Michele Modugno : Citation Profile

Federal Reserve Board (Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System)

13

H index

14

i10 index

972

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

14

Articles

34

Papers

3

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   16 years (2009 - 2025). See details.
   Cites by year: 60
   Journals where Michele Modugno has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 67.    Total self citations: 22 (2.21 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pmo711
   Updated: 2025-05-17    RAS profile: 2024-12-07    
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Relations with other researchers

Works with:

Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo (4)

Palazzo, Berardino (2)

Giannone, Domenico (2)

Afanasyeva, Elena (2)

Guerrieri, Luca (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Michele Modugno.

Is cited by:

Giannone, Domenico (39)

Caruso, Alberto (26)

Petrella, Ivan (21)

Marcellino, Massimiliano (20)

Chernis, Tony (19)

Luciani, Matteo (18)

Ferrara, Laurent (18)

Cimadomo, Jacopo (16)

Banbura, Marta (15)

Barigozzi, Matteo (14)

Miranda-Agrippino, Silvia (14)

Cites to:

Giannone, Domenico (92)

Reichlin, Lucrezia (85)

Banbura, Marta (25)

Swanson, Eric (20)

Lenza, Michele (17)

Lippi, Marco (16)

Forni, Mario (16)

Bauer, Michael (14)

Adrian, Tobias (12)

Marcellino, Massimiliano (12)

Watson, Mark (11)

Main data

Where Michele Modugno has published?

Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting4
Journal of International Money and Finance2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Finance and Economics Discussion Series / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)12
Working Paper Series / European Central Bank6
FEDS Notes / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)5
Working Papers ECARES / ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles4
CEPR Discussion Papers / C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers2
International Finance Discussion Papers / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)2

Recent works citing Michele Modugno (2025 and 2024)

YearTitle of citing document
2025Distributional Dynamics. (2025). Kuhn, Moritz ; Bayer, Christian ; Calderon, Luis. In: ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series. RePEc:ajk:ajkdps:351.

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2024Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference of Large Approximate Dynamic Factor Models via the EM algorithm. (2024). Luciani, Matteo ; Barigozzi, Matteo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1910.03821.

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2024High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks. (2024). Pfarrhofer, Michael ; Stelzer, Anna. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1912.03158.

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2024Asymmetric uncertainty : Nowcasting using skewness in real-time data. (2024). Labonne, Paul. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2012.02601.

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2024Unit Averaging for Heterogeneous Panels. (2024). Brownlees, Christian ; Morozov, Vladislav. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.14205.

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2024Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.00363.

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2024Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimation of High-Dimensional Factor Models: A Critical Review. (2024). Barigozzi, Matteo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2303.11777.

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2024Asymptotic equivalence of Principal Components and Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimators in Large Approximate Factor Models. (2024). Barigozzi, Matteo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2307.09864.

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2024From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks. (2024). Goulet Coulombe, Philippe ; Frenette, Mikael ; Klieber, Karin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2311.16333.

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2024A Quantile Nelson-Siegel model. (2024). Rossini, Luca ; Poon, Aubrey ; Iacopini, Matteo ; Zhu, Dan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2401.09874.

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2024Monthly GDP nowcasting with Machine Learning and Unstructured Data. (2024). TENORIO, JUAN ; Perez, Wilder. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.04165.

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2024Generating density nowcasts for U.S. GDP growth with deep learning: Bayes by Backprop and Monte Carlo dropout. (2024). , Krist'Of ; Hadh, D'Aniel. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2405.15579.

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2024Machine Learning and the Yield Curve: Tree-Based Macroeconomic Regime Switching. (2024). Diebold, Francis ; Bie, Siyu ; Li, Junye ; He, Jingyu. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2408.12863.

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2024Large datasets for the Euro Area and its member countries and the dynamic effects of the common monetary policy. (2024). Barigozzi, Matteo ; Tonni, Lorenzo ; Lissona, Claudio. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2410.05082.

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2025High-frequency Density Nowcasts of U.S. State-Level Carbon Dioxide Emissions. (2025). Garr, Ignacio ; Ramos, Andrey. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2501.03380.

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2025Quasi maximum likelihood estimation of high-dimensional approximate dynamic matrix factor models via the EM algorithm. (2025). Barigozzi, Matteo ; Trapin, Luca. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.04112.

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2024Forecasting Recessions in Canada: An Autoregressive Probit Model Approach. (2024). Tuzcuoglu, Kerem ; Poulin-Moore, Antoine. In: Staff Working Papers. RePEc:bca:bocawp:24-10.

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2024U.S. Macroeconomic News and Low-Frequency Changes in Small Open Economies’ Bond Yields. (2024). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Feunou, Bruno ; Nongni-Donfack, Morvan ; Xing, Bingxin Ann. In: Staff Working Papers. RePEc:bca:bocawp:24-12.

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2024Future directions in nowcasting economic activity: A systematic literature review. (2024). Pekarskiene, Irena ; Lukauskas, Mantas ; Grybauskas, Andrius ; Bruneckiene, Jurgita ; Pilinkiene, Vaida ; Stundziene, Alina. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:38:y:2024:i:4:p:1199-1233.

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2025Distributional Dynamics. (2025). Kuhn, Moritz ; Bayer, Christian ; Calderon, Luis. In: CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series. RePEc:bon:boncrc:crctr224_2025_625.

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2024“Whatever It Takes!” How Tonality of TV-News Affected Government Bond Yield Spreads during the European Debt Crisis. (2024). Thomas, Tobias ; Köhler, Ekkehard ; Feld, Lars ; Hirsch, Patrick ; Kohler, Ekkehard A. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10980.

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2024Harnessing Machine Learning for Real-Time Inflation Nowcasting. (2024). Schnorrenberger, Richard ; Moura, Guilherme Valle ; Schmidt, Aishameriane. In: Working Papers. RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:806.

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2024Nowcasting consumer price inflation using high-frequency scanner data: evidence from Germany. (2024). Wieland, Elisabeth ; Menz, Jan-Oliver ; Carstensen, Kai ; Schnorrenberger, Richard ; Beck, Gunter W. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20242930.

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2024A statistical approach to identifying ECB monetary policy. (2024). Fonseca, Luís ; Brand, Claus ; Bitter, Lea ; Akkaya, Yildiz. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20242994.

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2024The Term Structure of Monetary Policy Uncertainty. (2024). Herriford, Trenton ; Bundick, Brent ; Smith, Lee A. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:160:y:2024:i:c:s0165188923002099.

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2024Predicting tourism recovery from COVID-19: A time-varying perspective. (2024). Liu, Ying ; Wen, Long ; Song, Haiyan. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:135:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324000622.

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2024Yield curve trading strategies exploiting sentiment data. (2024). Serwart, Jan ; Audrino, Francesco. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824001517.

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2024The efficiency of the Japanese government’s revenue projections. (2024). Yamamoto, Yohei ; Arai, Natsuki ; Iizuka, Nobuo. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:244:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524005196.

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2024Advances in nowcasting economic activity: The role of heterogeneous dynamics and fat tails. (2024). Petrella, Ivan ; Drechsel, Thomas ; Antolin-Diaz, Juan. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:238:y:2024:i:2:s0304407623003500.

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2024Predictive ability tests with possibly overlapping models. (2024). Corradi, Valentina ; Fosten, Jack ; Gutknecht, Daniel. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:241:y:2024:i:1:s0304407624000629.

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2024One scheme fits all: A central fiscal capacity for the EMU targeting eurozone, national and regional shocks. (2024). van Spronsen, Josha ; Cimadomo, Jacopo ; Beetsma, Roel. In: European Economic Review. RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:165:y:2024:i:c:s0014292124000503.

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2024Examining spillovers and connectedness among commodities, inflation, and uncertainty: A quantile-VAR framework. (2024). Tzeremes, Panayiotis ; Papadamou, Stephanos ; Corbet, Shaen ; Kyriazis, Nikolaos. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:133:y:2024:i:c:s0140988324002160.

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2024Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data. (2024). Fan, Xinyue ; Jin, Wei ; Zheng, Tingguo ; Fang, Kuangnan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:746-761.

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2024Reservoir computing for macroeconomic forecasting with mixed-frequency data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1206-1237.

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2024Nowcasting with panels and alternative data: The OECD weekly tracker. (2024). Woloszko, Nicolas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1302-1335.

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2024Factor-augmented forecasting in big data. (2024). Bae, Juhee. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1660-1688.

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2024U.S. macroeconomic news and low-frequency changes in bond yields in Canada, Sweden and the U.K.. (2024). Feunou, Bruno ; Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Nongni-Donfack, Morvan ; Xing, Bingxin Ann. In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:168:y:2024:i:c:s0378426624001845.

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2024Estimating shadow policy rates in a small open economy and the role of foreign factors. (2024). Kirchner, Markus ; Fornero, Jorge ; Molina, Carlos. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:140:y:2024:i:c:s0261560623001730.

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2024Capital flows-at-risk: Push, pull and the role of policy. (2024). Sokol, Andrej ; Eguren Martin, Fernando ; von Dem, Lukas ; Eguren-Martin, Fernando ; O'Neill, Cian. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:147:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624001335.

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2024GDP nowcasting: A machine learning and remote sensing data-based approach for Bolivia. (2024). Bolivar Rosales, Osmar. In: Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria). RePEc:eee:lajcba:v:5:y:2024:i:3:s2666143824000085.

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2024What moves markets?. (2024). Kerssenfischer, Mark ; Schmeling, Maik. In: Journal of Monetary Economics. RePEc:eee:moneco:v:145:y:2024:i:c:s0304393224000138.

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2024“Whatever It Takes!” How tonality of TV-news affected government bond yield spreads during the European debt crisis. (2024). Thomas, Tobias ; Köhler, Ekkehard ; Feld, Lars ; Hirsch, Patrick ; Kohler, Ekkehard A. In: European Journal of Political Economy. RePEc:eee:poleco:v:82:y:2024:i:c:s0176268024000132.

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2024Estimating time-varying factors’ variance in the string-term structure model with stochastic volatility. (2024). Almeida, Thiago Ramos. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pa:s0275531924001302.

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2024Foreign trade and China’s yield curve during the COVID-19 pandemic: An analysis based on an extended arbitrage-free Nelson–Siegel model. (2024). Hong, Zhiwu ; Wang, Zhenhan ; Li, Xinda. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s0275531924001624.

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2024Anatomy of sovereign yield behaviour using textual news. (2024). Sensoy, Ahmet ; Akhtaruzzaman, Md ; Dann, Susan ; Pradhan, H K ; Banerjee, Ameet Kumar. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s0275531924002514.

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2024Nowcasting Inflation. (2024). Zaman, Saeed ; Knotek, Edward. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedcwq:97908.

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2024Disagreement About the Term Structure of Inflation Expectations. (2024). Farmer, Leland ; Ahn, Hie Joo. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2024-84.

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2025Component-Based Dynamic Factor Nowcast Model. (2025). Okeeffe, Hannah ; Petrova, Katerina. In: Staff Reports. RePEc:fip:fednsr:99906.

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2024Geopolitical Risks and Energy Uncertainty: Implications for Global and Domestic Energy Prices. (2024). YILMAZKUDAY, HAKAN. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fiu:wpaper:2413.

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2024.

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2025How do Macroeconomic Expectations React to Extreme Weather Shocks?. (2025). Martinez, Andrew. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2025-001.

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2024Decomposing Uncertainty in Macro-Finance Term Structure Models. (2024). Byrne, Joseph ; Cao, Shuo. In: The Review of Asset Pricing Studies. RePEc:oup:rasset:v:14:y:2024:i:3:p:428-449..

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2024Financial Uncertainty and Gold Market Volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS Approach with Variable Selection. (2024). Pierdzioch, Christian ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Cepni, Oguzhan ; Liu, Rui Peng ; Bouri, Elie ; Chuang, O-Chia. In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:202441.

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2024Nowcasting Quarterly GDP Growth during the COVID-19 Crisis Using a Monthly Activity Indicator. (2024). Hartigan, Luke ; Rosewall, Tom. In: RBA Research Discussion Papers. RePEc:rba:rbardp:rdp2024-04.

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2025Central bank information effects in Japan: the role of uncertainty channel. (2025). Morita, Hiroshi ; Matsumoto, Ryo ; Ono, Taiki. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:68:y:2025:i:2:d:10.1007_s00181-024-02656-2.

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2024Interest rate uncertainty and the shape of the yield curve of U.S. treasury bonds. (2024). Qadan, Mahmoud ; Bayaa, Yasmeen. In: Eurasian Economic Review. RePEc:spr:eurase:v:14:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s40822-024-00278-8.

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2024Brazilian Business Cycle Analysis in a High-Dimensional and Time-Irregular Span Context. (2024). Maranhao, Andr Nunes. In: Journal of Business Cycle Research. RePEc:spr:jbuscr:v:20:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s41549-024-00095-7.

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2024Dynamics of Capital Flows and Global Factors: Case of Emerging Economies. (2024). Dua, Pami ; Verma, Neha. In: Journal of Quantitative Economics. RePEc:spr:jqecon:v:22:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s40953-024-00409-7.

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2024Spanish GDP short-term point and density forecasting using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model. (2024). Fresoli, Diego. In: SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association. RePEc:spr:series:v:15:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s13209-024-00297-3.

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2024Improved Breitung and Roling estimator for mixed-frequency models with application to forecasting inflation rates. (2024). Omer, Talha ; Sjolander, Par ; Mnsson, Kristofer ; Golam, B M. In: Statistical Papers. RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:65:y:2024:i:5:d:10.1007_s00362-023-01520-2.

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2024On the statistical analysis of high-dimensional factor models. (2024). Guo, Jianhua ; Jing, Bing-Yi ; Gao, Zhigen ; Mao, Junfan. In: Statistical Papers. RePEc:spr:stpapr:v:65:y:2024:i:8:d:10.1007_s00362-024-01557-x.

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2025A survey-based measure of asymmetric macroeconomic risk in the euro area. (2025). Iseringhausen, Martin ; Theodoridis, Konstantinos. In: Working Papers. RePEc:stm:wpaper:68.

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2024Advance layoff notices and aggregate job loss. (2024). Lunsford, Kurt ; Krolikowski, Pawel. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:3:p:462-480.

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2024Nowcasting Euro area GDP with news sentiment: A tale of two crises. (2024). Saiz, Lorena ; Ashwin, Julian ; Kalamara, Eleni. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:5:p:887-905.

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2024Nowcasting Norwegian household consumption with debit card transaction data. (2024). Aastveit, Knut Are ; Fastb, Tuva Marie ; Granziera, Eleonora ; Paulsen, Kenneth Sterhagen ; Torstensen, Kjersti Nss. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:7:p:1220-1244.

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2024Big data financial transactions and GDP nowcasting: The case of Turkey. (2024). Ortiz, Alvaro ; Yazgan, Ege ; Isa, Berk Orkun ; Soybilgen, Baris ; Barlas, Ali B ; Rodrigo, Tomasa ; Mert, Seda Guler. In: Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:wly:jforec:v:43:y:2024:i:2:p:227-248.

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2024Negative Interest Rate Policy and the Influence of Macro‐Economic News on Yields. (2024). Yamamoto, Yohei ; Hara, Naoko ; Fatum, Rasmus. In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:56:y:2024:i:5:p:1261-1285.

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Works by Michele Modugno:

YearTitleTypeCited
2010An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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2010An Area Wide Real Time Data Base for the Euro Area.(2010) In: Working Papers ECARES.
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2010An area-wide real-time database for the euro area.(2010) In: Working Paper Series.
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2012An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area.(2012) In: The Review of Economics and Statistics.
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2012Now-casting and the real-time data flow In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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2012Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow.(2012) In: Working Papers ECARES.
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2013Now-casting and the real-time data flow.(2013) In: Working Paper Series.
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2013Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow.(2013) In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting.
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2013Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yields Curve In: Working Papers ECARES.
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2014Unspanned macroeconomic factors in the yield curve.(2014) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2016Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve.(2016) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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2014Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields In: Working Papers ECARES.
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2017Low frequency effects of macroeconomic news on government bond yields.(2017) In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
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2014Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields.(2014) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2014Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields.(2014) In: CSEF Working Papers.
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2009The forecasting power of internal yield curve linkages In: Working Paper Series.
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2010Maximum likelihood estimation of factor models on data sets with arbitrary pattern of missing data In: Working Paper Series.
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2014MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF FACTOR MODELS ON DATASETS WITH ARBITRARY PATTERN OF MISSING DATA.(2014) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2011Nowcasting inflation using high frequency data In: Working Paper Series.
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2013Now-casting inflation using high frequency data.(2013) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2016A global trade model for the euro area In: Working Paper Series.
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2015A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area.(2015) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2017A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area.(2017) In: International Journal of Central Banking.
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2024Sowing the seeds of financial imbalances: The role of macroeconomic performance In: Journal of Financial Stability.
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2020Sowing the Seeds of Financial Imbalances: The Role of Macroeconomic Performance.(2020) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 3		paper
2016Nowcasting Turkish GDP and news decomposition In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2016Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition.(2016) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2017A now-casting model for Canada: Do U.S. variables matter? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2016A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?.(2016) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2024Back to the present: Learning about the euro area through a now-casting model In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2021Back to the Present: Learning about the Euro Area through a Now-casting Model.(2021) In: International Finance Discussion Papers.
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2024The information content of stress test announcements In: Journal of Banking & Finance.
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2021The Information Content of Stress Test Announcements.(2021) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2021Monetary policy uncertainty and monetary policy surprises In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
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2020Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Monetary Policy Surprises.(2020) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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