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  Updated February, 5 2013 465.484 documents processed, 11.198.332 references and 4.512.497 citations

 

 
 

Journal of Forecasting / Journal of Forecasting

Raw citation data, Main indicators, Most cited papers , cites used to compute the impact factor (2011), Recent citations and documents published in this series in EconPapers.

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Raw data:
IF AIF DOC CIT D2Y C2Y SC(%) CiY II AII
19900.080000.04
19910.080000.04
19920.080000.04
19930.090000.05
19940.10000.05
19950.190000.07
19960.230000.1
19970.290000.1
19980.290000.11
19990.340000.15
20000.430000.17
20010.45391790070.180.17
20020.260.4631973910030.10.21
20030.310.48288270224.510.040.21
20040.190.55351805911050.140.23
20050.680.57321046343070.220.24
20060.330.54331096722030.090.22
20070.340.4832646522010.030.19
20080.430.5411236528080.20.22
20090.710.5143427352020.050.21
20100.330.46406084283.6100.250.17
20110.650.6436188354070.190.26
 
 
IF: Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y
AIF: Average Impact Factor for series in RePEc in year y
DOC: Number of documents published in year y
CIT: Number of citations to the series in year y
D2Y: Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2
C2Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
SC(%): Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
CiY: Cites in year y to documents published in year y
II: Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents.
AII: Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y

 

Main indicators

Most cited documents in this series:
YearTitleCited
2004Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:6:p:405-430 [Citation Analysis]
50
2001Impulse Response Analysis in Vector Autoregressions with Unknown Lag Order.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:3:p:161-79 [Citation Analysis]
34
2007Forecasting German GDP using alternative factor models based on large datasets
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:26:y:2007:i:4:p:271-302 [Citation Analysis]
31
2008Single-index and portfolio models for forecasting value-at-risk thresholds
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:217-235 [Citation Analysis]
29
2008Forecasting value-at-risk with a parsimonious portfolio spillover GARCH (PS-GARCH) model
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:1:p:1-19 [Citation Analysis]
29
2008How successful are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:237-265 [Citation Analysis]
27
2004Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:6:p:431-447 [Citation Analysis]
26
2005Forecasting recessions using the yield curve
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:2:p:77-103 [Citation Analysis]
26
2001Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:8:p:581-601 [Citation Analysis]
24
2001Evaluating the Predictive Accuracy of Volatility Models.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:2:p:87-109 [Citation Analysis]
23
2006Evaluating predictive performance of value-at-risk models in emerging markets: a reality check
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:2:p:101-128 [Citation Analysis]
23
2003Volatility forecasting for risk management
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:1:p:1-22 [Citation Analysis]
22
2004Vector smooth transition regression models for US GDP and the composite index of leading indicators
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:3:p:173-196 [Citation Analysis]
20
2002The Performance of Non-linear Exchange Rate Models: A Forecasting Comparison.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:513-42 [Citation Analysis]
18
2002An Outlier Robust GARCH Model and Forecasting Volatility of Exchange Rate Returns.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:5:p:381-93 [Citation Analysis]
18
2008Scalar BEKK and indirect DCC
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:6:p:537-549 [Citation Analysis]
18
2004Forecasting football results and the efficiency of fixed-odds betting
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:1:p:51-66 [Citation Analysis]
17
2004Finding good predictors for inflation: a Bayesian model averaging approach
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:7:p:479-496 [Citation Analysis]
17
2003Selection of Value-at-Risk models
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:4:p:337-358 [Citation Analysis]
17
2006Building neural network models for time series: a statistical approach
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:1:p:49-75 [Citation Analysis]
15
2010Combining inflation density forecasts
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:231-250 [Citation Analysis]
13
2001Creating High-Frequency National Accounts with State-Space Modelling: A Monte Carlo Experiment.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:6:p:441-49 [Citation Analysis]
12
2001Testing in Unobserved Components Models.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:1:p:1-19 [Citation Analysis]
12
2010Dynamic probit models and financial variables in recession forecasting
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:215-230 [Citation Analysis]
12
2004Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing models
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:8:p:541-557 [Citation Analysis]
11
2005Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:1:p:17-37 [Citation Analysis]
11
2002A Threshold Stochastic Volatility Model.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:473-500 [Citation Analysis]
11
2006Autoregressive gamma processes
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:2:p:129-152 [Citation Analysis]
11
2003On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:5:p:359-375 [Citation Analysis]
11
2007The use of monthly indicators to forecast quarterly GDP in the short run: an application to the G7 countries
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:26:y:2007:i:2:p:77-94 [Citation Analysis]
11
2005Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:3:p:189-201 [Citation Analysis]
10
2005A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:1:p:61-75 [Citation Analysis]
9
2005The multi-chain Markov switching model
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:7:p:523-537 [Citation Analysis]
9
2003Subset threshold autoregression
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:1:p:49-66 [Citation Analysis]
8
2008Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:5:p:371-390 [Citation Analysis]
8
2002Forecasting Daily Foreign Exchange Rates Using Genetically Optimized Neural Networks.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:501-11 [Citation Analysis]
8
2005Nowcasting quarterly GDP growth in a monthly coincident indicator model
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:8:p:575-592 [Citation Analysis]
7
2002Relationships between Australian Real Estate and Stock Market Prices--A Case of Market Inefficiency.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:3:p:181-92 [Citation Analysis]
7
2009Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:2:p:167-182 [Citation Analysis]
7
2001Forecasting UK Industrial Production over the Business Cycle.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:6:p:405-24 [Citation Analysis]
7
2008Can forecasting performance be improved by considering the steady state? An application to Swedish inflation and interest rate
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:1:p:41-51 [Citation Analysis]
7
2006The evolution of sales forecasting management: a 20-year longitudinal study of forecasting practices
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:5:p:303-324 [Citation Analysis]
7
2009Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:7:p:595-611 [Citation Analysis]
7
2001A Double-Threshold GARCH Model for the French Franc/Deutschmark Exchange Rate.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:2:p:135-43 [Citation Analysis]
7
2011Forecasting private consumption: survey‐based indicators vs. Google trends
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:30:y:2011:i:6:p:565-578 [Citation Analysis]
6
2003Identifying emerging generic technologies at the national level: the UK experience
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:2-3:p:129-160 [Citation Analysis]
6
2006Non-linear, non-parametric, non-fundamental exchange rate forecasting
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:4:p:227-245 [Citation Analysis]
6
2006The importance of interest rates for forecasting the exchange rate
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:3:p:209-221 [Citation Analysis]
5
2002Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for Autoregressive Models of Unknown or Infinite Lag Order.
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:4:p:265-80 [Citation Analysis]
5
2004Updating ARMA predictions for temporal aggregates
RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:4:p:275-296 [Citation Analysis]
5

Citing documents used to compute impact factor 54:
YearTitleSee
2011A Factor Model for Euro-area Short-term Inflation Analysis
RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:50-62
[Citation Analysis]
2011Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data
RePEc:iza:izadps:dp5522
[Citation Analysis]
2011Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the U.S. and the euro area?
RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_807_11
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection
RePEc:pre:wpaper:201132
[Citation Analysis]
2011Housing, consumption and monetary policy: How different are the US and the euro area?
RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:11:p:3019-3041
[Citation Analysis]
2011Impact of the crisis on potential growth: An approach based on unobserved component models (in french)
RePEc:bfr:banfra:331
[Citation Analysis]
2011Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle. Une approche par les modèles à composantes inobservables.
RePEc:ner:dauphi:urn:hdl:123456789/6706
[Citation Analysis]
2011The Cobb-Gouglas function as an approximation of other functions
RePEc:fce:doctra:1121
[Citation Analysis]
2011FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure
RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_788_11
[Citation Analysis]
2011Nowcasting of the Gross Regional Product
RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p768
[Citation Analysis]
2011Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions
RePEc:ucm:doicae:1124
[Citation Analysis]
2011Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data
RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110003
[Citation Analysis]
2011Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions
RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110123
[Citation Analysis]
2011Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data
RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110172
[Citation Analysis]
2011Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty
RePEc:acb:camaaa:2011-16
[Citation Analysis]
2011A Bayesian evaluation of alternative models of trend inflation
RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1134
[Citation Analysis]
2011Are Bayesian Fan Charts Useful for Central Banks? Uncertainty, Forecasting, and Financial Stability Stress Tests
RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2011/10
[Citation Analysis]
2011Disagreement, Uncertainty and the True Predictive Density
RePEc:knz:dpteco:1143
[Citation Analysis]
2011Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities
RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:1659-1670
[Citation Analysis]
2011Weights and pools for a Norwegian density combination
RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:61-76
[Citation Analysis]
2011Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves
RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:77-87
[Citation Analysis]
2011Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach
RePEc:bny:wpaper:0003
[Citation Analysis]
2011Fluctuations in Economic and Activity and Stabilization Policies in the CIS
RePEc:kap:compec:v:37:y:2011:i:2:p:193-220
[Citation Analysis]
2011Essays in Applied Time Series Econometrics.
RePEc:ner:euiflo:urn:hdl:1814/18555
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting the direction of the US stock market with dynamic binary probit models
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:561-578
[Citation Analysis]
2011Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test - A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production
RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:82-106
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP
RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:28-49
[Citation Analysis]
2011Investigation of: Shopping in the Market-beta Mall
RePEc:spp:jkmeit:1167
[Citation Analysis]
2011The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1128-1146
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the great moderation and the great recession
RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20111379
[Citation Analysis]
2011A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering
RePEc:eee:econom:v:164:y:2011:i:1:p:188-205
[Citation Analysis]
2011Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions
RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110093
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecast combination for discrete choice models: predicting FOMC monetary policy decisions
RePEc:syb:wpbsba:11/2011
[Citation Analysis]
2011On economic evaluation of directional forecasts
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1058-1065
[Citation Analysis]
2011Estimating monetary policy reaction functions : A discrete choice approach
RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201102-210
[Citation Analysis]
2011Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy
RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1112
[Citation Analysis]
2011Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach
RePEc:bny:wpaper:0003
[Citation Analysis]
2011Nowcasting of the Gross Regional Product
RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p768
[Citation Analysis]
2011Tracking India Growth in Real Time.
RePEc:npf:wpaper:11/90
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection
RePEc:pre:wpaper:201132
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecast combinations of computational intelligence and linear models for the NN5 time series forecasting competition
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:672-688
[Citation Analysis]
2011Combination of long term and short term forecasts, with application to tourism demand forecasting
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:870-886
[Citation Analysis]
2011Contributions of economists to the housing-price bubble
RePEc:amu:wpaper:2011-03
[Citation Analysis]
2011Talking to the inattentive public: How the media translates the Reserve Bank’s communications
RePEc:rza:wpaper:254
[Citation Analysis]
2011Talking to the inattentive Public: How the media translates the Reserve Bank’s communications
RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers147
[Citation Analysis]
2011Strategic forecasting on the FOMC
RePEc:eee:poleco:v:27:y:2011:i:3:p:547-553
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:579-591
[Citation Analysis]
2011Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:50-68
[Citation Analysis]
2011The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank
RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201115
[Citation Analysis]
2011The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy
RePEc:spr:joecth:v:47:y:2011:i:2:p:247-292
[Citation Analysis]
2011A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa
RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1076-1088
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting under Model Uncertainty
RePEc:zbw:vfsc11:48723
[Citation Analysis]
2011Hedging one’s happiness – Should a sports fan bet on the opponent?
RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers148
[Citation Analysis]
2011Selecting the Best? Spillover and Shadows in Elimination Tournaments
RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17639
[Citation Analysis]

Cites in year: CiY

Recent citations received in: 2011

YearTitleSee
2011Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation
RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws113426
[Citation Analysis]
2011Trend-cycle decomposition of output and euro area inflation forecasts: a real-time approach based on model combination
RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20111384
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals
RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:4:p:2013-2021
[Citation Analysis]
2011Information or Institution? On the Determinants of Forecast Accuracy
RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:9-27
[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection
RePEc:pre:wpaper:201132
[Citation Analysis]
2011Modelling Comovements of Economic Time Series: A Selective Survey
RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:215
[Citation Analysis]
2011Konjunkturprognosen in bewegten Zeiten: Die Kunst des Unmöglichen?
RePEc:rwi:materi:062
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2010

YearTitleSee
2010An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7673
[Citation Analysis]
2010Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:7742
[Citation Analysis]
2010Testing an autoregressive structure in binary time series models
RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-10-00253
[Citation Analysis]
2010Predicting recession probabilities with financial variables over multiple horizons
RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20101255
[Citation Analysis]
2010Alternative methods for forecasting GDP
RePEc:hal:cesptp:halshs-00505165
[Citation Analysis]
2010Alternative methods for forecasting GDP.
RePEc:mse:cesdoc:10065
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting from Mis-specified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts
RePEc:oxf:wpaper:484
[Citation Analysis]
2010QR-GARCH-M Model for Risk-Return Tradeoff in U.S. Stock Returns and Business Cycles
RePEc:pra:mprapa:23724
[Citation Analysis]
2010Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy: A Small Open Economy New Keynesian DSGE-VAR Model
RePEc:pre:wpaper:201019
[Citation Analysis]
2010Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles
RePEc:rba:rbaacv:acv2009-10
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2009

YearTitleSee
2009Prediction Accuracy of Different Market Structures – Bookmakers versus a Betting Exchange
RePEc:iso:wpaper:0096
[Citation Analysis]
2009Prediction Accuracy of Different Market Structures – Bookmakers versus a Betting Exchange
RePEc:rsd:wpaper:0025
[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2008

YearTitleSee
2008Freedom of Choice in Macroeconomic Forecasting: An Illustration with German Industrial Production and Linear Models
RePEc:ces:ifowps:_57
[Citation Analysis]
2008Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP
RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:6708
[Citation Analysis]
2008Evaluating the impact of market reforms on Value-at-Risk forecasts of Chinese A and B shares
RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:16:y:2008:i:4:p:453-475
[Citation Analysis]
2008Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP
RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2008/16
[Citation Analysis]
2008Optimizing Time-series Forecasts for Inflation and Interest Rates Using Simulation and Model Averaging
RePEc:ihs:ihsesp:231
[Citation Analysis]
2008External Linkages and Economic Growth in Colombia: Insights from A Bayesian VAR Model
RePEc:imf:imfwpa:08/46
[Citation Analysis]
2008Exploiting Non-Linearities in GDP Growth for Forecasting and Anticipating Regime Changes
RePEc:pit:wpaper:367
[Citation Analysis]
2008Does money growth granger-cause inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from output-of-sample forecasts using Bayesian VARs
RePEc:zbw:fubsbe:200810
[Citation Analysis]

Warning!! This is still an experimental service. The results of this service should be interpreted with care, especially in research assessment exercises. The processing of documents is automatic. There still are errors and omissions in the identification of references. We are working to improve the software to increase the accuracy of the results.

Source data used to compute the impact factor of RePEc series.

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