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1997 | Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:281-291 [Citation Analysis] | 336 |
1989 | Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:559-583 [Citation Analysis] | 204 |
2000 | The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:4:p:451-476 [Citation Analysis] | 94 |
1992 | Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:69-80 [Citation Analysis] | 83 |
1987 | Cointegration and models of exchange rate determination RePEc:eee:intfor:v:3:y:1987:i:1:p:43-51 [Citation Analysis] | 60 |
1995 | Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research RePEc:eee:intfor:v:11:y:1995:i:3:p:447-475 [Citation Analysis] | 57 |
1998 | Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:35-62 [Citation Analysis] | 56 |
1992 | The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:81-98 [Citation Analysis] | 55 |
1997 | Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:439-461 [Citation Analysis] | 51 |
2002 | A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:439-454 [Citation Analysis] | 48 |
1991 | Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:1:p:77-104 [Citation Analysis] | 44 |
1992 | Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:3:p:393-411 [Citation Analysis] | 44 |
1997 | The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:463-475 [Citation Analysis] | 42 |
2000 | An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:1:p:17-38 [Citation Analysis] | 41 |
2004 | Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:447-460 [Citation Analysis] | 38 |
2007 | Combining density forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:1:p:1-13 [Citation Analysis] | 36 |
1999 | Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility RePEc:eee:intfor:v:15:y:1999:i:1:p:1-9 [Citation Analysis] | 36 |
1993 | Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:295-320 [Citation Analysis] | 36 |
2005 | Macro variables and international stock return predictability RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:137-166 [Citation Analysis] | 36 |
1997 | Shorte-run forecasts of electricity loads and peaks RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:161-174 [Citation Analysis] | 36 |
1991 | Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:2:p:199-208 [Citation Analysis] | 35 |
1998 | Are OECD forecasts rational and useful?: a directional analysis RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:3:p:381-391 [Citation Analysis] | 35 |
1992 | Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing, and forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:135-156 [Citation Analysis] | 34 |
2006 | Another look at measures of forecast accuracy RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:4:p:679-688 [Citation Analysis] | 34 |
2004 | A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:589-609 [Citation Analysis] | 34 |
2001 | How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:3:p:419-432 [Citation Analysis] | 33 |
1990 | A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:3:p:327-336 [Citation Analysis] | 33 |
1989 | Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:589-592 [Citation Analysis] | 33 |
1994 | The combination of forecasts using changing weights RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:1:p:47-57 [Citation Analysis] | 31 |
1990 | The use of prior information in forecast combination RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:4:p:503-508 [Citation Analysis] | 31 |
2008 | Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data RePEc:eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:3:p:386-398 [Citation Analysis] | 31 |
1997 | An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:341-355 [Citation Analysis] | 30 |
2010 | Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns RePEc:eee:intfor:v:26:y::i:2:p:216-230 [Citation Analysis] | 30 |
2004 | Extreme value theory and Value-at-Risk: Relative performance in emerging markets RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:287-303 [Citation Analysis] | 30 |
1993 | Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:355-371 [Citation Analysis] | 30 |
2001 | Neural network forecasting of Canadian GDP growth RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:1:p:57-69 [Citation Analysis] | 29 |
2005 | Non-parametric direct multi-step estimation for forecasting economic processes RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:2:p:201-218 [Citation Analysis] | 29 |
2006 | Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:1:p:137-151 [Citation Analysis] | 28 |
2004 | How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series? RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:411-425 [Citation Analysis] | 28 |
2000 | The accuracy of European growth and inflation forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:3:p:293-315 [Citation Analysis] | 26 |
2005 | Forecasting euro area inflation: Does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy? RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:119-136 [Citation Analysis] | 26 |
1993 | Comments on Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research by L. Brown RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:331-335 [Citation Analysis] | 26 |
1993 | Reply to commentaries on Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:343-344 [Citation Analysis] | 25 |
2006 | Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:4:p:637-666 [Citation Analysis] | 25 |
2003 | Directional accuracy tests of long-term interest rate forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:19:y:2003:i:2:p:291-298 [Citation Analysis] | 25 |
2007 | Bias in macroeconomic forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:189-203 [Citation Analysis] | 25 |
1998 | Improving macro-economic forecasts: The role of consumer confidence RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:71-81 [Citation Analysis] | 24 |
2000 | Forecasting the short-term demand for electricity: Do neural networks stand a better chance? RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:1:p:71-83 [Citation Analysis] | 24 |
2004 | Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:1:p:15-27 [Citation Analysis] | 24 |
2009 | Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:1:p:3-23 [Citation Analysis] | 24 |
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2011 | Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:1659-1670 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The Prediction Market for the Australian Football League RePEc:biu:wpaper:2011-15 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting elections in Turkey RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1248-1258 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The term structure of banking crisis risk in the United States: A market data based compound option approach RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:4:p:876-885 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting exchange rate volatility using high-frequency data: Is the euro different? RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1089-1107 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting inflation with gradual regime shifts and exogenous information RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20111363 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Persistence of regional unemployment : Application of a spatial filtering approach to local labour markets in Germany RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201103 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Persistence of Regional Unemployment: Application of a Spatial Filtering Approach to Local Labour Markets in Germany RePEc:bol:bodewp:wp743 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Do small labor market entry cohorts reduce unemployment? RePEc:iab:iabdpa:201118 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Advances in forecasting with neural networks? Empirical evidence from the NN3 competition on time series prediction RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:635-660 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts RePEc:ucm:doicae:1115 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Restrictiveness and guidance in support systems RePEc:eee:jomega:v:39:y:2011:i:3:p:242-253 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A literature review of the anchoring effect RePEc:eee:soceco:v:40:y:2011:i:1:p:35-42 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Structural breaks, parameter uncertainty, and term structure puzzles RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:102:y:2011:i:1:p:222-232 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Prediction of daily peak electricity demand in South Africa using volatility forecasting models RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:33:y:2011:i:5:p:882-888 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Maximizing bidder surplus in simultaneous online art auctions via dynamic forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1259-1270 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The wisdom of ignorant crowds: Predicting sport outcomes by mere recognition RePEc:jdm:journl:v:6:y:2011:i:1:p:58-72 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Bradley-Terry type model for forecasting tennis match results RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:619-630 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Stock index returnsâ density prediction using GARCH models: Frequentist or Bayesian estimation? RePEc:pra:mprapa:28259 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Class of Adaptive EM-based Importance Sampling Algorithms for Efficient and Robust Posterior and Predictive Simulation RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110004 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Backtesting Value-at-Risk using Forecasts for Multiple Horizons, a Comment on the Forecast Rationality Tests of A.J. Patton and A. Timmermann RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110131 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | VAR forecasting using Bayesian variable selection RePEc:cor:louvco:2011022 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110003 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Non-Parametric Estimation of Forecast Distributions in Non-Gaussian, Non-linear State Space Models RePEc:msh:ebswps:2011-11 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors RePEc:pra:mprapa:30380 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Hierarchical shrinkage priors for dynamic regressions with many predictors RePEc:cor:louvco:2011021 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Predicting Short-Term Interest Rates: Does Bayesian Model Averaging Provide Forecast Improvement? RePEc:iae:iaewps:wp2011n01 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Measuring and Predicting Heterogeneous Recessions RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110154 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110172 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bayesian estimation of an extended local scale stochastic volatility model RePEc:eee:econom:v:162:y:2011:i:2:p:369-382 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Multivariate semi-nonparametric distributions with dynamic conditional correlations RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:347-364 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Bayesian evaluation of alternative models of trend inflation RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1134 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks (Updated 14 November 2011) RePEc:cam:camdae:1163 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Optimal Forecasts in the Presence of Structural Breaks RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:327 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Advances in Forecasting Under Instability RePEc:duk:dukeec:11-20 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Investigating Regional House Price Convergence in the United States: Evidence from a pair-wise approach RePEc:mcd:mcddps:2011_12 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Investigating Regional House Price Convergence in the United States: Evidence from a Pair-Wise Approach RePEc:rim:rimwps:29_11 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | An in-sample and out-of-sample empirical investigation of the nonlinearity in house prices of South Africa RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:3:p:891-899 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting the US real house price index: Structural and non-structural models with and without fundamentals RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:4:p:2013-2021 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Was there a U.S. house price bubble? An econometric analysis using national and regional panel data RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:51:y:2011:i:2:p:189-200 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Holts exponential smoothing and neural network models for forecasting interval-valued time series RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:740-759 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes RePEc:ucm:doicae:1130 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Asymmetry and Long Memory in Volatility Modelling RePEc:ucm:doicae:1129 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting Volatility with Copula-Based Time Series Models RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110125 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Conditional jumps in volatility and their economic determinants RePEc:pad:wpaper:0138 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Are realized volatility models good candidates for alternative Value at Risk prediction strategies? RePEc:pra:mprapa:30364 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The role of high frequency intra-daily data, daily range and implied volatility in multi-period Value-at-Risk forecasting RePEc:pra:mprapa:35252 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Estimating and Forecasting with a Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Model RePEc:cep:sercdp:0095 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecast accuracy and uncertainty in applied econometrics: a recommendation of specific-to-general predictor selection RePEc:spr:empeco:v:41:y:2011:i:2:p:487-510 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1112 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8273 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary: Results from a Large Bayesian VAR RePEc:imf:imfwpa:11/259 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The beauty of simple models: Themes in recognition heuristic research RePEc:jdm:journl:v:6:y:2011:i:5:p:392-395 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Geometric Analysis of When Fixed Weighting Schemes Will Outperform Ordinary Least Squares RePEc:spr:psycho:v:76:y:2011:i:4:p:650-669 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Validation and forecasting accuracy in models of climate change RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:968-995 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Do Experts SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback? RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110135 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Do Experts incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and should they? RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110141 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Estimating Loss Functions of Experts RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110177 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Non-Linear Volatility Modeling of Economic and Financial Time Series Using High Frequency Data RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2011:i:2:p:116-141 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws113426 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Markov Switching Models in Empirical Finance RePEc:igi:igierp:415 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting the fragility of the banking and insurance sectors RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:4:p:807-818 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Chinas Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America RePEc:iza:izadps:dp5889 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | China’s Emergence in the World Economy and Business Cycles in Latin America RePEc:cam:camdae:1150 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Limits to growth: Tourism and regional labor migration RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:28:y:2011:i:1-2:p:473-481 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The tourism forecasting competition RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:822-844 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | On the realized volatility of the ECX CO2 emissions 2008 futures contract: distribution, dynamics and forecasting RePEc:kap:annfin:v:7:y:2011:i:1:p:1-29 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Markov-switching Multifractal Approach to Forecasting Realized Volatility RePEc:kie:kieliw:1737 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Data-based ranking of realised volatility estimators RePEc:eee:econom:v:161:y:2011:i:2:p:284-303 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combination of long term and short term forecasts, with application to tourism demand forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:870-886 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Optimal combination forecasts for hierarchical time series RePEc:eee:csdana:v:55:y:2011:i:9:p:2579-2589 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The role of the forecasting process in improving forecast accuracy and operational performance RePEc:eee:proeco:v:131:y:2011:i:1:p:204-214 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The impact of forecasting on companies performance: Analysis in a multivariate setting RePEc:eee:proeco:v:133:y:2011:i:1:p:458-469 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Group-based judgmental forecasting: An integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:1-13 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A virtual and anonymous, deliberative and analytic participation process for planning and evaluation: The Concept Mapping Policy Delphi RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:152-165 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:50-68 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Theory of financial risk RePEc:pra:mprapa:29665 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on
Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature
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2011 | Intraday volatility forecasting from implied volatility RePEc:eme:ijmfpp:v:7:y:2011:i:1:p:83-100 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts RePEc:cbt:econwp:11/16 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts RePEc:ucm:doicae:1115 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Restrictiveness and guidance in support systems RePEc:eee:jomega:v:39:y:2011:i:3:p:242-253 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | How accurate are government forecasts of economic fundamentals? The case of Taiwan RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1066-1075 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | One model and various experts: Evaluating Dutch macroeconomic forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:482-495 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Do experts SKU forecasts improve after feedback? RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765026656 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Do experts incorporate statistical model forecasts and should they? RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765026660 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Estimating Loss Functions of Experts RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765031226 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Decision-making in hard times: What is a recession, why do we care and how do we know when we are in one? RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:43-60 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends
with Multiple-vintage Models RePEc:qmw:qmwecw:wp678 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Assessment of Consensus Forecasts Accuracy: The Czech National Bank Perspective RePEc:fau:fauart:v:61:y:2011:i:4:p:348-366 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions RePEc:ucm:doicae:1124 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions RePEc:cbt:econwp:11/25 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Accuracy, unbiasedness and efficiency of professional macroeconomic forecasts: An empirical comparison for the G7 RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:452-465 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions RePEc:dgr:eureir:1765023785 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Un Test Conjunto de Superioridad Predictiva para los Pronósticos de Inflación Chilena. RePEc:chb:bcchwp:620 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Bunch of Models, a Bunch of Nulls and Inference About Predictive Ability. RePEc:chb:bcchwp:607 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Differences in Early GDP Component Estimates Between Recession and Expansion RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2011-05 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Scoring rules and survey density forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:379-393 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-001 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The role of the United States in the global economy and its evolution over time RePEc:spr:empeco:v:41:y:2011:i:3:p:573-591 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Improving forecasting performance by window and model averaging RePEc:acb:camaaa:2011-05 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | ISSUES WITH A CHAINED-TYPE PRICE INDEX: AN ANALYSIS WITH THE PRODUCER PRICE INDEX RePEc:jed:journl:v:36:y:2011:i:3:p:47-78 | [Citation Analysis] |