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  Updated Jun, 1 2012 364.619 documents processed, 8.178.370 references and 3.213.942 citations

 

 
 

International Journal of Forecasting / Elsevier Science Economics Articles Archive

Raw citation data, Main indicators, Most cited papers , cites used to compute the impact factor (2010), Recent citations and documents published in this series in EconPapers.

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Raw data:
IF AIF DOC CIT D2Y C2Y SC(%) CiY II AII
19900.0975104186020.030.04
19910.030.096254172500.05
19920.020.0890126137300.04
19930.010.0979103152200.05
19940.17090169020.030.05
19950.030.126192149500.06
19960.080.1665541311000.08
19970.020.21673431263030.040.08
19980.020.2235101132300.09
19990.190.283910510219050.130.13
20000.080.3759166746010.020.16
20010.110.384513398110120.270.16
20020.170.415810410418020.030.2
20030.220.438112310323050.060.2
20040.180.4969215139250130.190.22
20050.190.5267185150290110.160.24
20060.290.56314013639040.060.23
20070.350.4263130130450180.290.19
20080.650.436491126822.460.090.21
20090.390.437278127500170.240.19
20100.320.36753913643040.050.15
 
 
IF: Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y
AIF: Average Impact Factor for series in RePEc in year y
DOC: Number of documents published in year y
CIT: Number of citations to the series in year y
D2Y: Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2
C2Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
SC(%): Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
CiY: Cites in year y to documents published in year y
IdI: Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents.
AII: Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y

 

Main indicators

Most cited documents in this series:
YearTitleCited
1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:281-291 [Citation Analysis]
200
1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:559-583 [Citation Analysis]
109
1995Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:11:y:1995:i:3:p:447-475 [Citation Analysis]
38
1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:69-80 [Citation Analysis]
32
1987Cointegration and models of exchange rate determination
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:3:y:1987:i:1:p:43-51 [Citation Analysis]
31
1997The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:463-475 [Citation Analysis]
29
1997Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:439-461 [Citation Analysis]
26
2004Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:447-460 [Citation Analysis]
26
1997An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:341-355 [Citation Analysis]
25
1989Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:589-592 [Citation Analysis]
23
2005Non-parametric direct multi-step estimation for forecasting economic processes
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:2:p:201-218 [Citation Analysis]
22
2004A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:589-609 [Citation Analysis]
22
2002A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:439-454 [Citation Analysis]
22
1998Improving macro-economic forecasts: The role of consumer confidence
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:71-81 [Citation Analysis]
21
1990A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:3:p:327-336 [Citation Analysis]
21
2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:1:p:17-38 [Citation Analysis]
21
2006Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth?
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:1:p:137-151 [Citation Analysis]
21
2001How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:3:p:419-432 [Citation Analysis]
21
2007Combining density forecasts
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:1:p:1-13 [Citation Analysis]
21
2008Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:3:p:386-398 [Citation Analysis]
20
2004How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:411-425 [Citation Analysis]
20
2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:4:p:451-476 [Citation Analysis]
20
1990The use of prior information in forecast combination
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:4:p:503-508 [Citation Analysis]
20
1999Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:15:y:1999:i:1:p:1-9 [Citation Analysis]
20
1994The combination of forecasts using changing weights
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:1:p:47-57 [Citation Analysis]
19
1994Forecasts for the Australian economy using the MONASH model
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:4:p:557-571 [Citation Analysis]
19
1999Exchange-rate forecasts with simultaneous nearest-neighbour methods: evidence from the EMS
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:15:y:1999:i:4:p:383-392 [Citation Analysis]
18
2010Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:26:y::i:2:p:216-230 [Citation Analysis]
18
2005Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy?
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:119-136 [Citation Analysis]
18
1992Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing, and forecasting
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:135-156 [Citation Analysis]
17
2005Macro variables and international stock return predictability
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:137-166 [Citation Analysis]
17
2004Extreme value theory and Value-at-Risk: Relative performance in emerging markets
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:287-303 [Citation Analysis]
17
2001Benchmarks and the accuracy of GARCH model estimation
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:1:p:45-56 [Citation Analysis]
17
2000Estimating non-linear ARMA models using Fourier coefficients
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:3:p:333-347 [Citation Analysis]
17
1997Shorte-run forecasts of electricity loads and peaks
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:161-174 [Citation Analysis]
16
2001Neural network forecasting of Canadian GDP growth
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:1:p:57-69 [Citation Analysis]
16
2006Another look at measures of forecast accuracy
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:4:p:679-688 [Citation Analysis]
15
2002Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:397-407 [Citation Analysis]
15
1997A periodic long-memory model for quarterly UK inflation
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:1:p:117-126 [Citation Analysis]
15
1989Political and organizational influences on the accuracy of forecasting state government revenues
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:3:p:307-319 [Citation Analysis]
14
2001Business cycle measurement in the presence of structural change: international evidence
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:3:p:349-368 [Citation Analysis]
14
1998Threshold-autoregressive, median-unbiased, and cointegration tests of purchasing power parity
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:2:p:171-186 [Citation Analysis]
14
1992The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:81-98 [Citation Analysis]
14
2004Domestic and international influences on business cycle regimes in Europe
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:343-357 [Citation Analysis]
14
1991Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:1:p:77-104 [Citation Analysis]
13
2007How far ahead can we forecast? Evidence from cross-country surveys
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:167-187 [Citation Analysis]
13
2007Bias in macroeconomic forecasts
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:189-203 [Citation Analysis]
12
1992Forecasting stock market prices: Lessons for forecasters
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:3-13 [Citation Analysis]
12
1998Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:35-62 [Citation Analysis]
12
1998Forecasting economic processes
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:111-131 [Citation Analysis]
12

Citing documents used to compute impact factor 43:
YearTitleSee
2010Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data
RePEc:uts:rpaper:285
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting from Mis-specified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts
RePEc:oxf:wpaper:484
[Citation Analysis]
2010Supply, Demand and Monetary Policy Shocks in a Multi-Country New Keynesian Model
RePEc:ces:ceswps:_3081
[Citation Analysis]
2010Does the macroeconomy predict U.K. asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? comprehensive out-of-sample evidence
RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-039
[Citation Analysis]
2010Should Economists Use Open Source Software for Doing Research?
RePEc:kap:compec:v:35:y:2010:i:4:p:371-394
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7677
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction
RePEc:bir:birmec:09-06r
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs
RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2010/17
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7796
[Citation Analysis]
2010Success from Satisficing and Imitation: Entrepreneurs’ Location Choice and Implications of Heuristics for Local Economic Development
RePEc:pra:mprapa:26594
[Citation Analysis]
2010Can VAR models capture regime shifts in asset returns? a long-horizon strategic asset allocation perspective
RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-002
[Citation Analysis]
2010Health Investment over the Life-Cycle
RePEc:hai:wpaper:201020
[Citation Analysis]
2010Limits to Growth: Tourism and Regional Labor Migration
RePEc:hae:wpaper:2010-14
[Citation Analysis]
2010On the globalization of stock markets: An application of VECM, SSA technique and mutual information to the G7?
RePEc:cfe:wpcefa:2010_06
[Citation Analysis]
2010Description Length Based Signal Detection in singular Spectrum Analysis
RePEc:msh:ebswps:2010-13
[Citation Analysis]
2010Multivariate exponential smoothing for forecasting tourist arrivals to Australia and New Zealand
RePEc:msh:ebswps:2009-11
[Citation Analysis]
2010The 2007-? financial crisis: a euro area money market perspective
RePEc:icr:wpmath:35-2010
[Citation Analysis]
2010Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive Estimation of Persistent and Non Persistent Processes Subject to Structural Breaks
RePEc:icr:wpmath:36-2010
[Citation Analysis]
2010How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan
RePEc:cbt:econwp:10/16
[Citation Analysis]
2010Out-of-sample equity premium prediction: economic fundamentals vs. moving-average rules
RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-008
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecast comparisons in unstable environments
RePEc:jae:japmet:v:25:y:2010:i:4:p:595-620
[Citation Analysis]
2010Does the macroeconomy predict U.K. asset returns in a nonlinear fashion? comprehensive out-of-sample evidence
RePEc:fip:fedlwp:2010-039
[Citation Analysis]
2010Regime Specific Predictability in Predictive Regressions
RePEc:pra:mprapa:29190
[Citation Analysis]
2010Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles
RePEc:rba:rbaacv:acv2009-10
[Citation Analysis]
2010How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan
RePEc:cbt:econwp:10/16
[Citation Analysis]
2010Measuring comovement in the time-frequency space
RePEc:ptu:wpaper:w201001
[Citation Analysis]
2010Nonparametric modeling and forecasting electricity demand: an empirical study
RePEc:msh:ebswps:2010-19
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting with DSGE models
RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20101185
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting the Yield Curve with Linear Factor Models
RePEc:bcb:wpaper:223
[Citation Analysis]
2010GDP nowcasting with ragged-edge data: a semi-parametric modeling
RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00460461
[Citation Analysis]
2010Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
RePEc:kof:wpskof:10-251
[Citation Analysis]
2010Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession
RePEc:iwh:dispap:10-10
[Citation Analysis]
2010Should Macroeconomic Forecasters Use Daily Financial Data and How?
RePEc:rim:rimwps:42_10
[Citation Analysis]
2010Should macroeconomic forecasters use daily financial data and how?
RePEc:ucy:cypeua:09-2010
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting monthly industrial production in real-time: from single equations to factor-based models
RePEc:spr:empeco:v:39:y:2010:i:2:p:303-336
[Citation Analysis]
2010Assessing Predictive Content of the KOF Barometer in Real Time
RePEc:kof:wpskof:10-249
[Citation Analysis]
2010Perspectives on Evaluating Macroeconomic Forecasts
RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-002
[Citation Analysis]
2010Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production
RePEc:lmu:muenec:11442
[Citation Analysis]
2010Automatic forecasting with a modified exponential smoothing state space framework
RePEc:msh:ebswps:2010-10
[Citation Analysis]
2010Really “Lost in translation”? The economic consequences of issuing an annual report in English
RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00479511
[Citation Analysis]
2010ANALYSE DES DISPOSITIFS DEVALUATION DE LA « RECHERCHE » DES ANALYSTES, UNE CLE DENTREE DANS LES COULISSES DES MARCHES FINANCIERS
RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00479539
[Citation Analysis]
2010Herding Behavior among Financial Analysts: a literature review
RePEc:hub:wpecon:201039
[Citation Analysis]
2010Reflexive self-organization and path dependency in institutionalization processes
RePEc:pra:mprapa:22465
[Citation Analysis]

Cites in year: CiY

Recent citations received in: 2010

YearTitleSee
2010Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production
RePEc:lmu:muenec:11442
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model
RePEc:pre:wpaper:201019
[Citation Analysis]
2010Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles
RePEc:rba:rbaacv:acv2009-10
[Citation Analysis]
2010Adaptive Forecasting of Exchange Rates with Panel Data
RePEc:uts:rpaper:285
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2009

YearTitleSee
2009Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models
RePEc:bir:birmec:09-06
[Citation Analysis]
2009Extreme Value GARCH modelling with Bayesian Inference
RePEc:cbt:econwp:09/05
[Citation Analysis]
2009Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7383
[Citation Analysis]
2009Forecasting Sales
RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765017159
[Citation Analysis]
2009Semiparametric vector MEM
RePEc:fir:econom:wp2009_03
[Citation Analysis]
2009Disagreement among Forecasters in G7 Countries
RePEc:hep:macppr:200906
[Citation Analysis]
2009Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function
RePEc:kof:wpskof:09-237
[Citation Analysis]
2009Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?
RePEc:lau:crdeep:09.08
[Citation Analysis]
2009Modelling Australian Domestic and International Inbound Travel: a Spatial-Temporal Approach
RePEc:msh:ebswps:2009-10
[Citation Analysis]
2009Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals
RePEc:nlv:wpaper:1001
[Citation Analysis]
2009Tamaño y Riesgo en los Mercados Financieros
RePEc:pra:mprapa:19267
[Citation Analysis]
2009Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?
RePEc:szg:worpap:0904
[Citation Analysis]
2009How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan
RePEc:tky:fseres:2009cf637
[Citation Analysis]
2009Modelling Sustainable International Tourism Demand to the Brazilian Amazon
RePEc:tky:fseres:2009cf650
[Citation Analysis]
2009Modelling and Forecasting Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru
RePEc:tky:fseres:2009cf651
[Citation Analysis]
2009Modelling the Growth and Volatility in Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru
RePEc:ucm:doicae:0915
[Citation Analysis]
2009Forecasting the US Real House Price Index: Structural and Non-Structural Models with and without Fundamentals
RePEc:uct:uconnp:2009-42
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2008

YearTitleSee
2008A methodology for population projections: an application to Spain
RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws084512
[Citation Analysis]
2008Experts Stated Behavior
RePEc:dgr:eureri:1765010900
[Citation Analysis]
2008An evaluation of methods for very short-term load forecasting using minute-by-minute British data
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:4:p:645-658
[Citation Analysis]
2008Measuring Consensus in Binary Forecasts: NFL Game Predictions
RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-006
[Citation Analysis]
2008Forecasting spot electricity prices: A comparison of parametric and semiparametric time series models
RePEc:pra:mprapa:10428
[Citation Analysis]
2008Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
RePEc:wrk:warwec:869
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2007

YearTitleSee
2007Demography and Innovative Entrepreneurship
RePEc:ces:ceswps:_2115
[Citation Analysis]
2007Timing ist alles : Konsequenzen der Entscheidung über die Ziel-1-Fördergebiete der Europäischen Kohäsions- und Strukturpolitik vom Dezember 2005 für den Freistaat Sachsen
RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:14:y:2007:i:06:p:3-11
[Citation Analysis]
2007ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse : ausgewählte methodische Aufsätze aus dem ifo Schnelldienst
RePEc:ces:ifofob:33
[Citation Analysis]
2007Forecaster Behaviour and Bias in Macroeconomic Forecasts
RePEc:ces:ifowps:_39
[Citation Analysis]
2007Mikrodaten im ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung: Bestand, Verwendung, Zugang
RePEc:ces:ifowps:_44
[Citation Analysis]
2007Micro Data at the Ifo Institute for Economic Research – The “Ifo Business Survey”, Usage and Access
RePEc:ces:ifowps:_47
[Citation Analysis]
2007Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:6526
[Citation Analysis]
2007Fiscal forecasting - lessons from the literature and challenges
RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20070843
[Citation Analysis]
2007The Contribution of Population Health and Demographic Change to Economic Growth in China and India
RePEc:gdm:wpaper:2807
[Citation Analysis]
2007Urban Settlement: Data, Measures, and Trends
RePEc:gdm:wpaper:2907
[Citation Analysis]
2007Investor sentiment in the US-dollar: longer-term, nonlinear orientation on PPP
RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-376
[Citation Analysis]
2007Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs
RePEc:hhs:uunewp:2007_030
[Citation Analysis]
2007Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes
RePEc:igi:igierp:319
[Citation Analysis]
2007A note on determining the number of cues used in judgment analysis studies: The issue of type II error
RePEc:jdm:journl:v:2:y:2007:i::p:317-325
[Citation Analysis]
2007Verification of Citations: Fawlty Towers of Knowledge?
RePEc:pra:mprapa:4149
[Citation Analysis]
2007Joint Modeling of Call and Put Implied Volatility
RePEc:pra:mprapa:6318
[Citation Analysis]
2007Mikrodaten im ifo Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung – Bestand, Verwendung und Zugang
RePEc:spr:astaws:v:1:y:2007:i:1:p:27-42
[Citation Analysis]
2007Projecting the Medium-Term: Outcomes and Errors for GDP Growth
RePEc:zbw:zewdip:6888
[Citation Analysis]

Warning!! This is still an experimental service. The results of this service should be interpreted with care, especially in research assessment exercises. The processing of documents is automatic. There still are errors and omissions in the identification of references. We are working to improve the software to increase the accuracy of the results.

Source data used to compute the impact factor of RePEc series.

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