Allan Timmermann : Citation Profile


University of California-San Diego (UCSD) (34% share)
University of California-San Diego (UCSD) (33% share)
Aarhus Universitet (33% share)

49

H index

72

i10 index

10083

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

62

Articles

103

Papers

1

Chapters

EDITOR:

1

Books edited

2

Series edited

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   33 years (1990 - 2023). See details.
   Cites by year: 305
   Journals where Allan Timmermann has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 452.    Total self citations: 63 (0.62 %)

MORE DETAILS IN:
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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pti8
   Updated: 2025-12-20    RAS profile: 2023-03-10    
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Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Allan Timmermann.

Is cited by:

Guidolin, Massimo (249)

Clements, Michael (132)

Rossi, Barbara (125)

Ravazzolo, Francesco (112)

Pierdzioch, Christian (111)

Pesaran, Mohammad (102)

van Dijk, Dick (87)

GUPTA, RANGAN (85)

Franses, Philip Hans (66)

Hyde, Stuart (65)

Maheu, John (64)

Cites to:

Campbell, John (65)

Pesaran, Mohammad (54)

Diebold, Francis (46)

Ang, Andrew (29)

Stambaugh, Robert (29)

Bekaert, Geert (28)

Watson, Mark (28)

Shiller, Robert (28)

West, Kenneth (26)

Hamilton, James (25)

Elliott, Graham (24)

Main data


Where Allan Timmermann has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
Journal of Econometrics13
International Journal of Forecasting6
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics5
Economic Journal4
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control4
Journal of Empirical Finance3
Economics Letters3
The Journal of Business2
Journal of the American Statistical Association2
Journal of Finance2
Journal of Applied Econometrics2
Journal of Financial Econometrics2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
CEPR Discussion Papers / C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers27
CESifo Working Paper Series / CESifo7
University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series / Department of Economics, UC San Diego6
IZA Discussion Papers / Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)3
Working Papers / Banco de México3
Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 / Society for Computational Economics2
Finance / University Library of Munich, Germany2
NBER Working Papers / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc2
CFR Working Papers / University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR)2
Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers / Econometric Society2

Recent works citing Allan Timmermann (2025 and 2024)


YearTitle of citing document
2025The intertemporal relationship between downside risks and expected stock returns: Evidence from time-varying transition probability models. (2025). Enow, Samuel Tabot. In: International Journal of Business Ecosystem & Strategy (2687-2293). RePEc:adi:ijbess:v:7:y:2025:i:2:p:319-323.

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2024The essential role of U.S.-China tensions: a fresh insight into the gold market. (2024). Qin, Meng. In: Theoretical and Applied Economics. RePEc:agr:journl:v:xxxi:y:2024:i:4(641):p:227-246.

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2025Título del Documento en Inglés. (2025). Segura-Rodriguez, Carlos. In: Documentos de Trabajo. RePEc:apk:doctra:2509.

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2024Univariate inflation forecasts in Costa Rica: model evaluation and selection. (2024). Brenes-Soto, Carlos ; Jimnez-Montero, Susan ; Sand-Esquivel, Adriana ; Vindas-Quesada, Alberto. In: Notas Técnicas. RePEc:apk:nottec:2405.

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2024Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests. (2024). Kaplan, David ; Zhuo, Longhao. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1607.00393.

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2025Quantile-Frequency Analysis and Spectral Divergence Metrics for Diagnostic Checks of Time Series With Nonlinear Dynamics. (2019). Li, Ta-Hsin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1908.02545.

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2024Testing Forecast Rationality for Measures of Central Tendency. (2024). Patton, Andrew ; Dimitriadis, Timo ; Schmidt, Patrick. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1910.12545.

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2024To Bag is to Prune. (2024). Goulet Coulombe, Philippe. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2008.07063.

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2025Binary Choice with Asymmetric Loss in a Data-Rich Environment: Theory and an Application to Racial Justice. (2021). Babii, Andrii ; Chen, XI ; Kumar, Rohit ; Ghysels, Eric. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2010.08463.

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2024Regime-Switching Density Forecasts Using Economists Scenarios. (2024). Moramarco, Graziano. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2110.13761.

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2024Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States. (2024). Moramarco, Graziano. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2111.00822.

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2024Market-Based Price Autocorrelation. (2024). Olkhov, Victor. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2202.09323.

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2024Ensemble distributional forecasting for insurance loss reserving. (2024). Li, Yanfeng ; Wong, Bernard ; Avanzi, Benjamin ; Xian, Alan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2206.08541.

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2024Flexible global forecast combinations. (2024). Vasnev, Andrey ; Qian, Yilin ; Thompson, Ryan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2207.07318.

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2024Modelling Large Dimensional Datasets with Markov Switching Factor Models. (2024). Barigozzi, Matteo ; Massacci, Daniele. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.09828.

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2024Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts. (2024). Plett, Hendrik ; Kruger, Fabian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.13562.

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2024Fast Forecasting of Unstable Data Streams for On-Demand Service Platforms. (2024). Wilms, Ines ; Hu, Yu Jeffrey ; Rombouts, Jeroen. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2303.01887.

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2025Latent Factor Analysis in Short Panels. (2024). Scaillet, Olivier ; Gagliardini, Patrick ; Fortin, Alain-Philippe. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2306.14004.

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2024Large Skew-t Copula Models and Asymmetric Dependence in Intraday Equity Returns. (2024). Maneesoonthorn, Worapree ; Smith, Michael Stanley ; Deng, Lin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2308.05564.

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2024Forecasting with Feedback. (2024). Lieli, Robert P ; Nieto-Barthaburu, Augusto. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2308.15062.

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2024Beveridgean Phillips Curve. (2024). Michaillat, Pascal ; Saez, Emmanuel. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2401.12475.

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2024A simple method for joint evaluation of skill in directional forecasts of multiple variables. (2024). Sitthiyot, Thitithep ; Holasut, Kanyarat. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.01142.

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2024Fast Online Changepoint Detection. (2024). Rossi, Eduardo ; Trapani, Lorenzo ; Ghezzi, Fabrizio. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.04433.

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2024What drives the European carbon market? Macroeconomic factors and forecasts. (2024). Rossini, Luca ; Bastianin, Andrea ; Qin, Yan ; Mirto, Elisabetta. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.04828.

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2024Downside Risk Reduction Using Regime-Switching Signals: A Statistical Jump Model Approach. (2024). Shu, Yizhan ; Mulvey, John M ; Yu, Chenyu. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.05272.

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2024Cross-Temporal Forecast Reconciliation at Digital Platforms with Machine Learning. (2024). Wilms, Ines ; Ternes, Marie ; Rombouts, Jeroen. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.09033.

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2024Quantifying neural network uncertainty under volatility clustering. (2024). , Steven ; Azizi, Lamiae. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.14476.

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2024MEV Sharing with Dynamic Extraction Rates. (2024). Leonardos, Stefanos ; Krysta, Piotr ; Braga, Pedro ; Piliouras, Georgios ; Chionas, Georgios ; Ventre, Carmine. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.15849.

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2025Forecasting with panel data: Estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity. (2024). Pesaran, Mohammad ; Pick, Andreas ; Timmermann, Allan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2404.11198.

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2024Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for both duration and severity with bivariate orthogonal polynomials. (2024). Hurlin, Christophe ; Lu, Yang. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2405.02012.

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2024Comparing predictive ability in presence of instability over a very short time. (2024). Rossini, Luca ; Iacone, Fabrizio ; Viselli, Andrea. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2405.11954.

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2024Adaptive combinations of tail-risk forecasts. (2024). Amendola, Alessandra ; Candila, Vincenzo ; Storti, Giuseppe ; Naimoli, Antonio. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2406.06235.

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2024Dynamic Asset Allocation with Asset-Specific Regime Forecasts. (2024). Shu, Yizhan ; Mulvey, John M ; Yu, Chenyu. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2406.09578.

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2025Estimating Time-Varying Parameters of Various Smoothness in Linear Models via Kernel Regression. (2025). Nishi, Mikihito. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2406.14046.

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2024What Teaches Robots to Walk, Teaches Them to Trade too -- Regime Adaptive Execution using Informed Data and LLMs. (2024). Saqur, Raeid. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2406.15508.

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2024Volatility modeling in a Markovian environment: Two Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-related approaches. (2024). Behme, Anita. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.05866.

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2024Covariance Matrix Analysis for Optimal Portfolio Selection. (2024). Shen, Lim Hao. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.08748.

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2024The Blockchain Risk Parity Line: Moving From The Efficient Frontier To The Final Frontier Of Investments. (2024). Kashyap, Ravi. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.09536.

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2024Temporal Representation Learning for Stock Similarities and Its Applications in Investment Management. (2024). Hwang, Yoontae ; Lee, Yongjae ; Zohren, Stefan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.13751.

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2024The Concentration Risk Indicator: Raising the Bar for Financial Stability and Portfolio Performance Measurement. (2024). Kashyap, Ravi. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2408.07271.

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2024A simple but powerful tail index regression. (2024). Rodrigues, Paulo ; Nicolau, Joao. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2409.13531.

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2024Persistence-Robust Break Detection in Predictive Quantile and CoVaR Regressions. (2024). Hoga, Yannick. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2410.05861.

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2024Dynamic Factor Allocation Leveraging Regime-Switching Signals. (2024). Mulvey, John M ; Shu, Yizhan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2410.14841.

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2025Long time behavior of semi-Markov modulated perpetuity and some related processes. (2025). Majumder, Abhishek Pal. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2410.15824.

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2024International vulnerability of inflation. (2024). Ruiz, Esther ; Garr, Ignacio ; Rodr, Vladimir C. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2410.20628.

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2025Asymptotic Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Markov-switching Observation-driven Models. (2024). Krabbe, Frederik. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2412.19555.

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2025How low-cost AI universal approximators reshape market efficiency. (2025). Morone, Flaviano ; Barucca, Paolo. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2501.07489.

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2025Simple Inference on a Simplex-Valued Weight. (2025). Canen, Nathan ; Song, Kyungchul. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2501.15692.

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2025Decision-informed Neural Networks with Large Language Model Integration for Portfolio Optimization. (2025). Lee, Yongjae ; Zohren, Stefan ; Kong, Yaxuan ; Hwang, Yoontae. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.00828.

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2025De Finettis problem with fixed transaction costs and regime switching. (2025). Zhou, Xiaowen ; Yan, Kaixin ; Yamazaki, Kazutoshi ; Xu, Zuo Quan ; Wang, Wenyuan. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.05839.

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2025The Risk-Neutral Equivalent Pricing of Model-Uncertainty. (2025). Wren, Ken Kangda. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.13744.

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2025The Uncertainty of Machine Learning Predictions in Asset Pricing. (2025). Neuhierl, Andreas ; Ma, Xinjie ; Liao, Yuan ; Schilling, Linda. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.00549.

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2025Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market. (2025). Chke, Katarzyna ; Uniejewski, Bartosz ; Weron, Rafal. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.02518.

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2025Tactical Asset Allocation with Macroeconomic Regime Detection. (2025). Oliveira, Daniel Cunha ; Sandfelder, Dylan ; Dong, Xiaowen ; Cucuringu, Mihai. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.11499.

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2025Simultaneous Inference Bands for Autocorrelations. (2025). Zahn, Tanja ; Pohle, Marc-Oliver ; Hassler, Uwe. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.18560.

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2025Can LLM-based Financial Investing Strategies Outperform the Market in Long Run?. (2025). Li, Weixian Waylon ; Kim, Hyeonjun ; Ma, Tiejun ; Cucuringu, Mihai. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2505.07078.

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2025Testing Clustered Equal Predictive Ability with Unknown Clusters. (2025). Akgun, Oguzhan ; Urga, Giovanni ; Pirotte, Alain ; Yang, Zhenlin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2507.14621.

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2025A general randomized test for Alpha. (2025). Vallarino, Pierluigi ; Sarno, Lucio ; Trapani, Lorenzo ; Massacci, Daniele. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2507.17599.

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2025ProteuS: A Generative Approach for Simulating Concept Drift in Financial Markets. (2025). Cervantes, Alejandro ; Quintana, David ; Su, Andr'Es L. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2509.11844.

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2025Adaptive and Regime-Aware RL for Portfolio Optimization. (2025). Raj, Gabriel Nixon. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2509.14385.

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2025Forecasting in small open emerging economies Evidence from Thailand. (2025). Aunsri, Nattapol ; Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2509.14805.

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2025RegimeFolio: A Regime Aware ML System for Sectoral Portfolio Optimization in Dynamic Markets. (2025). Zhang, Yiyao ; Goel, Diksha ; Szabo, Claudia ; Ahmad, Hussain. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2510.14986.

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2025Prediction Intervals for Model Averaging. (2025). Qu, Zhongjun ; Zhang, Xiaomeng ; Wang, Wendun. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2510.16224.

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2025Tailoring Portfolio Choice via Quantile-Targeted Policies. (2025). Baruník, Jozef ; Sarkany, Attila ; Janasek, Lukas ; Barunik, Jozef. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2510.19271.

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2025Moment connectedness and driving factors in the energy-food nexus: A time-frequency perspective. (2025). Nguyen, Duc Khuong ; Dai, Yun-Shi ; Goutte, St'Ephane ; Zhou, Wei-Xing. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2510.24174.

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2025When Reasoning Fails: Evaluating Thinking LLMs for Stock Prediction. (2025). Sodha, Rakeshkumar H. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2511.08608.

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2025A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Time Series Forecasting. (2025). Malgorzewicz, W ; Stocker, M ; Fontana, M ; ben Taieb, S. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2511.13608.

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2025Threshold Tensor Factor Model in CP Form. (2025). Chen, Rong ; Bolivar, Stevenson ; Han, Yuefeng. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2511.19796.

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2024Real-time Nowcasting Growth-at-Risk using the Survey of Professional Forecasters. (2024). Schick, Manuel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0750.

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2024Heterogeneous Expectations among Professional Forecasters. (2024). Lahiri, Kajal ; Conrad, Christian. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0754.

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2025Nonlinear Dynamics in Monetary Policy-Fueled Stock Market Bubbles. (2025). Magnani, Monia ; Guidolin, Massimo. In: BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers. RePEc:baf:cbafwp:cbafwp25252.

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2024Machine Learning and Economic Forecasting: the role of international trade networks. (2024). Silva, Thiago ; Berri, Paulo Victor ; Amancio, Diego Raphael. In: Working Papers Series. RePEc:bcb:wpaper:597.

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2025Risk€“Return Efficiency in Emerging Dual Financial Markets: A Comparative Study of Markowitz Mean€“Variance and Sharpe Single-Index Portfolio Models in Malaysia. (2025). Nik, Nik Rozila ; Hadi, Muhammad Abd ; Hussain, Nordianah Jusoh ; Talib, Adi Hakim ; Ahmad, Nurul Ainun ; Zaki, Bushra Mohd. In: International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science. RePEc:bcp:journl:v:9:y:2025:issue-9:p:2934-2948.

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2024Consumer Prices Trends in Colombia: Detecting Breaks and Forecasting Infation. (2024). Zarate-Solano, Hector ; Rodrguez-Nio, Norberto ; Zrate-Solano, Hctor M. In: Borradores de Economia. RePEc:bdr:borrec:1289.

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2025Assessing Asymmetric Macroeconomic Risk. (2025). Lhuissier, Stéphane. In: Working papers. RePEc:bfr:banfra:1004.

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2024Inflation (De-)Anchoring in the Euro Area. (2024). De Backer, Bruno ; Vladu, Andreea Liliana ; Burban, Valentin. In: Working papers. RePEc:bfr:banfra:965.

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2025Policy evaluation with Sufficient Macro Statistics -a primer. (2025). Barnichon, Raegis ; Mesters, Geert. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bge:wpaper:1474.

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2025Lumpy Forecasts. (2025). Turen, Javier ; Baley, Isaac. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bge:wpaper:1476.

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2024Covered interest parity: a forecasting approach to estimate the neutral band. (2024). Hernandez, Juan. In: BIS Working Papers. RePEc:bis:biswps:1206.

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2024CLARA and CARLSON: Combination of Ensemble and Neural Network Machine Learning Methods for GDP Forecasting. (2024). Bozhechkova, Alexandra ; Dzhunkeev, Urmat. In: Russian Journal of Money and Finance. RePEc:bkr:journl:v:83:y:2024:i:3:p:45-69.

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2025Estimation and Forecasting of Russian Money Market Yield Curves. (2025). Magzhanov, Timur ; Fedorov, Dmitry ; Kartaev, Philipp. In: Russian Journal of Money and Finance. RePEc:bkr:journl:v:84:y:2025:i:2:p:36-64.

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2024Higherâ€order moments and asset pricing in the Australian stock market. (2024). Ahadzie, Richard Mawulawoe ; Jeyasreedharan, Nagaratnam. In: Accounting and Finance. RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:64:y:2024:i:1:p:75-128.

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2024Machine learning to predict grains futures prices. (2024). Sckokai, Paolo ; Brignoli, Paolo Libenzio ; Gardebroek, Cornelis ; Varacca, Alessandro. In: Agricultural Economics. RePEc:bla:agecon:v:55:y:2024:i:3:p:479-497.

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2024Predictive model averaging with parameter instability and heteroskedasticity. (2024). Yin, Anwen. In: Bulletin of Economic Research. RePEc:bla:buecrs:v:76:y:2024:i:2:p:418-442.

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2024Forecasting the UK top 1% income share in a shifting world. (2024). Hendry, David ; Doornik, Jurgen ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Economica. RePEc:bla:econom:v:91:y:2024:i:363:p:1047-1074.

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2024Exploring the impact of oil security attention on oil volatility: A new perspective. (2024). Li, Shan ; Wang, LU ; Liang, Chao. In: International Finance. RePEc:bla:intfin:v:27:y:2024:i:1:p:61-80.

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2024Consumers macroeconomic expectations. (2024). Lamla, Michael ; Dräger, Lena ; Drger, Lena. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:38:y:2024:i:2:p:427-451.

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2024Measuring “Dark Matter†in Asset Pricing Models. (2024). Dou, Winston ; Kogan, Leonid ; Chen, Hui. In: Journal of Finance. RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:79:y:2024:i:2:p:843-902.

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2024Wrong Kind of Transparency? Mutual Funds’ Higher Reporting Frequency, Window Dressing, and Performance. (2024). Zhang, Zilong ; Yeung, Eric P ; Xin, Xiangang. In: Journal of Accounting Research. RePEc:bla:joares:v:62:y:2024:i:2:p:737-781.

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2024Relative performance evaluation and wage inequality. (2024). Pi, Jiancai ; Li, Zixin. In: Manchester School. RePEc:bla:manchs:v:92:y:2024:i:3:p:296-312.

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2024Solving the Forecast Combination Puzzle Using Double Shrinkages. (2024). Wang, Yudong ; Hao, Xianfeng ; Liu, LI. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. RePEc:bla:obuest:v:86:y:2024:i:3:p:714-741.

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2024Testing for timeâ€varying nonlinear dependence structures: Regimeâ€switching and local Gaussian correlation. (2024). Stve, Brd ; Maruotti, Antonello ; Bacri, Timothe ; Gundersen, Kristian ; Hlleland, Sondre ; Bulla, Jan. In: Scandinavian Journal of Statistics. RePEc:bla:scjsta:v:51:y:2024:i:3:p:1012-1060.

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2025CALENDAR EFFECTS IN IRAQ STOCK EXCHANGE SECTOR RETURNS. (2025). Faez, Hasan Mohammed. In: Revista Economica. RePEc:blg:reveco:v:77:y:2025:i:2:p:7-34.

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2024Has the Phillips curve flattened?. (2024). Rossi, Barbara ; Inoue, Atsushi ; Wang, Yiru. In: French Stata Users' Group Meetings 2024. RePEc:boc:fsug24:22.

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2024Asymmetric expectations of monetary policy. (2024). Busetto, Filippo. In: Bank of England working papers. RePEc:boe:boeewp:1058.

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2024Forecast accuracy and efficiency at the Bank of England – and how errors can be leveraged to do better. (2024). Willems, Tim ; Kanngiesser, Derrick. In: Bank of England working papers. RePEc:boe:boeewp:1078.

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2024Merging Structural and Reduced-Form Models for Forecasting. (2024). Piersanti, Fabio Massimo ; onorante, luca ; Martinez-Martin, Jaime ; Massimo, Piersanti Fabio ; Luca, Onorante ; Richard, Morris ; Jaime, Martinez-Martin. In: The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:bpj:bejmac:v:24:y:2024:i:1:p:399-437:n:2.

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2024The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting. (2024). Rauh, Christopher ; Pérez, Javier ; Mueller, Hannes ; Molina Sánchez, Luis ; Diakonova, M ; Prez, J J. In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics. RePEc:cam:camdae:2418.

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2024The Information Content of Conflict, Social Unrest and Policy Uncertainty Measures for Macroeconomic Forecasting. (2024). Rauh, Christopher ; Pérez, Javier ; Mueller, Hannes ; Molina Sánchez, Luis ; Diakonova, M ; Prez, J J. In: Janeway Institute Working Papers. RePEc:cam:camjip:2413.

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2024Learning about the Long Run. (2024). Nakamura, Emi ; Farmer, Leland E ; Steinsson, JN. In: Department of Economics, Working Paper Series. RePEc:cdl:econwp:qt0tn1s1hp.

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2024Beveridgean Phillips Curve. (2024). Michaillat, Pascal ; Saez, Emmanuel. In: Santa Cruz Department of Economics, Working Paper Series. RePEc:cdl:ucscec:qt5zt7g6hk.

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More than 100 citations found, this list is not complete...

Allan Timmermann is editor of


Journal
Handbook of Economic Forecasting
Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Allan Timmermann has edited the books:


YearTitleTypeCited

Works by Allan Timmermann:


YearTitleTypeCited
2008The Resolution of Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Survey Forecast In: CREATES Research Papers.
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paper6
2008Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts In: CREATES Research Papers.
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paper383
2006Forecast Combination with Entry and Exit of Experts.(2006) In: Working Papers.
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paper
2009Forecast Combination With Entry and Exit of Experts.(2009) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 383
article
2008Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations In: CREATES Research Papers.
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paper189
2006Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations.(2006) In: Working Papers.
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paper
2009Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations.(2009) In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 189
article
2006Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations.(2006) In: Computing in Economics and Finance 2006.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 189
paper
2010Forecast Combinations In: CREATES Research Papers.
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paper446
2010Forecast Combinations.(2010) In: Working Papers.
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paper
2005Forecast Combinations.(2005) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2006Forecast Combinations.(2006) In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting.
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chapter
2008Economic Forecasting In: Journal of Economic Literature.
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article294
2007Economic Forecasting.(2007) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2001Option prices and implied volatility dynamics under Bayesian learning In: CeNDEF Workshop Papers, January 2001.
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paper7
2005Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium In: Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance.
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paper26
2003Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium.(2003) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2005Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium.(2005) In: Economic Journal.
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article
2004Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium.(2004) In: Finance.
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paper
2004Relative Performance Evaluation Contracts and Asset Market Equilibrium.(2004) In: Finance.
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paper
2007Testing Forecast Optimality Under Unknown Loss In: Journal of the American Statistical Association.
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article110
2009Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multicategory Variables In: Journal of the American Statistical Association.
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article194
2006Testing Dependence Among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables.(2006) In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper
2006Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-category Variables.(2006) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2006Testing Dependence among Serially Correlated Multi-Category Variables.(2006) In: IZA Discussion Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 194
paper
1992A Simple Nonparametric Test of Predictive Performance. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
[Citation analysis]
article481
1990A SIMPLE, NON-PARAMETRIC TEST OF PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE..(1990) In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper
1990A SIMPLE NON-PARAMETRIC TEST OF PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE..(1990) In: California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 481
paper
2001Structural Breaks, Incomplete Information, and Stock Prices. In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article51
2001Structural Breaks, Incomplete Information and Stock Prices.(2001) In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper
2004Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article136
2003Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets.(2003) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2000Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets.(2000) In: Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 136
paper
2011Predictability of Output Growth and Inflation: A Multi-Horizon Survey Approach In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article53
1995 Predictability of Stock Returns: Robustness and Economic Significance. In: Journal of Finance.
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article483
2006Can Mutual Fund “Stars†Really Pick Stocks? New Evidence from a Bootstrap Analysis In: Journal of Finance.
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article330
2005Can mutual fund stars really pick stocks? New evidence from a bootstrap analysis.(2005) In: CFR Working Papers.
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paper
2003Recursive Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics in UK Stock Returns In: Manchester School.
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article12
2008Return Predictability under Equilibrium Constraints on the Equity Premium In: Working Papers.
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paper1
2003How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series? In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper102
2003How Costly is it to Ignore Breaks when Forecasting the Direction of a Time Series?.(2003) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2004How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?.(2004) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article
2003Small Sample Properties of Forecasts from Autoregressive Models under Structural Breaks In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper239
2003Small Sample Properties of Forecasts from Autoregressive Models under Structural Breaks.(2003) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2004Small Sample Properties of Forecasts From Autoregressive Models Under Structural Breaks.(2004) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2005Small sample properties of forecasts from autoregressive models under structural breaks.(2005) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article
2004‘Real Time Econometrics’ In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper28
2004Real Time Econometrics.(2004) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2004Real Time Econometrics.(2004) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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2005REAL-TIME ECONOMETRICS.(2005) In: Econometric Theory.
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2004Real Time Econometrics.(2004) In: IZA Discussion Papers.
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2004‘Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks’ In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper243
2004Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks.(2004) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2004Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks.(2004) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
2004Forecasting Time Series Subject to Multiple Structural Breaks.(2004) In: IZA Discussion Papers.
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paper
2006Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper45
2006Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations.(2006) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2006Learning, structural instability and present value calculations.(2006) In: Computing in Economics and Finance 2006.
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paper
2006Learning, Structural Instability and Present Value Calculations.(2006) In: IEPR Working Papers.
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paper
2007Learning, Structural Instability, and Present Value Calculations.(2007) In: Econometric Reviews.
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article
2006Learning, structural instability and present value calculations.(2006) In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies.
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paper
2009Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper1
2009Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems.(2009) In: CESifo Working Paper Series.
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paper
2009Variable Selection and Inference for Multi-period Forecasting Problems.(2009) In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper
1990THE STATISTICAL AND ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF EXESS RETURNS ON COMMON STOCKS. In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper2
1990THE STATISTICAL AND ECONOMIC SIGNIFICANCE OF THE PREDICTABILITY OF EXCESS RETURNS ON COMMON STOCKS..(1990) In: California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics.
[Citation analysis]
This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 2
paper
1992Forecasting Stock Returns. In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper4
1992A Generalisation of the Non-Parametric Henriksson-Merton Test of Market Timing. In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
[Citation analysis]
paper43
1994A generalization of the non-parametric Henriksson-Merton test of market timing.(1994) In: Economics Letters.
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article
1995The Use of Recursive Model Selection Strategies in Forecasting Stock Returns. In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper0
1996A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns In: Cambridge Working Papers in Economics.
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paper123
2000A Recursive Modelling Approach to Predicting UK Stock Returns..(2000) In: Economic Journal.
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article
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paper
2002Optimal Forecast Combination Under General Loss Functions and Forecast Error Distributions In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper110
2004Optimal forecast combinations under general loss functions and forecast error distributions.(2004) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article
1998The Hazards of Mutual Fund Underperformance: A Cox Regression Analysis In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper40
1999The hazards of mutual fund underperformance: A Cox regression analysis.(1999) In: Journal of Empirical Finance.
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article
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1998Dangers of Data-Driven Inference: The Case of Calendar Effects in Stock Returns In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper10
.() In: .
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2002How Stable are Financial Prediction Models? Evidence from US and International Stock Market Data In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper5
1999Model Instability and Choice of Observation Window In: University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series.
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paper8
1997Performance Measurement using Multiple Asset Class Portfolio Data In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper6
1998Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance and the Bootstrap In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper326
.() In: .
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paper
2001Option Prices under Bayesian Learning: Implied Volatility Dynamics and Predictive Densities In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper55
2003Option prices under Bayesian learning: implied volatility dynamics and predictive densities.(2003) In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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article
.() In: .
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2001Forecast Evaluation with Shared Data Sets In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper23
2003Forecast evaluation with shared data sets.(2003) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article
2002International Asset Allocation with Time-Varying Investment Opportunities In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper18
2005International Asset Allocation with Time-Varying Investment Opportunities.(2005) In: The Journal of Business.
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article
2002Efficient Market Hypothesis and Forecasting In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper158
2004Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting.(2004) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 158
article
2003Estimating Loss Function Parameters In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper12
2003Properties of Optimal Forecasts In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper15
2004Properties of Optimal Forecasts.(2004) In: Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings.
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paper
2004Country and Industry Dynamics in Stock Returns In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper7
2004Term Structure of Risk Under Alternative Econometric Specifications In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper69
2006Term structure of risk under alternative econometric specifications.(2006) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article
2004Optimal Forecast Combination Under Regime Switching In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper62
2005OPTIMAL FORECAST COMBINATION UNDER REGIME SWITCHING *.(2005) In: International Economic Review.
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article
2007Forecasts of US Short-term Interest Rates: A Flexible Forecast Combination Approach In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper63
2009Forecasts of US short-term interest rates: A flexible forecast combination approach.(2009) In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article
2007Learning in Real Time: Theory and Empirical Evidence from the Term Structure of Survey Forecasts In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper4
2009Risky Arbitrage Strategies: Optimal Portfolio Choice and Economic Implications In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper0
2010Understanding Analysts Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities and Predictability In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper2
2010Understanding Analysts Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities, and Predictability.(2010) In: Journal of Financial Econometrics.
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2010Common Factors in Latin America’s Business Cycles In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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2011Common factors in Latin Americas business cycles.(2011) In: Journal of Development Economics.
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2010Decentralized Investment Management: Evidence from the Pension Fund Industry In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper45
2010Decentralized investment management: evidence from the pension fund industry.(2010) In: MPRA Paper.
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2011Forecast Rationality Tests Based on Multi-Horizon Bounds In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper91
2011Regime Changes and Financial Markets In: CEPR Discussion Papers.
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paper223
2011Regime Changes and Financial Markets.(2011) In: NBER Working Papers.
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2010Combining the forecasts in the ECB survey of professional forecasters: can anything beat the simple average? In: Working Paper Series.
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paper21
2003Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock Returns In: Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2003.
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1994Can Agents Learn to Form Rational Expectations? Some Results on Convergence and Stability of Learning in the UK Stock Market. In: Economic Journal.
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article13
2005Economic Implications of Bull and Bear Regimes in UK Stock and Bond Returns In: Economic Journal.
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article130
2004Strategic Asset Allocation and Consumption Decisions under Multivariate Regime Switching In: Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings.
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paper13
2004Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss? In: Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings.
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paper194
2008Biases in Macroeconomic Forecasts: Irrationality or Asymmetric Loss?.(2008) In: Journal of the European Economic Association.
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article
2000Implied Learning Paths from Option Prices In: Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers.
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paper0
1999Data mining with local model specification uncertainty: a discussion of Hoover and Perez In: Econometrics Journal.
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1994Present value models with feedback : Solutions, stability, bubbles, and some empirical evidence In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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article17
2007Asset allocation under multivariate regime switching In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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article223
2007Properties of equilibrium asset prices under alternative learning schemes In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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1994Optimal properties of exponentially weighted forecasts in the presence of different information sources In: Economics Letters.
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1994Why do dividend yields forecast stock returns? In: Economics Letters.
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2001Business cycle asymmetries in stock returns: Evidence from higher order moments and conditional densities In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article103
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2001Business Cycle Asymmetries in Stock Returns: Evidence from Higher Order Moments and Conditional Densities..(2001) In: Quebec a Montreal - Recherche en gestion.
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2001Dangers of data mining: The case of calendar effects in stock returns In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article101
2006Persistence in forecasting performance and conditional combination strategies In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article175
2007Selection of estimation window in the presence of breaks In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article310
2007Properties of optimal forecasts under asymmetric loss and nonlinearity In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article93
2011Annals issue on forecasting--Guest editors introduction In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article1
2011Variable selection, estimation and inference for multi-period forecasting problems In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article69
2011Predictability of stock returns and asset allocation under structural breaks In: Journal of Econometrics.
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2000Moments of Markov switching models In: Journal of Econometrics.
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2006Instability of return prediction models In: Journal of Empirical Finance.
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2002Market timing and return prediction under model instability In: Journal of Empirical Finance.
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1995On the optimality of adaptive expectations: Muth revisited In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2008Elusive return predictability In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2008Reply to the discussion of Elusive Return Predictability In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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2010Monotonicity in asset returns: New tests with applications to the term structure, the CAPM, and portfolio sorts In: Journal of Financial Economics.
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2010Why do forecasters disagree? Lessons from the term structure of cross-sectional dispersion In: Journal of Monetary Economics.
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2012Choice of Sample Split in Out-of-Sample Forecast Evaluation In: Economics Working Papers.
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1995Cointegration Tests of Present Value Models with a Time-Varying Discount Factor. In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2006An econometric model of nonlinear dynamics in the joint distribution of stock and bond returns In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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2005Completion time structures of stock price movements In: Annals of Finance.
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2005The Forecasing time series subject to multiple structure breaks In: Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005.
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2023Breaks in the Phillips Curve: Evidence from Panel Data In: NBER Working Papers.
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2008Size and Value Anomalies under Regime Shifts In: Journal of Financial Econometrics.
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2008International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences In: The Review of Financial Studies.
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2007An Evaluation of the World Economic Outlook Forecasts In: IMF Staff Papers.
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1999Asset Allocation Dynamics and Pension Fund Performance. In: The Journal of Business.
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2009The performance of European equity mutual funds In: CFR Working Papers.
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