Michael McCracken : Citation Profile

Are you Michael McCracken?

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

20

H index

31

i10 index

3221

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

45

Articles

71

Papers

5

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   27 years (1997 - 2024). See details.
   Cites by year: 119
   Journals where Michael McCracken has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 260.    Total self citations: 49 (1.5 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pmc81
   Updated: 2024-12-03    RAS profile: 2023-08-11    
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Relations with other researchers

Works with:

Owyang, Michael (5)

Ng, Serena (3)

Sekhposyan, Tatevik (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Michael McCracken.

Is cited by:

GUPTA, RANGAN (89)

Swanson, Norman (84)

Rossi, Barbara (81)

Clark, Todd (73)

Pincheira, Pablo (64)

Marcellino, Massimiliano (57)

Clements, Michael (49)

Kilian, Lutz (46)

West, Kenneth (44)

Wohar, Mark (42)

Franses, Philip Hans (42)

Cites to:

Clark, Todd (86)

West, Kenneth (83)

Watson, Mark (58)

Kilian, Lutz (50)

Stock, James (47)

Swanson, Norman (38)

Diebold, Francis (36)

Giannone, Domenico (30)

Rossi, Barbara (24)

Rogoff, Kenneth (24)

Giacomini, Raffaella (23)

Main data

Where Michael McCracken has published?

Journals with more than one article published# docs
Journal of Econometrics7
Economic Synopses7
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics5
Journal of Applied Econometrics4
Review4
International Economic Review2
The Regional Economist2
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking2
Econometric Reviews2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
Working Papers / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis32
Research Working Paper / Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City11
On the Economy / Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis11
Working Papers (Old Series) / Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland4
Finance and Economics Discussion Series / Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)3

Recent works citing Michael McCracken (2024 and 2023)

YearTitle of citing document
2024Sophisticated and small versus simple and sizeable: When does it pay off to introduce drifting coefficients in Bayesian VARs?. (2017). Kastner, Gregor ; Huber, Florian ; Feldkircher, Martin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1711.00564.

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2024Extended MinP Tests of Multiple Hypotheses. (2019). Lu, Zeng-Hua. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1911.04696.

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2023Equal Predictive Ability Tests for Panel Data with an Application to OECD and IMF Forecasts. (2020). Yang, Zhenlin ; Urga, Giovanni ; Pirotte, Alain ; Akgun, Oguzhan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2003.02803.

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2023Deep Dynamic Factor Models. (2020). Ricco, Giovanni ; Izzo, Cosimo ; Andreini, Paolo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2007.11887.

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2024To Bag is to Prune. (2020). Coulombe, Philippe Goulet. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2008.07063.

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2023A Novel Approach to Predictive Accuracy Testing in Nested Environments. (2020). Pitarakis, Jean-Yves. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2008.08387.

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2023Time-Varying Parameters as Ridge Regressions. (2020). Coulombe, Philippe Goulet. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2009.00401.

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2024Financial-cycle ratios and multi-year predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States. (2021). Moramarco, Graziano. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2111.00822.

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2024A Neural Phillips Curve and a Deep Output Gap. (2022). Coulombe, Philippe Goulet. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2202.04146.

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2023Estimation and Inference for High Dimensional Factor Model with Regime Switching. (2022). Wang, FA ; Urga, Giovanni. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2205.12126.

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2024Forecasting macroeconomic data with Bayesian VARs: Sparse or dense? It depends!. (2022). Kastner, Gregor ; Gruber, Luis. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2206.04902.

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2024Local Projection Inference in High Dimensions. (2022). Wilms, Ines ; Smeekes, Stephan ; Adamek, Robert. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2209.03218.

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2024The boosted HP filter is more general than you might think. (2022). Shi, Zhentao ; PEter, ; Mei, Ziwei. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2209.09810.

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2023Bayesian Modeling of Time-varying Parameters Using Regression Trees. (2022). Mitchell, James ; Koop, Gary ; Huber, Florian ; Hauzenberger, Niko. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2209.11970.

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2024Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts. (2022). Plett, Hendrik ; Kruger, Fabian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.13562.

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2024Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data. (2022). Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; van Huellen, Sophie ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.00363.

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2023Boosted p-Values for High-Dimensional Vector Autoregression. (2022). Huang, Xiao. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.02215.

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2024Enhanced Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomics and Finance. (2022). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Klieber, Karin ; Huber, Florian ; Hauzenberger, Niko. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.04752.

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2024On LASSO for High Dimensional Predictive Regression. (2022). Shi, Zhentao ; Mei, Ziwei. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2212.07052.

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2024Probabilistic quantile factor analysis. (2022). Korobilis, Dimitris ; Schroder, Maximilian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2212.10301.

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2024Hierarchical Regularizers for Reverse Unrestricted Mixed Data Sampling Regressions. (2023). Hecq, Alain ; Wilms, Ines ; Ternes, Marie. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2301.10592.

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2023Inference in Non-stationary High-Dimensional VARs. (2023). Smeekes, Stephan ; Margaritella, Luca. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2302.01434.

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2023Out of Sample Predictability in Predictive Regressions with Many Predictor Candidates. (2023). Pitarakis, Jean-Yves ; Gonzalo, Jesus. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2302.02866.

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2023High-Dimensional Conditionally Gaussian State Space Models with Missing Data. (2023). Zhu, Dan ; Poon, Aubrey. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2302.03172.

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2023Combining search strategies to improve performance in the calibration of economic ABMs. (2023). Delli Gatti, Domenico ; Chanda, Debmallya ; Favorito, Marco ; Glielmo, Aldo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2302.11835.

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2023Distributional Vector Autoregression: Eliciting Macro and Financial Dependence. (2023). Oka, Tatsushi ; Zhu, Dan ; Wang, Yunyun. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2303.04994.

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2024GDP nowcasting with artificial neural networks: How much does long-term memory matter?. (2023). Hadh, D'Aniel. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2304.05805.

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2023Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification. (2023). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Huber, Florian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2304.07856.

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2024Does Principal Component Analysis Preserve the Sparsity in Sparse Weak Factor Models?. (2023). Zhang, Yonghui ; Wei, Jie. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2305.05934.

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2023Band-Pass Filtering with High-Dimensional Time Series. (2023). Proietti, Tommaso ; Lippi, Marco ; Giovannelli, Alessandro. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2305.06618.

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2023Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks. (2023). Huber, Florian ; Koop, Gary. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2305.16827.

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2023Supervised Dynamic PCA: Linear Dynamic Forecasting with Many Predictors. (2023). Tsay, Ruey S ; Gao, Zhaoxing. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2307.07689.

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2024Reconciling the Theory of Factor Sequences. (2023). Deistler, Manfred ; Rust, Christoph ; Gersing, Philipp. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2307.10067.

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2023Composite Quantile Factor Models. (2023). Huang, Xiao. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2308.02450.

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2024Linear Regression with Weak Exogeneity. (2023). Solvsten, Mikkel ; Mikusheva, Anna. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2308.08958.

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2023Common Firm-level Investor Fears: Evidence from Equity Options. (2023). Baruník, Jozef ; Ellington, Michael ; Bevilacqua, Mattia. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2309.03968.

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2023Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions. (2023). Klieber, Karin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2309.04821.

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2023Valuation Duration of the Stock Market. (2023). Wang, Chen ; Li, YE. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2310.07110.

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2023BVARs and Stochastic Volatility. (2023). Chan, Joshua. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2310.14438.

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2024From Reactive to Proactive Volatility Modeling with Hemisphere Neural Networks. (2023). Frenette, Mikael ; Coulombe, Philippe Goulet ; Klieber, Karin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2311.16333.

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2024Inference on common trends in functional time series. (2023). Seo, Won-Ki ; Nielsen, Morten Orregaard ; Seong, Dakyung. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2312.00590.

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2023Economic Forecasts Using Many Noises. (2023). Neuhierl, Andreas ; Liao, Yuan ; Shi, Zhentao ; Ma, Xinjie. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2312.05593.

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2024Inflation Target at Risk: A Time-varying Parameter Distributional Regression. (2024). Zhu, Dan ; Oka, Tatsushi ; Wang, Yunyun. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2403.12456.

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2024Bayesian Bi-level Sparse Group Regressions for Macroeconomic Forecasting. (2024). Mogliani, Matteo ; Simoni, Anna. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2404.02671.

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2023Time-Varying Risk Aversion and International Stock Returns. (2023). Guidolin, Massimo ; Cabrera, Gabriel ; Hansen, Erwin. In: BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers. RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp23203.

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2023Central Bank Forecasting: A Survey. (2023). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Binder, Carola Conces. In: Staff Working Papers. RePEc:bca:bocawp:23-18.

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2023The closer we get, the better we are?. (2023). Zilberfarb, Ben Zion ; Goldstein, Nathan. In: Economic Inquiry. RePEc:bla:ecinqu:v:61:y:2023:i:2:p:364-376.

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2023Machine learning advances for time series forecasting. (2023). Mendes, Eduardo F ; Medeiros, Marcelo C ; Masini, Ricardo P. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:37:y:2023:i:1:p:76-111.

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2023Pockets of Predictability. (2023). Timmermann, Allan ; Schmidt, Lawrence ; Farmer, Leland E. In: Journal of Finance. RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:78:y:2023:i:3:p:1279-1341.

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2023Is the US Phillips curve stable? Evidence from Bayesian vector autoregressions. (2023). Österholm, Pär ; Karlsson, Sune ; Osterholm, Par. In: Scandinavian Journal of Economics. RePEc:bla:scandj:v:125:y:2023:i:1:p:287-314.

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2023Beliefs- and fundamentals-driven job creation. (2023). Schnattinger, Philip. In: Bank of England working papers. RePEc:boe:boeewp:1040.

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2024Merging Structural and Reduced-Form Models for Forecasting. (2024). Massimo, Piersanti Fabio ; Luca, Onorante ; Richard, Morris ; Jaime, Martinez-Martin. In: The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:24:y:2024:i:1:p:399-437:n:2.

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2023The Asymmetric Impact of Economic Policy and Oil Price Uncertainty on Inflation: Evidence from Developed and Emerging Economies. (2023). Anderl, Christina ; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_10276.

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2023Government Purchases, the Labor Earnings Gap, andConsumption Dynamics. (2023). Giarda, Mario. In: Working Papers Central Bank of Chile. RePEc:chb:bcchwp:972.

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2024Risk Scenarios and Macroeconomic Forecasts. (2024). Stevanovic, Dalibor ; Moran, Kevin ; Surprenant, Stphane. In: CIRANO Working Papers. RePEc:cir:cirwor:2024s-03.

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2024Improving the robustness of Markov-switching dynamic factor models with time-varying volatility. (2024). Royer, Julien ; Aumond, Romain. In: Working Papers. RePEc:crs:wpaper:2024-04.

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2024Detecting turning points in the inflation cycle. (2024). van den End, Jan Willem ; Hoeberichts, Marco. In: Working Papers. RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:808.

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2023Nowcasting employment in the euro area. (2023). Toth, Mate Barnabas ; Bodnar, Katalin ; Belousova, Irina ; Babura, Marta. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20232815.

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2023Vector autoregression models with skewness and heavy tails. (2023). Karlsson, Sune ; Nguyen, Hoang ; Mazur, Stepan. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:146:y:2023:i:c:s0165188922002834.

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2023Measuring the trend real interest rate in a data-rich environment. (2023). Fu, Bowen. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:147:y:2023:i:c:s016518892300012x.

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2024Non-linear dimension reduction in factor-augmented vector autoregressions. (2024). Klieber, Karin. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:159:y:2024:i:c:s0165188923002063.

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2023Time-varying impacts of monetary policy uncertainty on Chinas housing market. (2023). Yang, Haisheng ; Li, Jie ; Lu, Yunzhi. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:118:y:2023:i:c:s0264999322003182.

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2023Nowcasting Chinese GDP in a data-rich environment: Lessons from machine learning algorithms. (2023). Xu, Hao ; Ni, HE ; Zhang, Qin. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:122:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323000160.

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2023Diligent forecasters can make accurate predictions despite disagreeing with the consensus. (2023). Zheng, Xinye ; An, Zidong. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:125:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323001840.

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2023The confidence channel of U.S. financial uncertainty: Evidence from industry-level data. (2023). Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar ; Karaki, Mohamad B. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:129:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323003693.

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2024Forecasting inflation using sentiment. (2024). Uhl, Matthias W ; Eugster, Patrick. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:236:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524000582.

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2023Nowcasting the output gap. (2023). Wong, Benjamin ; Morley, James ; Berger, Tino. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:232:y:2023:i:1:p:18-34.

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2023Most powerful test against a sequence of high dimensional local alternatives. (2023). GAO, Jiti ; Jaidee, Sombut ; He, YI. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:234:y:2023:i:1:p:151-177.

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2023Penalized time-varying model averaging. (2023). Hong, Yongmiao ; Zhang, Xinyu ; Wang, Shouyang ; Sun, Yuying. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:1355-1377.

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2023Comparing stochastic volatility specifications for large Bayesian VARs. (2023). Chan, Joshua. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:1419-1446.

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2023The distribution of rolling regression estimators. (2023). Juhl, Ted ; Cai, Zongwu. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:1447-1463.

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2023Model averaging for asymptotically optimal combined forecasts. (2023). Liu, Chu-An ; Chen, Yi-Ting. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:235:y:2023:i:2:p:592-607.

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2023High-dimensional conditionally Gaussian state space models with missing data. (2023). Poon, Aubrey ; Chan, Joshua ; Zhu, Dan. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:236:y:2023:i:1:s0304407623001628.

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2023Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage an application to Growth-at-Risk. (2023). Gutknecht, Daniel ; Fosten, Jack ; Corradi, Valentina. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:236:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623002063.

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2023Comparing forecasting performance in cross-sections. (2023). Zhu, Yinchu ; Timmermann, Allan ; Qu, Ritong. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407621002256.

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2023Evaluating forecast performance with state dependence. (2023). Sekhposyan, Tatevik ; Rossi, Barbara ; Odendahl, Florens. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407621002657.

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2023Time-varying forecast combination for high-dimensional data. (2023). Maung, Kenwin ; Chen, Bin. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623000556.

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2023Are bond returns predictable with real-time macro data?. (2023). Li, Kunpeng ; Jiang, Fuwei ; Huang, Dashan ; Zhou, Guofu ; Tong, Guoshi. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:237:y:2023:i:2:s0304407623001161.

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More than 100 citations found, this list is not complete...

Works by Michael McCracken:

YearTitleTypeCited
2001NEW MSE TESTS FOR EVALUATING FORECASTING PERFORMANCE: EMPIRICS AND BOOTSTRAP In: 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL.
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2001Inference about predictive ability In: Working papers.
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1997Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability. In: Working papers.
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1998Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability..(1998) In: International Economic Review.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 161		article
1998Regression-Based Tests of Predictive Ability.(1998) In: NBER Technical Working Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 161		paper
2009Tests of Equal Predictive Ability With Real-Time Data In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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2007Tests of equal predictive ability with real-time data.(2007) In: Research Working Paper.
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2008Tests of equal predictive ability with real-time data.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2017Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors In: BIS Working Papers.
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2017Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors.(2017) In: Working Papers (Old Series).
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2017Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors.(2017) In: Working Papers.
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2017Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors.(2017) In: Working Papers.
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2020Modeling Time-Varying Uncertainty of Multiple-Horizon Forecast Errors.(2020) In: The Review of Economics and Statistics.
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2009Combining Forecasts from Nested Models* In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
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2007Combining forecasts from nested models.(2007) In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2006Combining forecasts from nested models.(2006) In: Research Working Paper.
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2008Combining forecasts from nested models.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2000Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models In: Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers.
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2001Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models.(2001) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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1999Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models.(1999) In: Research Working Paper.
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1999Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models.(1999) In: Computing in Economics and Finance 1999.
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2013Advances in Forecast Evaluation In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		chapter124
2011Advances in forecast evaluation.(2011) In: Working Papers (Old Series).
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2011Advances in forecast evaluation.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2005The power of tests of predictive ability in the presence of structural breaks In: Journal of Econometrics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article65
2007Asymptotics for out of sample tests of Granger causality In: Journal of Econometrics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article422
2012In-sample tests of predictive ability: A new approach In: Journal of Econometrics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article21
2009In-sample tests of predictive ability: a new approach.(2009) In: Research Working Paper.
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2009In-sample tests of predictive ability: a new approach.(2009) In: Working Papers.
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2015Nested forecast model comparisons: A new approach to testing equal accuracy In: Journal of Econometrics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article69
2009Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy.(2009) In: Research Working Paper.
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2009Nested forecast model comparisons: a new approach to testing equal accuracy.(2009) In: Working Papers.
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2017Tests of equal accuracy for nested models with estimated factors In: Journal of Econometrics.
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2015Tests of Equal Accuracy for Nested Models with Estimated Factors.(2015) In: Working Papers.
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2000Robust out-of-sample inference In: Journal of Econometrics.
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2004Parameter estimation and tests of equal forecast accuracy between non-nested models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article20
2012Consistent Testing for Structural Change at the Ends of the Sample In: Advances in Econometrics.
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2013Evaluating the Accuracy of Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions?The views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Clev In: Advances in Econometrics.
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2011Tests of equal forecast accuracy for overlapping models In: Working Papers (Old Series).
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2011Tests of equal forecast accuracy for overlapping models.(2011) In: Working Papers.
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2014TESTS OF EQUAL FORECAST ACCURACY FOR OVERLAPPING MODELS.(2014) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2014Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions In: Working Papers (Old Series).
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2014Evaluating Conditional Forecasts from Vector Autoregressions.(2014) In: Working Papers.
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2007Forecasting with small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2007Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series.
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2006Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities.(2006) In: Research Working Paper.
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2008Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2010Averaging forecasts from VARs with uncertain instabilities.(2010) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2001Evaluating long-horizon forecasts In: Research Working Paper.
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2002Forecast-based model selection in the presence of structural breaks In: Research Working Paper.
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2003The predictive content of the output gap for inflation : resolving in-sample and out-of-sample evidence In: Research Working Paper.
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2006The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence.(2006) In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
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2003The Predictive Content of the Output Gap for Inflation: Resolving In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Evidence.(2003) In: Computing in Economics and Finance 2003.
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2008Improving forecast accuracy by combining recursive and rolling forecasts.(2008) In: Working Papers.
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2006Forecasting of small macroeconomic VARs in the presence of instabilities In: Research Working Paper.
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2009Uncertainty about when the Fed will raise interest rates In: Economic Synopses.
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2010Using stock market liquidity to forecast recessions In: Economic Synopses.
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2010Using FOMC forecasts to forecast the economy In: Economic Synopses.
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2011Should food be excluded from core CPI? In: Economic Synopses.
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2011Initial claims and employment growth: are we at the threshold? In: Economic Synopses.
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2011Housings role in a recovery In: Economic Synopses.
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2012Following the Fed with a news tracker In: Economic Synopses.
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2009How accurate are forecasts in a recession? In: National Economic Trends.
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2016Tracking the U.S. Economy with Nowcasts In: The Regional Economist.
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2010Disagreement at the FOMC: the dissenting votes are just part of the story In: The Regional Economist.
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2014Factor-based prediction of industry-wide bank stress In: Review.
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2020FRED-QD: A Quarterly Database for Macroeconomic Research.(2020) In: Working Papers.
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2010Real-time forecast averaging with ALFRED.(2010) In: Working Papers.
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2010Testing for unconditional predictive ability In: Working Papers.
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2010Reality checks and nested forecast model comparisons In: Working Papers.
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2012Comment on \Taylor rule exchange rate forecasting during the financial crisis\ In: Working Papers.
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2012Comment on Taylor Rule Exchange Rate Forecasting during the Financial Crisis.(2012) In: NBER Chapters.
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2018Asymptotic Inference for Performance Fees and the Predictability of Asset Returns.(2018) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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2019An empirical investigation of direct and iterated multistep conditional forecasts.(2019) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2019Tests of Conditional Predictive Ability: Some Simulation Evidence In: Working Papers.
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2020Diverging Tests of Equal Predictive Ability.(2020) In: Econometrica.
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2005Evaluating the Predictability of Exchange Rates Using Long-Horizon Regressions: Mind Your ps and qs! In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
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2006Pairwise tests of equal forecast accuracy (in Russian) In: Quantile.
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2005Evaluating Direct Multistep Forecasts In: Econometric Reviews.
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2011Reality Checks and Comparisons of Nested Predictive Models In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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2012Reality Checks and Comparisons of Nested Predictive Models.(2012) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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2013Comment In: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics.
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