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2004 | Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:6:p:405-430 [Citation Analysis] | 50 |
2001 | Impulse Response Analysis in Vector Autoregressions with Unknown Lag Order. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:3:p:161-79 [Citation Analysis] | 34 |
2007 | Forecasting German GDP using alternative factor models based on large datasets RePEc:jof:jforec:v:26:y:2007:i:4:p:271-302 [Citation Analysis] | 31 |
2008 | Single-index and portfolio models for forecasting value-at-risk thresholds RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:217-235 [Citation Analysis] | 29 |
2008 | Forecasting value-at-risk with a parsimonious portfolio spillover GARCH (PS-GARCH) model RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:1:p:1-19 [Citation Analysis] | 29 |
2008 | How successful are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:3:p:237-265 [Citation Analysis] | 27 |
2004 | Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:6:p:431-447 [Citation Analysis] | 26 |
2005 | Forecasting recessions using the yield curve RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:2:p:77-103 [Citation Analysis] | 26 |
2001 | Forecasting with k-Factor Gegenbauer Processes: Theory and Applications. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:8:p:581-601 [Citation Analysis] | 24 |
2001 | Evaluating the Predictive Accuracy of Volatility Models. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:2:p:87-109 [Citation Analysis] | 23 |
2006 | Evaluating predictive performance of value-at-risk models in emerging markets: a reality check RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:2:p:101-128 [Citation Analysis] | 23 |
2003 | Volatility forecasting for risk management RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:1:p:1-22 [Citation Analysis] | 22 |
2004 | Vector smooth transition regression models for US GDP and the composite index of leading indicators RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:3:p:173-196 [Citation Analysis] | 20 |
2002 | The Performance of Non-linear Exchange Rate Models: A Forecasting Comparison. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:513-42 [Citation Analysis] | 18 |
2002 | An Outlier Robust GARCH Model and Forecasting Volatility of Exchange Rate Returns. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:5:p:381-93 [Citation Analysis] | 18 |
2008 | Scalar BEKK and indirect DCC RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:6:p:537-549 [Citation Analysis] | 18 |
2004 | Forecasting football results and the efficiency of fixed-odds betting RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:1:p:51-66 [Citation Analysis] | 17 |
2004 | Finding good predictors for inflation: a Bayesian model averaging approach RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:7:p:479-496 [Citation Analysis] | 17 |
2003 | Selection of Value-at-Risk models RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:4:p:337-358 [Citation Analysis] | 17 |
2006 | Building neural network models for time series: a statistical approach RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:1:p:49-75 [Citation Analysis] | 15 |
2010 | Combining inflation density forecasts RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:231-250 [Citation Analysis] | 13 |
2001 | Creating High-Frequency National Accounts with State-Space Modelling: A Monte Carlo Experiment. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:6:p:441-49 [Citation Analysis] | 12 |
2001 | Testing in Unobserved Components Models. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:1:p:1-19 [Citation Analysis] | 12 |
2010 | Dynamic probit models and financial variables in recession forecasting RePEc:jof:jforec:v:29:y:2010:i:1-2:p:215-230 [Citation Analysis] | 12 |
2004 | Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing models RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:8:p:541-557 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2005 | Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:1:p:17-37 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2002 | A Threshold Stochastic Volatility Model. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:473-500 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2006 | Autoregressive gamma processes RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:2:p:129-152 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2003 | On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:5:p:359-375 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2007 | The use of monthly indicators to forecast quarterly GDP in the short run: an application to the G7 countries RePEc:jof:jforec:v:26:y:2007:i:2:p:77-94 [Citation Analysis] | 11 |
2005 | Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:3:p:189-201 [Citation Analysis] | 10 |
2005 | A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:1:p:61-75 [Citation Analysis] | 9 |
2005 | The multi-chain Markov switching model RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:7:p:523-537 [Citation Analysis] | 9 |
2003 | Subset threshold autoregression RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:1:p:49-66 [Citation Analysis] | 8 |
2008 | Short-term forecasts of euro area real GDP growth: an assessment of real-time performance based on vintage data RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:5:p:371-390 [Citation Analysis] | 8 |
2002 | Forecasting Daily Foreign Exchange Rates Using Genetically Optimized Neural Networks. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:7:p:501-11 [Citation Analysis] | 8 |
2005 | Nowcasting quarterly GDP growth in a monthly coincident indicator model RePEc:jof:jforec:v:24:y:2005:i:8:p:575-592 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2002 | Relationships between Australian Real Estate and Stock Market Prices--A Case of Market Inefficiency. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:3:p:181-92 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2009 | Comparing the DSGE model with the factor model: an out-of-sample forecasting experiment RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:2:p:167-182 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2001 | Forecasting UK Industrial Production over the Business Cycle. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:6:p:405-24 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2008 | Can forecasting performance be improved by considering the steady state? An application to Swedish inflation and interest rate RePEc:jof:jforec:v:27:y:2008:i:1:p:41-51 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2006 | The evolution of sales forecasting management: a 20-year longitudinal study of forecasting practices RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:5:p:303-324 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2009 | Short-term forecasting of GDP using large datasets: a pseudo real-time forecast evaluation exercise RePEc:jof:jforec:v:28:y:2009:i:7:p:595-611 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2001 | A Double-Threshold GARCH Model for the French Franc/Deutschmark Exchange Rate. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:20:y:2001:i:2:p:135-43 [Citation Analysis] | 7 |
2011 | Forecasting private consumption: surveyâbased indicators vs. Google trends RePEc:jof:jforec:v:30:y:2011:i:6:p:565-578 [Citation Analysis] | 6 |
2003 | Identifying emerging generic technologies at the national level: the UK experience RePEc:jof:jforec:v:22:y:2003:i:2-3:p:129-160 [Citation Analysis] | 6 |
2006 | Non-linear, non-parametric, non-fundamental exchange rate forecasting RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:4:p:227-245 [Citation Analysis] | 6 |
2006 | The importance of interest rates for forecasting the exchange rate RePEc:jof:jforec:v:25:y:2006:i:3:p:209-221 [Citation Analysis] | 5 |
2002 | Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for Autoregressive Models of Unknown or Infinite Lag Order. RePEc:jof:jforec:v:21:y:2002:i:4:p:265-80 [Citation Analysis] | 5 |
2004 | Updating ARMA predictions for temporal aggregates RePEc:jof:jforec:v:23:y:2004:i:4:p:275-296 [Citation Analysis] | 5 |
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2011 | A Factor Model for Euro-area Short-term Inflation
Analysis RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:50-62 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Nowcasting Business Cycles Using Toll Data RePEc:iza:izadps:dp5522 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Housing, consumption and monetary policy: how different are the U.S. and the euro area? RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_807_11 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection RePEc:pre:wpaper:201132 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Housing, consumption and monetary policy: How different are the US and the euro area? RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:35:y:2011:i:11:p:3019-3041 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Impact of the crisis on potential growth: An approach based on unobserved component models (in french) RePEc:bfr:banfra:331 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Impact de la crise sur la croissance potentielle. Une approche par les modèles à composantes inobservables. RePEc:ner:dauphi:urn:hdl:123456789/6706 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The Cobb-Gouglas function as an approximation of other functions RePEc:fce:doctra:1121 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure RePEc:bdi:wptemi:td_788_11 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Nowcasting of the Gross Regional Product RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p768 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions RePEc:ucm:doicae:1124 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combining Predictive Densities using Bayesian Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110003 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110123 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combining Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering with Applications to US Economics Data RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110172 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Measuring Output Gap Nowcast Uncertainty RePEc:acb:camaaa:2011-16 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A Bayesian evaluation of alternative models of trend inflation RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1134 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Are Bayesian Fan Charts Useful for Central Banks? Uncertainty, Forecasting, and Financial Stability Stress Tests RePEc:cnb:wpaper:2011/10 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Disagreement, Uncertainty and the True Predictive Density RePEc:knz:dpteco:1143 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combining VAR and DSGE forecast densities RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:35:y:2011:i:10:p:1659-1670 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Weights and pools for a Norwegian density combination RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:61-76 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Real-time inflation forecast densities from ensemble Phillips curves RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:22:y:2011:i:1:p:77-87 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach RePEc:bny:wpaper:0003 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Fluctuations in Economic and Activity and Stabilization Policies in the CIS RePEc:kap:compec:v:37:y:2011:i:2:p:193-220 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Essays in Applied Time Series Econometrics. RePEc:ner:euiflo:urn:hdl:1814/18555 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting the direction of the US stock market with dynamic binary probit models RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:561-578 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators
under Test - A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:82-106 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on
Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature
and Evidence for German GDP RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:231:y:2011:i:1:p:28-49 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Investigation of: Shopping in the Market-beta Mall RePEc:spp:jkmeit:1167 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The utility of expectational data: Firm-level evidence using matched qualitative-quantitative UK surveys RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1128-1146 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting economic growth in the euro area during the great moderation and the great recession RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20111379 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A two-step estimator for large approximate dynamic factor models based on Kalman filtering RePEc:eee:econom:v:164:y:2011:i:1:p:188-205 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bayesian Forecasting of Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110093 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecast combination for discrete choice models: predicting FOMC monetary policy decisions RePEc:syb:wpbsba:11/2011 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | On economic evaluation of directional forecasts RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1058-1065 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Estimating monetary policy reaction functions : A discrete choice approach RePEc:nbb:reswpp:201102-210 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy RePEc:fip:fedcwp:1112 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Nowcasting GDP in Real-Time: A Density Combination Approach RePEc:bny:wpaper:0003 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Nowcasting of the Gross Regional Product RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p768 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Tracking India Growth in Real Time. RePEc:npf:wpaper:11/90 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Variables of the South African Economy Using Bayesian Variable Selection RePEc:pre:wpaper:201132 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecast combinations of computational intelligence and linear models for the NN5 time series forecasting competition RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:672-688 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Combination of long term and short term forecasts, with application to tourism demand forecasting RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:870-886 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Contributions of economists to the housing-price bubble RePEc:amu:wpaper:2011-03 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Talking to the inattentive public: How the media translates the Reserve Bankââ¬â¢s communications RePEc:rza:wpaper:254 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Talking to the inattentive Public: How the media translates the Reserve Bankâs communications RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers147 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Strategic forecasting on the FOMC RePEc:eee:poleco:v:27:y:2011:i:3:p:547-553 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting the term structures of Treasury and corporate yields using dynamic Nelson-Siegel models RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:2:p:579-591 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:50-68 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The accuracy of a forecast targeting central bank RePEc:zbw:ifweej:201115 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | The diversity of forecasts from macroeconomic models of the US economy RePEc:spr:joecth:v:47:y:2011:i:2:p:247-292 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | A large factor model for forecasting macroeconomic variables in South Africa RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1076-1088 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Forecasting under Model Uncertainty RePEc:zbw:vfsc11:48723 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Hedging oneâs happiness â Should a sports fan bet on the opponent? RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers148 | [Citation Analysis] |
2011 | Selecting the Best? Spillover and Shadows in Elimination Tournaments RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17639 | [Citation Analysis] |