Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
Citation Profile [Updated: 2024-03-05 07:42:34]
5 Years H Index
7
Impact Factor (IF)
0.5
5 Years IF
0.19
Data available in this
report
[Raw
data] [50 most cited papers]
[50 most relevant papers]
[cites used to compute IF]
[Recent
citations ][Frequent citing
series ] [more data in
EconPapers]
[
trace new citations] [Missing
citations? Add them now]
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Main indicators
Raw Data
| IF | AIF | CIF | IF5 | DOC | CDO | CIT | NCI | CCU | D2Y | C2Y | D5Y | C5Y | SC | %SC | CiY | II | AII | |
| 2007 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | |||||
| 2008 | 0 | 0.59 | 0.2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | ||||
| 2009 | 0.1 | 0.59 | 0.07 | 0.1 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | ||
| 2010 | 0.23 | 0.53 | 0.31 | 0.21 | 2 | 16 | 54 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.3 | |
| 2011 | 0.5 | 0.61 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 16.7 | 2 | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| 2012 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 7 | 32 | 45 | 14 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 28.6 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| 2013 | 0.31 | 0.67 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 6 | 38 | 20 | 8 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.35 | |
| 2014 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.71 | 6 | 44 | 26 | 25 | 61 | 13 | 11 | 28 | 20 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0.67 | 0.34 |
| 2015 | 0.83 | 0.66 | 0.58 | 0.8 | 6 | 50 | 13 | 29 | 90 | 12 | 10 | 30 | 24 | 5 | 17.2 | 1 | 0.17 | 0.36 |
| 2016 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 14 | 64 | 31 | 22 | 112 | 12 | 5 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 13.6 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.35 |
| 2017 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 4 | 68 | 9 | 43 | 158 | 20 | 11 | 39 | 22 | 5 | 11.6 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.35 |
| 2018 | 0.5 | 0.61 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 6 | 74 | 20 | 23 | 181 | 18 | 9 | 36 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| 2019 | 1 | 0.63 | 0.4 | 0.44 | 4 | 78 | 5 | 31 | 212 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 16 | 4 | 12.9 | 0 | 0.36 | |
| 2020 | 0.8 | 0.71 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 9 | 87 | 18 | 34 | 246 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 14.7 | 3 | 0.33 | 0.76 |
| 2021 | 0.85 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 7 | 94 | 8 | 31 | 277 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 21 | 2 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.4 | |
| 2022 | 0.5 | 0.76 | 0.16 | 0.4 | 1 | 95 | 0 | 15 | 292 | 16 | 8 | 30 | 12 | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | 0.24 | |
| 2023 | 0.5 | 0.61 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 1 | 96 | 0 | 11 | 303 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 |
| IF: | Two years Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y |
| AIF: | Average Impact Factor for all series in RePEc in year y |
| CIF: | Cumulative impact factor |
| IF5: | Five years Impact Factor: C5Y / D5Y |
| DOC: | Number of documents published in year y |
| CDO: | Cumulative number of documents published until year y |
| CIT: | Number of citations to papers published in year y |
| NCI: | Number of citations in year y |
| CCU: | Cumulative number of citations to papers published until year y |
| D2Y: | Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2 |
| C2Y: | Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2 |
| D5Y: | Number of articles published in y-1 until y-5 |
| C5Y: | Cites in y to articles published in y-1 until y-5 |
| SC: | selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2 |
| %SC: | Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2 |
| CiY: | Cites in year y to documents published in year y |
| II: | Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents. |
| AII: | Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y |
50 most cited documents in this series
| # | Year | Title | Cited |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 55 | |
| 2 | 2012 | A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 20 |
| 3 | 2012 | Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting. (2012). Ericsson, Neil ; Reisman, Erica L.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 18 |
| 4 | 2018 | Identification of the Linear Factor Model. (2018). Williams, Benjamin. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 16 |
| 5 | 2014 | INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL. (2014). Tamirisa, Natalia ; Loungani, Prakash ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Dovern, Jonas. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 10 |
| 6 | 2017 | How Biased Are U.S. Government Forecasts of the Federal Debt?. (2017). Ericsson, Neil. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2017-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 9 |
| 7 | 2011 | Comparing Government Forecasts of the United Statesââ¬â¢ Gross Federal Debt. (2011). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 7 |
| 8 | 2016 | Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press. (2016). Stekler, Herman ; Mathy, Gabriel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-011. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 7 |
| 9 | 2020 | Nowcasting Unemployment Insurance Claims in the Time of COVID-19. (2020). Sinclair, Tara ; Larson, William D. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 7 |
| 10 | 2014 | HOW DID THE FOMC VIEW THE GREAT RECESSION AS IT WAS HAPPENING?: EVALUATING THE MINUTES FROM FOMC MEETINGS, 2006-2010. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Symington, Hilary . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-005. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 6 |
| 11 | 2013 | Benchmarking time series based forecasting models for electricity balancing market prices. (2013). Fleten, Stein-Erik ; Eriksrud, Anders Lund ; Stein- Erik Fleten, ; Klaeboe, Gro . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 6 |
| 12 | 2020 | The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Business Expectations. (2020). Meyer, Brent ; Sheng, Xuguang Simon ; Prescott, Brian. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 6 |
| 13 | 2014 | EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Muller-Droge, Hans Christian . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 6 |
| 14 | 2013 | Truncated Product Methods for Panel Unit Root Tests. (2013). Sheng, Xuguang ; Yang, Jingyun . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 15 | 2016 | Do Fed Forecast Errors Matter?. (2016). Sinclair, Tara ; Tien, Pao-Lin ; Gamber, Edward N. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-007. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 16 | 2011 | Economic Forecasting in the Great Recession. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Talwar, Raj M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-005. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 17 | 2012 | Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Heilemann, Ullrich. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 18 | 2018 | French Nowcasts of the US Economy during the Great Recession: A Textual Analysis. (2018). Catalfamo, Emma. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 19 | 2016 | Economic Forecasting in Theory and Practice: An Interview with David F. Hendry. (2016). Ericsson, Neil. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-012. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 20 | 2008 | What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?. (2008). Stekler, Herman. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-009. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 21 | 2015 | Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees. (2015). Pierdzioch, Christian ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; D̮̦pke, J̮̦rg ; Dopke, Jorg. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 22 | 2016 | Using Social Media to Identify Market Ine!ciencies: Evidence from Twitter and Betfair. (2016). Rossi, Giambattista ; Reade, J ; Rambaccussing, Dooruj ; Brown, Alasdair. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 23 | 2008 | Exponential smoothing and non-negative data. (2008). Ord, Keith ; Hyndman, Rob ; Akram, Muhammad. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 5 |
| 24 | 2011 | A New Look at Chinaââ¬â¢s Output Fluctuations: Quarterly GDP Estimation with an Unobserved Components Approach. (2011). Jia, Yueqing. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 25 | 2020 | Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages. (2020). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 26 | 2011 | Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserveââ¬â¢s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Reid, Elizabeth . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 27 | 2011 | Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment. (2011). Larson, William. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 28 | 2015 | Robustness of Forecast Combination in Unstable Environment: A Monte Carlo Study of Advanced Algorithms. (2015). Zhao, Yongchen. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-005. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 29 | 2013 | Inflation Persistence: Revisited. (2013). Smith, Julie ; Gamber, Edward N. ; Liebner, Jeffrey P.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 30 | 2011 | Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates. (2011). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 4 |
| 31 | 2015 | Forecasting an Aggregate in the Presence of Structural Breaks in the Disaggregates. (2015). Larson, William. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2015-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 32 | 2009 | Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game. (2009). Stekler, Herman ; Boulier, Bryan ; Rankins, Timothy ; Coburn, Jason . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 33 | 2013 | Does disagreement among oil price forecasters reflect future volatility? Evidence from the ECB Surveys. (2013). Pierru, Axel ; Joutz, Fred ; Atallah, Tarek . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 34 | 2021 | The Forecasts of Individual FOMC Members: New Evidence after Ten Years. (2021). Marquez, Jaime ; Kalfa, Yanki S. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 35 | 2016 | Missing the Mark: House Price Index Accuracy and Mortgage Credit Modeling. (2016). Doerner, William ; Larson, William D ; Bogin, Alexander N. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-010. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 36 | 2019 | A Textual Analysis of the Bank of England Growth Forecasts. (2019). Sinclair, Tara ; Stekler, Herman O ; Jones, Jacob T. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-005. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 37 | 2014 | WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 38 | 2014 | COMMENTS ON DOVERN, FRITSCHE, LOUNGANI AND TAMIRISA (FORTHCOMING). (2014). Coibion, Olivier. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 39 | 2021 | Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry. (2021). Ericsson, Neil R. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 40 | 2 | ||
| 41 | 2016 | What Do We Lose When We Average Expectations?. (2016). BÃÆÃÆÃâürgi, Constantin ; BÃÆürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; Burgi, Constantin . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-013. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 42 | 2014 | QUASI MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC PANEL DATA MODELS FOR SHORT TIME SERIES. (2014). Phillips, Robert. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 43 | 2020 | Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts. (2020). Hendry, David ; Castle, Jennifer L ; Martinez, Andrew B. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-009. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 44 | 2008 | Are unbiased forecasts really unbiased? Another look at the Fed forecasts. (2008). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-010. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 45 | 2021 | Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment. (2021). Martinez, Andrew ; Bernstein, David. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 46 | 2016 | COULD THE START OF THE GERMAN RECESSION 2008-2009 HAVE BEEN FORESEEN? EVIDENCE FROM REAL-TIME DATA. (2016). Heilemann, Ulrich ; Schnorr-Backer, Susanne . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2016-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 47 | 2012 | Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region. (2012). Jorgensen, Jason ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 48 | 2019 | Sectoral Okunââ¬â¢s Law and Cross-Country Cyclical Differences. (2019). BÃÆürgi, Constantin ; Bürgi, Constantin ; BÃÆÃÆÃâürgi, Constantin ; Burgi, Constantin ; Goto, Eiji . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2019-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 49 | 2012 | EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FEDââ¬â¢S FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 50 | 2013 | Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football. (2013). Reade, J ; Akie, Sachiko . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-005. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
50 most relevant documents in this series (papers most cited in the last two years)
| # | Year | Title | Cited |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2021 | The Forecasts of Individual FOMC Members: New Evidence after Ten Years. (2021). Marquez, Jaime ; Kalfa, Yanki S. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 2 | 2020 | Forecast Accuracy Matters for Hurricane Damages. (2020). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-003. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 3 | 2010 | Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Joutz, Fred. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 3 |
| 4 | 2021 | Jointly Modeling Male and Female Labor Participation and Unemployment. (2021). Martinez, Andrew ; Bernstein, David. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 5 | 2012 | A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 6 | 2018 | Identification of the Linear Factor Model. (2018). Williams, Benjamin. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2018-002. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 7 | 2012 | Evaluating a Global Vector Autoregression for Forecasting. (2012). Ericsson, Neil ; Reisman, Erica L.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-006. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
| 8 | 2021 | Dynamic Econometrics in Action: A Biography of David F. Hendry. (2021). Ericsson, Neil R. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2021-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | 2 |
Citing documents used to
compute impact factor: 4
| Year | Title | |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Could financial development eliminate energy poverty through renewable energy in Poland?. (2023). Mikayilov, Jeyhun I ; Mukhtarov, Shahriyar. In: Energy Policy. RePEc:eee:enepol:v:182:y:2023:i:c:s0301421523003324. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
| 2023 | The Phillips curve at 65: Time for time and frequency. (2023). Soares, Maria Joana ; Aguiar-Conraria, Luis. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:151:y:2023:i:c:s016518892300026x. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
| 2023 | Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey. (2023). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Binder, Carola Conces. In: Staff Working Papers. RePEc:bca:bocawp:23-18. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
| 2023 | Stylized Facts of the FOMCâs Longer-Run Forecasts. (2023). Marquez, Jaime. In: JRFM. RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:16:y:2023:i:3:p:152-:d:1079337. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper |
Recent citations
Recent citations received in 2021
| Year | Citing document |
|---|
Recent citations received in 2020
| Year | Citing document | |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | How Economic Crises Affect Inflation Beliefs: Evidence from the COVID-19 Pandemic. (2020). van der Klaauw, Wilbert ; topa, giorgio ; Pomerantz, Rachel ; armantier, olivier ; Smith, Kyle ; Skandalis, Daphne ; Koar, Gizem. In: Staff Reports. RePEc:fip:fednsr:89120. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
| 2020 | The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the U.S. Economy: Evidence from the Stock Market. (2020). Thorbecke, Willem. In: JRFM. RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:13:y:2020:i:10:p:233-:d:422459. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
| 2020 | Extracting Information from Different Expectations. (2020). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2020-008. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper |
10 most frequent citing series