Pilar Poncela : Citation Profile

Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

13

H index

15

i10 index

450

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

37

Articles

27

Papers

1

Chapters

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   27 years (1996 - 2023). See details.
   Cites by year: 16
   Journals where Pilar Poncela has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 35.    Total self citations: 23 (4.86 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/ppo612
   Updated: 2026-01-03    RAS profile: 2022-03-22    
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Relations with other researchers

Works with:

Ruiz, Esther (3)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Pilar Poncela.

Is cited by:

Leiva-Leon, Danilo (12)

Fuleky, Peter (10)

Sierra, Lya (10)

Perez Quiros, Gabriel (9)

Carstensen, Kai (9)

Wolters, Maik (9)

Reif, Magnus (9)

Clements, Michael (9)

Corona, Francisco (9)

Camacho, Maximo (9)

Ruiz, Esther (8)

Cites to:

Reichlin, Lucrezia (104)

Giannone, Domenico (76)

Watson, Mark (48)

Forni, Mario (44)

Lippi, Marco (40)

Bai, Jushan (37)

Ng, Serena (35)

Hallin, Marc (33)

Perez Quiros, Gabriel (27)

Camacho, Maximo (21)

Diebold, Francis (21)

Main data

Where Pilar Poncela has published?

Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting9
Empirical Economics3
Statistics & Probability Letters2
Journal of Applied Econometrics2
Revista CEPAL2
Applied Economics2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS / Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística14
Working Papers / Banco de Espaa4
CEPR Discussion Papers / C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers3

Recent works citing Pilar Poncela (2025 and 2024)

YearTitle of citing document
2024Flexible global forecast combinations. (2024). Vasnev, Andrey ; Qian, Yilin ; Thompson, Ryan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2207.07318.

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2025Inference on common trends in functional time series. (2024). Seong, Dakyung ; Nielsen, Morten. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2312.00590.

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2025Instantaneous Inflation as a Predictor of Inflation. (2025). Bonilla-Prez, Juan ; Caicedo-Garca, Edgar ; Martnez-Rivera, Wilmer. In: Borradores de Economia. RePEc:bdr:borrec:1296.

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2024Forecasting Key Macroeconomic Indicators Using DMA and DMS Methods. (2024). Pankratova, Anastasiia. In: Russian Journal of Money and Finance. RePEc:bkr:journl:v:83:y:2024:i:1:p:32-52.

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2024Improving the robustness of Markov-switching dynamic factor models with time-varying volatility. (2024). Aumond, Romain ; Royer, Julien. In: Working Papers. RePEc:crs:wpaper:2024-04.

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2024The role of comovement and time-varying dynamics in forecasting commodity prices. (2024). Venditti, Fabrizio ; Allayioti, Anastasia. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20242901.

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2025An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters. (2025). Tracy, Joseph ; Rich, Robert ; Clements, Michael. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:173:y:2025:i:c:s0165188925000260.

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2025Introducing a novel fragility index for assessing financial stability amid asset bubble episodes. (2025). Dumitrescu, Dan Gabriel ; Lupu, Iulia ; Clin, Adrian Cantemir. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:75:y:2025:i:pa:s106294082400216x.

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2025Non-stationary financial risk factors and macroeconomic vulnerability for the UK. (2025). Szendrei, Tibor ; Varga, Katalin. In: International Review of Financial Analysis. RePEc:eee:finana:v:97:y:2025:i:c:s1057521924007981.

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2024How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries. (2024). Clements, Michael ; Cepni, Oguzhan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:160-183.

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2024Accelerating peak dating in a dynamic factor Markov-switching model. (2024). van Dijk, Dick ; van Os, Bram. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:313-323.

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2024Thinking outside the container: A sparse partial least squares approach to forecasting trade flows. (2024). Stamer, Vincent. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1336-1358.

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2024Network log-ARCH models for forecasting stock market volatility. (2024). Mattera, Raffaele ; Otto, Philipp. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1539-1555.

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2024Factor-augmented forecasting in big data. (2024). Bae, Juhee. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1660-1688.

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2024Commodity returns co-movement, uncertainty shocks, and the US dollar exchange rate. (2024). Zhang, Chengsi ; Liao, Wenting ; Ma, Jun. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:143:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624000433.

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2025A Markov-switching dynamic factor framework for dating global economic cycles. (2025). Basistha, Arabinda. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:157:y:2025:i:c:s0261560625001123.

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2024Flexible global forecast combinations. (2024). Vasnev, Andrey ; Qian, Yilin ; Thompson, Ryan. In: Omega. RePEc:eee:jomega:v:126:y:2024:i:c:s0305048324000409.

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2025Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles. (2025). Wu, Haipeng ; Chen, Yiming ; Li, Beibei ; Mao, Xuefeng. In: Resources Policy. RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:101:y:2025:i:c:s0301420725000200.

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2024Seasonality in U.S. disability applications, labor market, and the pandemic echoes. (2024). Lahiri, Kajal ; Yin, Yimeng. In: Labour Economics. RePEc:eee:labeco:v:87:y:2024:i:c:s092753712400006x.

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2024Time series clustering using fragmented autocorrelations. (2024). Crato, Nuno ; Caiado, Jorge ; Albino, Andreia. In: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications. RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:650:y:2024:i:c:s0378437124004904.

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2024Short-term impacts vs. long-term contributions: The role of clean energy and ESG investments in China. (2024). Wang, Yuzhan ; Fu, Yaping ; Chen, Yanan ; Qi, Haozhi. In: Renewable Energy. RePEc:eee:renene:v:233:y:2024:i:c:s0960148124011996.

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2024Towards mega-scale decarbonized industrial park (Mega-DIP): Generative AI-driven techno-economic and environmental assessment of renewable and sustainable energy utilization in petrochemical industry. (2024). Hwangbo, Soonho ; Ifaei, Pouya ; Byun, Jaewon ; Ko, Jaerak ; Yoo, Changkyoo ; Ha, Byeongmin ; Heo, Sungku. In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. RePEc:eee:rensus:v:189:y:2024:i:pa:s1364032123007918.

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2024An empirical analysis of the effect of economic activity and COVID-19 restrictions on road traffic accidents in Italy. (2024). Mazzocchi, Mario ; Biondi, Beatrice. In: Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. RePEc:eee:soceps:v:92:y:2024:i:c:s0038012124000454.

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2024An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters. (2024). Tracy, Joseph ; Rich, Robert ; Clements, Michael. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedcwq:98806.

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2024Oil Volatility Uncertainty: Impact on Fundamental Macroeconomics and the Stock Index. (2024). Aladwani, Jassim. In: Economies. RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:6:p:140-:d:1408645.

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2025Research on Reconstructing Regional Business Cycle Analysis System Based on Electricity Big Data—A Case Study in Guangxi Province. (2025). Luo, Qideng ; Ji, Haoyang ; Xu, Yang ; Shi, Junyi ; Cui, Zhiwei. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:11:p:2921-:d:1670478.

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2025The Effects of Investor Sentiment on Stock Return Indices Under Changing Market Conditions: Evidence from South Africa. (2025). Moodley, Fabian ; Ferreira-Schenk, Sune ; Matlhaku, Kago. In: IJFS. RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:13:y:2025:i:2:p:70-:d:1646148.

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2024Fuzzy clustering of time series based on weighted conditional higher moments. (2024). Vitale, Vincenzina ; Cerqueti, Roy ; Mattera, Raffaele ; Durso, Pierpaolo ; Giovanni, Livia. In: Computational Statistics. RePEc:spr:compst:v:39:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s00180-023-01425-6.

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2025Economic activity and $$\hbox {CO}_2$$ CO 2 emissions in Spain. (2025). Ruiz, Esther ; Poncela, Pilar ; Juan, Arnzazu. In: Empirical Economics. RePEc:spr:empeco:v:68:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s00181-024-02673-1.

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2024Estimation of the TFP Gap for the Largest Five EMU Countries. (2024). Carstensen, Kai ; Kiessner, Felix ; Rossian, Thies. In: Journal of Business Cycle Research. RePEc:spr:jbuscr:v:20:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s41549-024-00092-w.

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2024Capturing Swiss economic confidence. (2024). Wegmueller, Philipp ; Glocker, Christian. In: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics. RePEc:spr:sjecst:v:160:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1186_s41937-024-00120-7.

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2024Second-round effects of food prices on core inflation in Turkey. (2024). Ozan, Yildirim Mustafa ; Fatma, Trken. In: Economics and Business Review. RePEc:vrs:ecobur:v:10:y:2024:i:4:p:32-55:n:1004.

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2025Energy prices and the structure of inflation in European Union countries. (2025). Kamil, Kotliski ; Ukasz, Markowski. In: International Journal of Management and Economics. RePEc:vrs:ijomae:v:61:y:2025:i:1:p:17-28:n:1005.

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2024Real‐time weakness of the global economy. (2024). Rots, Eyno ; Perez Quiros, Gabriel ; Leivaleon, Danilo. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. RePEc:wly:japmet:v:39:y:2024:i:5:p:813-832.

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2024Constructing a high‐frequency World Economic Gauge using a mixed‐frequency dynamic factor model. (2024). Tsiaplias, Sarantis ; Zhou, Ruining ; Chua, Chew Lian. In: Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:wly:jforec:v:43:y:2024:i:6:p:2212-2227.

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Works by Pilar Poncela:

YearTitleTypeCited
2023Understanding fluctuations through Multivariate Circulant Singular Spectrum Analysis In: Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2010Green shoots in the euro area. A real time measure In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper9
2012Extracting non-linear signals from several economic indicators In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper36
2012Extracting nonlinear signals from several economic indicators.(2012) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 36		paper
2015Extracting Nonlinear Signals from Several Economic Indicators.(2015) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 36		article
2012Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper52
2012Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time.(2012) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 52		paper
2018Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time.(2018) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 52		article
2013Short-term forecasting for empirical economists. A survey of the recently proposed algorithms In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper25
2013Short-term Forecasting for Empirical Economists: A Survey of the Recently Proposed Algorithms.(2013) In: Foundations and Trends(R) in Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 25		article
1998Measuring Intervention Effects on Multiple Time Series Subjected to Linear Restrictions: A Banking Example. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
[Citation analysis]		article0
1997Measuring intervention effects on multiplie time series subjected to linear restrictions: A Banking Example.(1997) In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0		paper
2012Green Shoots and Double Dips in the Euro Area. A Real Time Measure In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper25
2014Green shoots and double dips in the euro area: A real time measure.(2014) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 25		article
1996Pooling information and forecasting with dynamic factor analysis In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2017Estimating non-stationary common factors : Implications for risk sharing In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper9
2020Estimating Non-stationary Common Factors: Implications for Risk Sharing.(2020) In: Computational Economics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 9		article
2020Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: this is not just another survey In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper14
2021Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing: This is not just another survey.(2021) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 14		article
2021Dynamic factor models: does the specification matter? In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
1997Data graduation based on statistical time series methods In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper3
2001Data graduation based on statistical time series methods.(2001) In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 3		article
1997Eigenstructure of nonstationary factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper1
2000Forecasting with nostationary dynamic factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper29
2004Forecasting with nonstationary dynamic factor models.(2004) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 29		article
2002Forecasting monthly us consumer price indexes through a disaggregated I(2) analysis In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper8
2012Sparse partial least squares in time series for macroeconomic forecasting In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper17
2015Sparse Partial Least Squares in Time Series for Macroeconomic Forecasting.(2015) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 17		article
2012More is not always better : back to the Kalman filter in dynamic factor models In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper5
2014Selecting and combining experts from survey forecasts In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper1
2015Small versus big-data factor extraction in Dynamic Factor Models: An empirical assessment In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper6
2016Small- Versus Big-Data Factor Extraction in Dynamic Factor Models: An Empirical Assessment.(2016) In: Advances in Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 6		chapter
2016Determining the number of factors after stationary univariate transformations In: DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper5
2017Determining the number of factors after stationary univariate transformations.(2017) In: Empirical Economics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 5		article
2014México: la combinación de las predicciones mensuales de inflación mediante encuestas In: Revista CEPAL.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article0
2014Mexico: Combining monthly inflation predictions from surveys In: Revista CEPAL.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article0
2013Automatic tuning of Kalman filters by maximum likelihood methods for wind energy forecasting In: Applied Energy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article17
2022Seasonality in COVID-19 times In: Economics Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article2
2004Time series analysis by state space methods: J. Durbin and S.J. Koopman, Oxford Statistical Series 24, 2001, Oxford University Press, ISBN 0-19-852354-8, 254 pages, price: [UK pound]36.00 (hardback) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article0
2005Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article8
2005Introduction to nonlinearities, business cycles, and forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article1
2006Forecasting traffic accidents using disaggregated data In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article9
2011Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques In: International Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article27
2011Forecast combination through dimension reduction techniques.(2011) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 27		article
2016Choosing a dynamic common factor as a coincident index In: Statistics & Probability Letters.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article3
2010Green Shoots? Where, when and how? In: Working Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2021Improving Wind Power Forecasts: Combination through Multivariate Dimension Reduction Techniques In: Energies.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article4
2021Circulant Singular Spectrum Analysis to Monitor the State of the Economy in Real Time In: Mathematics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article0
2014Some New Results on the Estimation of Structural Budget Balance for Spain In: Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article5
2016Risk Sharing in Europe In: JRC Research Reports.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper5
2002Forecasting European GNP Data through Common Factor Models and Other Procedures. In: Journal of Forecasting.
[Citation analysis]		article6
2018New Risk Sharing Channels in OECD Countries: a Heterogeneous Panel VAR In: JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper10
2020Global vs Sectoral Factors and the Impact of the Financialization in Commodity Price Changes In: Open Economies Review.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article0
2017Automatic Signal Extraction for Stationary and Non-Stationary Time Series by Circulant SSA In: MPRA Paper.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper0
2019A Review of International Risk Sharing for Policy Analysis In: East Asian Economic Review.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article8
2020A fragmented-periodogram approach for clustering big data time series In: Advances in Data Analysis and Classification.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article6
2017Long-term links between raw materials prices, real exchange rate and relative de-industrialization in a commodity-dependent economy: empirical evidence of “Dutch disease” in Colombia In: Empirical Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article11
2017Measuring uncertainty and assessing its predictive power in the euro area In: Empirical Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article9
2017A new look at oil price pass-through into inflation: evidence from disaggregated European data In: Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article13
2006A two factor model to combine US inflation forecasts In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article2
2014Common dynamics of nonenergy commodity prices and their relation to uncertainty In: Applied Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article23
2006Demand Forecast and Elasticities Estimation of Public Transport In: Journal of Transport Economics and Policy.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article17
2007The relationship between road traffic accidents and real economic activity in spain: common cycles and health issues In: Health Economics.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article16
2014The Effects of Disaggregation on Forecasting Nonstationary Time Series In: Journal of Forecasting.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		article2
2020A comment on the dynamic factor model with dynamic factors In: Economics Discussion Papers.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]		paper1

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