Is this page useful for you? Then, help us to keep the service working. Please have a look to our donations page ... Thanks for your help!!

Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting

0.58

Impact Factor

0.48

5-Years IF

4

5-Years H index

Main indicators

Raw data

IF AIF IF5 DOC CDO CCU CIF CIT D2Y C2Y D5Y C5Y %SC CiY II AII
19900.1000 (%)0.06
19910.09000 (%)0.05
19920.11000 (%)0.06
19930.14000 (%)0.07
19940.12000 (%)0.06
19950.16000 (%)0.1
19960.2000 (%)0.09
19970.21000 (%)0.09
19980.22000 (%)0.13
19990.28000 (%)0.16
20000.37000 (%)0.14
20010.36000 (%)0.17
20020.37000 (%)0.18
20030.4000 (%)0.19
20040.420100 (%)0.19
20050.43000 (%)0.21
20060.45000 (%)0.2
20070.391100 (%)0.17
20080.3991020.27113 (42.9%)0.17
20090.10.370.141410.074101101 (%)0.18
20100.230.330.2121650.31211331435 (23.8%)0.15
20110.50.410.25102660.2316631642 (12.5%)20.20.2
20120.830.460.46733140.4214121026123 (21.4%)20.290.21
20130.180.50.1663960.158173325 (%)10.170.21
20140.460.540.45645160.361113629132 (18.2%)30.50.26
20150.580.60.48651160.31112731151 (100%)10.170.3
IF: Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y
AIF: Average Impact Factor for series in RePEc in year y
IF5: Impact Factor: C5Y / D5Y
DOC: Number of documents published in year y
CDO: Cumulative number of documents published until year y
CCU: Cumulative number of citations to papers published until year y
CIF: Cumulative impact factor
CIT: Number of citations to papers published in year y
D2Y: Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2
C2Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
D5Y: Number of articles published in y-1 until y-5
C5Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 until y-5
%SC: Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
CiY: Cites in year y to documents published in year y
II: Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents.
AII: Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y

 

50 most cited documents in this series:

#YearTitleCited
1Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

21
22012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

6
32011Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment. (2011). Larson, William. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
42014EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Muller-Droge, Hans Christian . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
52008Exponential smoothing and non-negative data. (2008). Ord, Keith ; Hyndman, Rob ; Akram, Muhammad . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
62011Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Reid, Elizabeth . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
72011Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
82013Inflation Persistence: Revisited. (2013). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Liebner, Jeffrey P.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

3
92012Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Heilemann, Ullrich . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

3
102009Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game. (2009). Stekler, Herman ; Boulier, Bryan ; Rankins, Timothy ; Coburn, Jason . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

3
112014INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL. (2014). Tamirisa, Natalia ; Loungani, Prakash ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
122008What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?. (2008). Stekler, Herman. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-009.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
132013Benchmarking time series based forecasting models for electricity balancing market prices. (2013). Fleten, Stein-Erik ; Eriksrud, Anders Lund ; Stein- Erik Fleten, ; Klaeboe, Gro . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
142012Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting. (2012). Ericsson, Neil ; Reisman, Erica L.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
152014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
162011Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt. (2011). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
172012Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region. (2012). Jorgensen, Jason ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
182014COMMENTS ON DOVERN, FRITSCHE, LOUNGANI AND TAMIRISA (FORTHCOMING). (2014). Coibion, Olivier. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
192
202008Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?. (2008). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2007-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
212014QUASI MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC PANEL DATA MODELS FOR SHORT TIME SERIES. (2014). Phillips, Robert. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
222011Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Talwar, Raj M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-005.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
232011The Forecasting Performance of Business Economists During the Great Recession. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Lundquist, Kathryn . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
242013Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football. (2013). Reade, J ; Akie, Sachiko . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-005.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
252016Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2016). Sinclair, Tara ; Tien, Pao-Lin ; Gamber, Edward N. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-007.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
262013Truncated Product Methods for Panel Unit Root Tests. (2013). Sheng, Xuguang ; Yang, Jingyun . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
272016COULD THE START OF THE GERMAN RECESSION 2008-2009 HAVE BEEN FORESEEN? EVIDENCE FROM REAL-TIME DATA. (2016). Heilemann, Ulrich ; Schnorr-Backer, Susanne . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
28Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation. (2009). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Weiss, Matthew . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
292013Information Environment and The Cost of Capital. (2013). Sheng, Xuguang ; Thevenot, Maya ; Barron, Orie . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
302015Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms. (2015). Zhao, Yongchen. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-005.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1
312012EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FED’S FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

1

50 most relevant documents in this series (papers most cited in the last two years)

#YearTitleCited
12010Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

11
22012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

6
32014EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Muller-Droge, Hans Christian . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

4
42013Inflation Persistence: Revisited. (2013). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Liebner, Jeffrey P.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

3
52011Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt. (2011). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
62013Benchmarking time series based forecasting models for electricity balancing market prices. (2013). Fleten, Stein-Erik ; Eriksrud, Anders Lund ; Stein- Erik Fleten, ; Klaeboe, Gro . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
72011Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment. (2011). Larson, William. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
82012Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting. (2012). Ericsson, Neil ; Reisman, Erica L.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-006.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
92014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
102014INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL. (2014). Tamirisa, Natalia ; Loungani, Prakash ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
112014COMMENTS ON DOVERN, FRITSCHE, LOUNGANI AND TAMIRISA (FORTHCOMING). (2014). Coibion, Olivier. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2

Citing documents used to compute impact factor 7:

YearTitle
2015The Evaluation of Global Accuracy of Romanian Inflation Rate Predictions Using Mahalanobis Distance. (2015). Simionescu (Bratu), Mihaela. In: Management Dynamics in the Knowledge Economy Journal. RePEc:nup:jrmdke:v:3:y:2015:i:1:p:133-149.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015Does Joint Modelling of the World Economy Pay Off? Evaluating Global Forecasts from a Bayesian GVAR. (2015). Huber, Florian ; Feldkircher, Martin ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0590.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015A multivariate analysis of forecast disagreement: Confronting models of disagreement with survey data. (2015). Dovern, Jonas. In: European Economic Review. RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:80:y:2015:i:c:p:16-35.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015On quasi maximum-likelihood estimation of dynamic panel data models. (2015). Phillips, Robert. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:137:y:2015:i:c:p:91-94.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015Systematic Errors in Growth Expectations over the Business Cycle. (2015). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Kiel Working Papers. RePEc:kie:kieliw:1989.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015Systematic errors in growth expectations over the business cycle. (2015). Jannsen, Nils ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Kiel Working Papers. RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1989.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2015Econometric Analysis of 15-minute Intraday Electricity Prices. (2015). Paraschiv, Florentina ; Kiesel, Ruediger. In: Working Papers on Finance. RePEc:usg:sfwpfi:2015:21.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Recent citations (cites in year: CiY)

Recent citations received in 2014
YearCiting document
2014A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data. (2014). Dovern, Jonas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0571.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2014What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2014-14.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Recent citations received in 2013
YearCiting document
2013Differential Interpretation of Public Information: Estimation and Inference. (2013). Sheng, Xuguang ; Thevenot, Maya . In: Working Papers. RePEc:amu:wpaper:2013-03.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Recent citations received in 2012
YearCiting document
2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00339.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2012Baysian seasonal analysis with robust priors. (2012). Gonzales Martínez, Rolando. In: Investigación & Desarrollo. RePEc:iad:wpaper:0312.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

Warning!! This is still an experimental service. The results of this service should be interpreted with care, especially in research assessment exercises. The processing of documents is automatic. There still are errors and omissions in the identification of references. We are working to improve the software to increase the accuracy of the results.

Source data used to compute the impact factor of RePEc series.

CitEc is a RePEc service, providing citation data for Economics since 2001. Sponsored by INOMICS. Last updated December, 1 2016. Contact: CitEc Team