Evaluating the Conditionality of Judgmental Forecasts. (2019). Berge, Travis ; Sinha, Nitish R ; Chang, Andrew C. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2019-02.

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2020The Power of Narratives in Economic Forecasts. (2020). Sharpe, Steven ; Sinha, Nitish R ; Hollrah, Christopher A. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2020-01.

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2020Time-varying Uncertainty of the Federal Reserve’s Output Gap Estimate. (2020). Berge, Travis J. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2020-12.

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2020Neural Networks and Betting Strategies for Tennis. (2020). Palazzo, Lucio ; Candila, Vincenzo. In: Risks. RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:68-:d:377813.

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2019A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts. (2019). Sinclair, Tara ; Stekler, Herman O ; Jones, Jacob T. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-005.

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2019Continuities and Discontinuities in Economic Forecasting. (2019). Sinclair, Tara. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2019-003.

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2020What Does Forecaster Disagreement Tell Us about the State of the Economy?. (2020). Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Sinclair, Tara M ; Burgi, Constantin. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-001.

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2020Choosing Opponents in Ski-Sprint Elimination Tournaments. (2020). Lunander, Anders ; Karlsson, Niklas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:hhs:oruesi:2020_006.

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2020On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information. (2020). Jalles, Joao ; An, Zidong. In: Working Papers REM. RePEc:ise:remwps:wp01302020.

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2019Metropolitan Hotel Sector Forecast Accuracy in El Paso. (2019). Fullerton, Thomas ; Walke, Adam G. In: Atlantic Economic Journal. RePEc:kap:atlecj:v:47:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s11293-019-09620-x.

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2019Empirical modelling of survey-based expectations for the design of economic indicators in five European regions. (2019). Claveria, Oscar ; Torra, Salvador ; Monte, Enric. In: Empirica. RePEc:kap:empiri:v:46:y:2019:i:2:d:10.1007_s10663-017-9395-1.

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2019On the Directional Accuracy of United States Housing Starts Forecasts: Evidence from Survey Data. (2019). Meyer, Tim. In: The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:58:y:2019:i:3:d:10.1007_s11146-017-9637-9.

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2020Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models. (2020). Glocker, Christian ; Kaniovski, Serguei. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:101874.

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2020Polish GDP Forecast Errors: A Tale of Ineffectiveness. (2020). Rybacki, Jakub. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:98952.

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2019Going with your gut: the (in)accuracy of forecast revisions in a football score prediction game. (2019). Singleton, Carl ; Reade, J ; Brown, Alasdair. In: Economics & Management Discussion Papers. RePEc:rdg:emxxdp:em-dp2019-05.

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2019Evaluating Croatian stock index forecasts. (2019). Jeri, Silvija Vlah ; Anelinovi, Mihovil. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:56:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s00181-017-1393-4.

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2019New Keynesian Phillips Curve with time-varying parameters. (2019). Chin, Kuo-Hsuan. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:57:y:2019:i:6:d:10.1007_s00181-018-1536-2.

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2020Forecasting models for the Chinese macroeconomy: the simpler the better?. (2020). Ponomareva, Natalia ; Zhang, Qin ; Heaton, Chris . In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:58:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01788-0.

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2020Evaluation of economic forecasts for Austria. (2020). Weyerstrass, Klaus ; Koch, Sebastian P ; Fortin, Ines. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:58:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s00181-019-01814-1.

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2020Do directional predictions of US gasoline prices reveal asymmetries?. (2020). Bley, Jorg ; Baghestani, Hamid. In: Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:spr:jecfin:v:44:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-019-09496-2.

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2020Identifying financial instability conditions using high frequency data. (2020). Mancino, Maria Elvira ; Sanfelici, Simona. In: Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination. RePEc:spr:jeicoo:v:15:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11403-019-00253-6.

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2020Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations. (2020). Hungnes, HÃ¥vard. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:ssb:dispap:931.

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2020Nowcasting in Real Time Using Popularity Priors. (2020). Zhao, Yongchen ; Monokroussos, George. In: Working Papers. RePEc:tow:wpaper:2020-01.

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2020Does Hamilton’s OLS regression provide a “better alternative†to the Hodrick-Prescott filter? A New Zealand Business Cycle Perspective. (2020). Hall, Viv ; Thomson, Peter. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:vuw:vuwecf:8956.

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2020Does Judgment Improve Macroeconomic Density Forecasts?. (2020). Mitchell, James ; Garratt, Anthony ; Galvao, Ana Beatriz. In: EMF Research Papers. RePEc:wrk:wrkemf:33.

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2019How forecast accuracy depends on conditioning assumptions. (2019). Schult, Christoph ; Heinisch, Katja ; Engelke, Carola. In: IWH Discussion Papers. RePEc:zbw:iwhdps:182019.

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Works by Herman O. Stekler:


YearTitleTypeCited
1972An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts. In: American Economic Review.
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article16
1974An Analysis of Turning Point Forecasts: A Polite Reply. In: American Economic Review.
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article0
2002Wheat from Chaff: Meta-Analysis as Quantitative Literature Review: Comment In: Journal of Economic Perspectives.
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article2
1987Who Forecasts Better? [Economic Forecasts and Their Assessment]. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article1
2013Has The Accuracy of Macroeconomic Forecasts for Germany Improved? In: German Economic Review.
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article11
2012Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games In: Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports.
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article0
2011Predicting the Outcomes of NCAA Basketball Championship Games.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2011DO POLLS OR MARKETS FORECAST BETTER? EVIDENCE FROM THE 2010 US SENATE ELECTIONS In: Journal of Prediction Markets.
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article0
2001Measuring the Onset of the Great Depression: Then and Now In: Indian Economic Review.
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article0
2001Combining the Results of rationality Studies: What Did We know and When Did We know It? In: Indian Economic Review.
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article0
2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts In: Economics Bulletin.
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article14
2012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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2012A New Approach For Evaluating Economic Forecasts.(2012) In: Working Papers.
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2017Evaluating a long-run forecast: The World Bank poverty forecasts In: Economics Bulletin.
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2016Evaluating a Long-run Forecast: The World Bank Poverty Forecasts.(2016) In: Working Papers.
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1995Modeling fully employed economies In: Economic Modelling.
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2014Interpreting and evaluating CESIfos World Economic Survey directional forecasts In: Economic Modelling.
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article12
1990Forecasting industrial bottlenecks : An analysis of alternative approaches In: Economic Modelling.
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article1
2010Can the Fed predict the state of the economy? In: Economics Letters.
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article31
2010Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?.(2010) In: Working Papers.
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1979Data revisions in the U.S. international transactions statistics In: Economics Letters.
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1979Forecasts of construction activity for states In: Economics Letters.
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article9
2000The term spread as a monthly cyclical indicator: an evaluation In: Economics Letters.
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article12
1980Forecasts of a regional construction model : An evaluation In: Economics Letters.
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1981Employment impact of public construction In: Economics Letters.
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2018What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk In: European Journal of Operational Research.
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2017What if you are not Bayesian? The consequences for decisions involving risk.(2017) In: Working Papers.
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1994Business cycles, indicators, and forecasting : James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, (eds.), 1994, National Bureau of Economic Research, studies in business cycles, vol. 28, (University of Chicago pres In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1994Dating turning points in the business cycle: Michael D. Boldin, Journal of business, 67, 97-131 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1994Introduction In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1995Kiplingers looking ahead: 70 years of forecasts from the Kiplinger Washington letter : 1993, (Kiplinger Books, Washington, DC) $29.95, ISBN 0-938721-31-3 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1996Is there a consensus among financial forecasters? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1997Diagnosing unemployment : Edmond Malinvaud, (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1994), pp. 156, $34.95, ISBN 0-521-44533-7 In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1999Are sports seedings good predictors?: an evaluation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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1999Why did forecasters fail to predict the 1990 recession? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article19
2000Book review In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2001Irrational Exuberance: Robert Shiller, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2000. Hardcover, 296 pages, ISBN 0-691-05062-7, $27.95. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2003Improving our ability to predict the unusual event In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2003Predicting the outcomes of National Football League games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article26
2003Diagnostics for evaluating the value and rationality of economic forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article3
2005The M3 competition: Statistical tests of the results In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article23
2006Ray C. Fair, Estimating How the Economy Works, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, USA (2004) ISBN 0674-01546-0 295 pp., $65. In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007Introduction to The future of macroeconomic forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007The future of macroeconomic forecasting: Understanding the forecasting process In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article22
2007Significance tests harm progress in forecasting: Comment In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article2
2007The comparative accuracy of judgmental and model forecasts of American football games In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2009Measuring consensus in binary forecasts: NFL game predictions In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2008Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2009Forecast evaluation of AveAve forecasts in the global VAR context In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2010Sports forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2007Sports Forecasting.(2007) In: Working Papers.
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2010Evaluating National Football League draft choices: The passing game In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2009Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game.(2009) In: Working Papers.
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