Last updated July, 3 2014 639.049 documents processed, 16.613.935 references and 6.218.529 citations

International Journal of Forecasting / Elsevier


[Raw data] [Main indicators] [Most cited papers] [cites used to compute the impact factor] [Recent citations ][documents published in EconPapers] [Keep updated about new citations] [Missing citations? Add them now] [Incorrect content? Let us know]

Main indicators


Raw data:


IF AIF DOC CDO CCU CIF CIT D2Y C2Y %SC CiY II AII
19900.09757560.08280186030.040.04
19910.030.0962137120.09213172500.04
19920.020.0990227140.06415137300.04
19930.030.179306190.06319152400.05
19940.1170376140.04231169020.030.05
19950.060.261437940.22220149955.610.020.08
19960.120.24655021630.3223113116250.1
19970.10.3675691170.21710126125060.090.11
19980.070.29356041490.25338132922.20.11
19990.290.34396432280.352911023013.360.150.15
20000.350.42597022110.3497742646.260.10.16
20010.240.44457472170.29273982437.5130.290.17
20020.280.45588052410.32551042920.7120.210.2
20030.350.47818864190.473501033627.880.10.2
20040.340.53699553930.415661394723.4160.230.22
20050.410.566710226920.684901506221130.190.23
20060.540.556310857570.74741367315.1150.240.22
20070.610.476311485750.53311307921.5240.380.19
20080.970.56412127220.635412612211.5180.280.21
20090.680.517212846810.533421278611.6280.390.21
20100.70.477513597330.542201369511.660.080.17
20110.80.55148150711800.7822614711814.4430.290.22
20120.570.6764157110000.6412522312612.7250.390.26
20130.640.9256162711300.696521213611280.50.34
20140.530.686016875880.3514120644.7140.230.24
 
 
IF: Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y
AIF: Average Impact Factor for series in RePEc in year y
DOC: Number of documents published in year y
CDO: Cumulative number of documents published until year y
CCU: Cumulative number of citations to papers published until year y
CIF: Cumulative impact factor
CIT: Number of citations to papers published in year y
D2Y: Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2
C2Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
%SC: Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
CiY: Cites in year y to documents published in year y
II: Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents.
AII: Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y

 

Most cited documents in this series:


YearTitleCited
1997Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors. (1997). Harvey, David ; Leybourne, Stephen ; Newbold, Paul . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:281-291.

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428
1989Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography. (1989). Clemen, Robert T.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:559-583.

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276
2000The M3-Competition: results, conclusions and implications. (2000). Hibon, Michele ; Makridakis, Spyros . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:4:p:451-476.

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115
1992Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons. (1992). Armstrong, J. ; Collopy, Fred. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:69-80.

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100
1998Forecasting with artificial neural networks:: The state of the art. (1998). Patuwo, Eddy B. ; Hu, Michael Y. ; Zhang, Guoqiang . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:35-62.

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84
1992Modeling and forecasting US sex differentials in mortality. (1992). Lee, Ronald ; Carter, Lawrence R.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:3:p:393-411.

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72
1995Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research. (1995). Witt, Christine A.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:11:y:1995:i:3:p:447-475.

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71
1992The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods. (1992). Fildes, Robert . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:1:p:81-98.

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68
2010Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of asset returns. (2010). Geweke, John ; amisano, gianni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:26:y::i:2:p:216-230.

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65
2002A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods. (2002). Snyder, Ralph ; Hyndman, Rob ; Koehler, Anne B. ; Grose, Simone. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:3:p:439-454.

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62
1987Cointegration and models of exchange rate determination. (1987). Selover, David ; Baillie, Richard. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:3:y:1987:i:1:p:43-51.

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60
2006Another look at measures of forecast accuracy. (2006). Hyndman, Rob ; Koehler, Anne B.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:4:p:679-688.

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58
2004Bridge models to forecast the euro area GDP. (2004). Golinelli, Roberto ; Baffigi, Alberto ; Parigi, Giuseppe . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:447-460.

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56
1997Forecasting economic time series using flexible versus fixed specification and linear versus nonlinear econometric models. (1997). White, Halbert ; Swanson, Norman. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:439-461.

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56
2007Combining density forecasts. (2007). Mitchell, James ; Hall, Stephen. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:1:p:1-13.

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56
2008Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data. (2008). Schumacher, Christian ; Breitung, Jörg. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:24:y:2008:i:3:p:386-398.

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55
2005Macro variables and international stock return predictability. (2005). Wohar, Mark ; Rapach, David E. ; Rangvid, Jesper . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:1:p:137-166.

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50
2004A comparison of financial duration models via density forecasts. (2004). Veredas, David ; Grammig, Joachim ; Giot, Pierre ; Bauwens, Luc. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:4:p:589-609.

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50
1991Seasonality, non-stationarity and the forecasting of monthly time series. (1991). Franses, Philip Hans. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:2:p:199-208.

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49
1997Shorte-run forecasts of electricity loads and peaks. (1997). Vahid, Farshid ; Granger, Clive ; Engle, Robert ; Brace, Casey ; Ramanathan, Ramu. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:2:p:161-174.

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48
1999Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. (1999). Franses, Philip Hans ; Ghijsels, Hendrik. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:15:y:1999:i:1:p:1-9.

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48
201247
2001How accurate are private sector forecasts? Cross-country evidence from consensus forecasts of output growth. (2001). Loungani, Prakash. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:17:y:2001:i:3:p:419-432.

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47
2000An evaluation of the predictions of the Federal Reserve. (2000). Stekler, Herman ; Joutz, Fred. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:1:p:17-38.

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46
2004Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting. (2004). Timmermann, Allan ; Granger, Clive. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:1:p:15-27.

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45
1991Microsimulation -- A survey of principles, developments and applications. (1991). Merz, Joachim. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:7:y:1991:i:1:p:77-104.

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44
1993Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research. (1993). Brown, Lawrence D.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:295-320.

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44
1997The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models. (1997). Smith, Jeremy ; Clements, Michael. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:4:p:463-475.

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43
1998Are OECD forecasts rational and useful?: a directional analysis. (1998). Ash, J. C. K., ; Heravi, S. M. ; Smyth, D. J.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:3:p:381-391.

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42
2006Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth?. (2006). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Banerjee, Anindya. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:1:p:137-151.

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42
1994The combination of forecasts using changing weights. (1994). Teräsvirta, Timo ; Granger, Clive ; Deutsch, Melinda ; Terasvirta, Timo . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:10:y:1994:i:1:p:47-57.

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41
1998Forecasting economic processes. (1998). Hendry, David ; Clements, Michael. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:14:y:1998:i:1:p:111-131.

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41
2004Extreme value theory and Value-at-Risk: Relative performance in emerging markets. (2004). Selcuk, Faruk ; Gencay, Ramazan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:2:p:287-303.

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40
1990The use of prior information in forecast combination. (1990). Diebold, Francis ; Pauly, Peter . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:4:p:503-508.

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40
2009Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR. (2009). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Carriero, Andrea ; Kapetanios, G.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:2:p:400-417.

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39
1989Forecast combination and encompassing: Reconciling two divergent literatures. (1989). Diebold, Francis. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:5:y:1989:i:4:p:589-592.

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39
1990A survey of seasonality in UK macroeconomic variables. (1990). Osborn, Denise. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:6:y:1990:i:3:p:327-336.

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38
2007Bias in macroeconomic forecasts. (2007). Batchelor, Roy. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:23:y:2007:i:2:p:189-203.

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38
2009Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning. (2009). Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos ; Lawrence, Michael ; Fildes, Robert ; Goodwin, Paul . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:1:p:3-23.

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38
2006Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years. (2006). onkal, Dilek ; Goodwin, Paul ; Lawrence, Michael ; O'Connor, Marcus. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:22:y:2006:i:3:p:493-518.

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38
1992Some recent developments in non-linear time series modelling, testing, and forecasting. (1992). Gooijer, Jan G. ; Kumar, Kuldeep . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:8:y:1992:i:2:p:135-156.

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38
2005Forecasting electricity prices for a day-ahead pool-based electric energy market. (2005). CONEJO, Antonio J. ; Espinola, Rosa ; Plazas, Miguel A. ; Contreras, Javier . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:3:p:435-462.

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38
1993Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return. (1993). De Bondt, Werner P. M., . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:3:p:355-371.

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36
2000Forecasting the short-term demand for electricity: Do neural networks stand a better chance?. (2000). Darbellay, Georges A. ; Slama, Marek. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:1:p:71-83.

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36
2000The accuracy of European growth and inflation forecasts. (2000). Barot, Bharat ; Oller, Lars-Erik. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:16:y:2000:i:3:p:293-315.

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36
2005Non-parametric direct multi-step estimation for forecasting economic processes. (2005). Hendry, David ; Chevillon, Guillaume. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:21:y:2005:i:2:p:201-218.

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34
1997An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting. (1997). Hendry, David ; Clements, Michael. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:13:y:1997:i:3:p:341-355.

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34
2004How costly is it to ignore breaks when forecasting the direction of a time series?. (2004). Timmermann, Allan ; Pesaran, M. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:20:y:2004:i:3:p:411-425.

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33
2009Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs. (2009). Smith, L. Vanessa ; Schuermann, Til ; Pesaran, M. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:25:y:2009:i:4:p:642-675.

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32
1993Accuracy measures: theoretical and practical concerns. (1993). Makridakis, Spyros . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:9:y:1993:i:4:p:527-529.

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32

Citing documents used to compute impact factor 64:


YearTitleSee
2014Positive Semidefinite Integrated Covariance Estimation, Factorizations and Asynchronicity. (2014). Quaedvlieg, Rogier ; Laurent, Sébastien ; Boudt, Kris ; Lunde, Asger . In: CREATES Research Papers. RePEc:aah:create:2014-05.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL. (2014). Fritsche, Ulrich ; Dovern, Jonas ; Tamirisa, Natalia ; Loungani, Prakash . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-001.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014[Citation Analysis]
2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Robust Approaches to Forecasting. (2014). Hendry, David ; Clements, Michael ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Economics Series Working Papers. RePEc:oxf:wpaper:697.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014The pairwise approach to model a large set of disaggregates with common trends. (2014). Espasa, Antoni ; Carlomagnol, Guillermo . In: Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws141309.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Combining forecasts: An application to elections. (2014). Armstrong, J. ; Cuzan, Alfred G. ; Jones, Randall J. ; Graefe, Andreas . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:43-54.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Selecting and combining experts from survey forecasts. (2014). Poncela, Pilar ; Rodriguez, Julio ; Fuentes, Julieta . In: Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws140905.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014[Citation Analysis]
2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald. (2014). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Luetkepohl, Helmut . In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_4634.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald. (2014). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin. RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1354.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Confidence Bands for Impulse Responses: Bonferroni versus Wald. (2014). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: SFB 649 Discussion Papers. RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-007.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Risk Assessment of the Brazilian FX Rate. (2014). Gaglianone, Wagner ; Jaqueline Terra Moura Marins, . In: Working Papers Series. RePEc:bcb:wpaper:344.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014The Delphi method in forecasting financial markets— An experimental study. (2014). Kauko, Karlo ; Palmroos, Peter . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:2:p:313-327.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Interpreting and evaluating CESIfos World Economic Survey directional forecasts. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Hutson, Mark ; Joutz, Fred . In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:38:y:2014:i:c:p:6-11.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Volatility persistence in crude oil markets. (2014). Darné, Olivier ; Charles, Amelie ; Darne, Olivier . In: Energy Policy. RePEc:eee:enepol:v:65:y:2014:i:c:p:729-742.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Outliers in multivariate Garch models. (2014). Veiga, Helena ; Martin-Barragan, Belen ; Grane, Aurea . In: Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws140503.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Large shocks in the volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average index: 1928–2013. (2014). Darné, Olivier ; Charles, Amelie . In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:43:y:2014:i:c:p:188-199.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients. (2014). Korobilis, Dimitris. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gla:glaewp:2014_04.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Data-based priors for vector autoregressions with drifting coefficients. (2014). Korobilis, Dimitris. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:53772.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Predicting Exchange Rates Out of Sample: Can Economic Fundamentals Beat the Random Walk?. (2014). Tsiakas, Ilias ; Wang, Wei ; Li, Jiahan . In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:rim:rimwps:05_14.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting the U.S. Real House Price Index. (2014). Plakandaras, Vasilios ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Gogas, Periklis ; Papadimitriou, Theophilos . In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:201418.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using a Large Number of Predictors. (2014). Miller, Stephen ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Balcilar, Mehmet ; Aye, Goodness C.. In: Working papers. RePEc:uct:uconnp:2014-10.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach. (2014). Nguyen, Duc Khuong ; Reboredo, Juan Carlos ; Hammoudeh, Shawkat ; Mensi, Walid . In: Working Papers. RePEc:ipg:wpaper:2014-159.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Present-Value-Model Short- and Long-run Co-movement Restrictions. (2014). Hecq, Alain ; Santos, Marcelo dos ; Ferreira, Pedro Cavalcanti ; Saraiva, Diogo ; Issler, Joo Victor ; Guillen, Osmani ; Pessoa, Samuel . In: Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE). RePEc:fgv:epgewp:753.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Matrix Box-Cox Models for Multivariate Realized Volatility. (2014). Weigand, Roland . In: University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems. RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:29687.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative. (2014). Green, Kesten ; Armstrong, J. ; Graefe, Andreas . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:53579.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Loss given default for leasing: Parametric and nonparametric estimations. (2014). Hartmann-Wendels, Thomas ; Tows, Eugen ; Miller, Patrick . In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:40:y:2014:i:c:p:364-375.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Intensity models and transition probabilities for credit card loan delinquencies. (2014). Leow, Mindy ; Crook, Jonathan . In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:236:y:2014:i:2:p:685-694.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014AN EVOLVING FUZZY-GARCH APPROACH FORFINANCIAL VOLATILITY MODELING AND FORECASTING. (2014). MACIEL, LEANDRO ; Ballini, Rosangela ; GOMIDE, FERNANDO . In: Anais do XL Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 40th Brazilian Economics Meeting]. RePEc:anp:en2012:138.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Bayesian estimation of smoothly mixing time-varying parameter GARCH models. (2014). Chen, Cathy W. S., ; Lin, Edward M. H., ; Gerlach, Richard . In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:194-209.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Ultimate recovery mixtures. (2014). Kalotay, Egon A. ; Altman, Edward I.. In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:40:y:2014:i:c:p:116-129.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Dynamic Spillover Effects in Futures Markets. (2014). Floros, Christos ; Antonakakis, Nikolaos ; Kizys, Renatas . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:53876.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014How Strongly are Business Cycles and Financial Cycles Linked in the G7 Countries?. (2014). Scharler, Johann ; Antonakakis, Nikolaos ; Breitenlechner, Max . In: Working Papers. RePEc:inn:wpaper:2014-07.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Dynamic Spillovers of Oil Price Shocks and Policy Uncertainty. (2014). Filis, George ; Antonakakis, Nikolaos ; Chatziantoniou, Ioannis . In: Department of Economics Working Papers. RePEc:wiw:wiwwuw:wuwp166.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Volatility spillovers between the oil market and the European Union carbon emission market. (2014). Reboredo, Juan C.. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:229-234.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Return and volatility transmission between oil prices and oil-exporting and oil-importing countries. (2014). GUESMI, Khaled ; Fattoum, Salma . In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:38:y:2014:i:c:p:305-310.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Price dynamics and financialization effects in corn futures markets with heterogeneous traders. (2014). Grosche, Stephanie ; Heckelei, Thomas . In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:ags:ubfred:172077.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014The Relationship between Oil Price and OECD Stock Markets: A Multivariate Approach. (2014). GUESMI, Khaled ; Fattoum, Salma . In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-13-00576.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Asymmetric volatility spillovers between UK regional worker flows and vacancies. (2014). Gefang, Deborah ; Johnes, Geraint . In: Discussion Papers in Economics. RePEc:lec:leecon:14/08.

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2014Directional Volatility Spillovers between Agricultural, Crude Oil, Real Estate and other Financial Markets. (2014). Grosche, Stephanie ; Heckelei, Thomas . In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:ags:ubfred:166079.

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2014The dynamics of spillover effects during the European sovereign debt turmoil. (2014). Alter, Adrian ; Beyer, Andreas . In: Journal of Banking & Finance. RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:42:y:2014:i:c:p:134-153.

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2014How does bad and good volatility spill over across petroleum markets?. (2014). Vacha, Lukas ; Kočenda, Evžen ; Baruník, Jozef. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1405.2445.

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2014On the effects of world stock market and oil price shocks on food prices: An empirical investigation based on TVPVAR models with stochastic volatility. (2014). Teulon, Frédéric ; Jebabli, Ikram ; Arouri, Mohamed . In: Working Papers. RePEc:ipg:wpaper:2014-209.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Avoiding the bullwhip effect using Damped Trend forecasting and the Order-Up-To replenishment policy. (2014). Li, Qinyun ; Gaalman, Gerard ; Disney, Stephen M.. In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:149:y:2014:i:c:p:3-16.

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2014Explaining the Tunisian Real Exchange: Long Memory versus Structural Breaks. (2014). Teulon, Frédéric ; Ftiti, Zied ; chaouachi, slim. In: Working Papers. RePEc:ipg:wpaper:2014-147.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Macro-Finance Determinants of the Long-Run Stock-Bond Correlation: The DCC-MIDAS Specification. (2014). Christiansen, Charlotte ; Hou, Ai Jun ; Asgharian, Hossein . In: CREATES Research Papers. RePEc:aah:create:2014-13.

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2014Continuous-time mean–variance portfolio selection with only risky assets. (2014). Yao, Haixiang ; Chen, Shumin ; Li, Zhongfei . In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:244-251.

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2014Monetary Policy Drivers of Bond and Equity Risks. (2014). Viceira, Luis ; Pflueger, Carolin ; Campbell, John. In: NBER Working Papers. RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20070.

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2014Forecast disagreement in the Survey of Professional Forecasters. (2014). Sill, Keith . In: Business Review. RePEc:fip:fedpbr:00010.

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2014Efficient Modeling and Forecasting of the Electricity Spot Price. (2014). Ziel, Florian ; Steinert, Rick . In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:1402.7027.

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2014A Smooth Transition Logit Model of the Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market. (2014). Hurn, A. S. ; Terasvirta, Timo ; Silvennoinen, Annastiina . In: CREATES Research Papers. RePEc:aah:create:2014-09.

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2014A Smooth Transition Logit Model of the Effects of Deregulation in the Electricity Market. (2014). Teräsvirta, Timo ; Terasvirta, Timo ; Silvennoinen, Annastiina ; Hurn, A S. In: NCER Working Paper Series. RePEc:qut:auncer:2014_01.

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2014Modelling price spikes in electricity markets - the impact of load, weather and capacity. (2014). Weron, Rafał ; Handika, Rangga ; Trueck, Stefan ; Truong, Chi . In: HSC Research Reports. RePEc:wuu:wpaper:hsc1408.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting Austrian national elections: The Grand Coalition model. (2014). Aichholzer, Julian ; Willmann, Johanna . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:55-64.

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2014The economics of debt collection: enforcement of consumer credit contracts. (2014). Hunt, Robert ; Fedaseyeu, Viktar . In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedpwp:14-7.

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2014Noncausal Bayesian Vector Autoregression. (2014). Lanne, Markku ; Luoto, Jani . In: CREATES Research Papers. RePEc:aah:create:2014-07.

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2014Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model. (2014). Nyberg, Henri ; Saikkonen, Pentti . In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis. RePEc:eee:csdana:v:76:y:2014:i:c:p:536-555.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting South African Inflation Using Non-Linear Models: A Weighted Loss-Based Evaluation. (2014). Kanda, Patrick ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Balcilar, Mehmet ; bahramian, pejman. In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:201416.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting recessions in real time. (2014). Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Aastveit, Knut Are ; Jore, Anne Sofie. In: Working Paper. RePEc:bno:worpap:2014_02.

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2014The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time. (2014). Golinelli, Roberto ; Girardi, Alessandro ; Pappalardo, C.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:bol:bodewp:wp919.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014Forecasting employment in Europe: Are survey results helpful?. (2014). Lehmann, Robert ; Weyh, Antje . In: Ifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ifowps:_182.

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2014Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey. (2014). Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin. RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1351.

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2014Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model. (2014). Satopaa, Ville A. ; Ungar, Lyle H. ; Tetlock, Philip E. ; Mellers, Barbara A. ; Foster, Dean P. ; Baron, Jonathan . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:2:p:344-356.

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2014A gradient boosting approach to the Kaggle load forecasting competition. (2014). Hyndman, Rob ; Ben Taieb, Souhaib . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:2:p:382-394.

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2014Nowcasting Using the Chicago Fed National Activity Index. (2014). Brave, Scott ; Butters, Andrew R.. In: Economic Perspectives. RePEc:fip:fedhep:00005.

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2014Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis in a Data Rich Environment: A Survey. (2014). Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: SFB 649 Discussion Papers. RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-004.

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2014Asymmetric volatility spillovers between UK regional worker flows and vacancies. (2014). Gefang, Deborah ; Johnes, Geraint . In: Discussion Papers in Economics. RePEc:lec:leecon:14/08.

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2014Golden Rule of Forecasting: Be conservative. (2014). Green, Kesten ; Armstrong, J. ; Graefe, Andreas . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:53579.

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2014[Citation Analysis]
2014[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2013


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2013Stationarity and Ergodicity Regions for Score Driven Dynamic Correlation Model. (2013). Blasques, Francisco ; Silde, Erkki ; Lucas, Andre . In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20130097.

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2013Comparison of Methods for Constructing Joint Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions. (2013). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin. RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1292.

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2013Correlation and Volatility of the MENA Equity Markets in Turbulent Periods, and Portfolio Implications. (2013). Bouri, Elie I. In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00677.

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2013Professional forecasters and the real-time forecasting performance of an estimated new keynesian model for the euro area. (2013). Wouters, Raf ; Warne, Anders ; Smets, Frank. In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131571.

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2013Conditional and joint credit risk. (2013). Schwaab, Bernd ; Lucas, André ; Zhang, Xin . In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20131621.

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2013The yield spread puzzle and the information content of SPF forecasts. (2013). Zhao, Yongchen ; Monokroussos, George ; Lahiri, Kajal. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:118:y:2013:i:1:p:219-221.

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2013Complete subset regressions. (2013). Elliott, Graham ; Timmermann, Allan ; Gargano, Antonio . In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:177:y:2013:i:2:p:357-373.

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2013Good for one, bad for all: Determinants of individual versus systemic risk. (2013). Lopez-Espinosa, German ; Anton, Miguel ; Valderrama, Laura ; Rubia, Antonio . In: Journal of Financial Stability. RePEc:eee:finsta:v:9:y:2013:i:3:p:287-299.

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2013Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts. (2013). Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Knüppel, Malte ; Jorda, Oscar ; Knuppel, Malte . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:3:p:456-468.

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2013Overnight stock returns and realized volatility. (2013). Lanne, Markku ; Ahoniemi, Katja . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:4:p:592-604.

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2013Some considerations about “Forecasting aggregates and disaggregates with common features”. (2013). Garcia-Hiernaux, Alfredo ; Bujosa, Marcos. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:29:y:2013:i:4:p:733-735.

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2013Forecasting aggregate demand: Analytical comparison of top-down and bottom-up approaches in a multivariate exponential smoothing framework. (2013). Silvestrini, Andrea ; Sbrana, Giacomo. In: International Journal of Production Economics. RePEc:eee:proeco:v:146:y:2013:i:1:p:185-198.

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2013Risk Measure Inference. (2013). Smeekes, Stephan ; Quaedvlieg, Rogier ; Laurent, Sébastien ; Hurlin, Christophe. In: Working Papers. RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00877279.

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2013Conditional euro area sovereign default risk. (2013). Schwaab, Bernd ; Lucas, André ; Zhang, Xin . In: Working Paper Series. RePEc:hhs:rbnkwp:0269.

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2013Comparison of Methods for Constructing Joint Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions. (2013). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: SFB 649 Discussion Papers. RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2013-031.

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2013Modified Scheffé’s Prediction Bands. (2013). Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna. In: Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik). RePEc:jns:jbstat:v:233:y:2013:i:5-6:p:680-690.

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2013Comparison of Methods for Constructing Joint Confidence Bands for Impulse Response Functions. (2013). Winker, Peter ; Staszewska-Bystrova, Anna ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Lutkepohl, Helmut . In: MAGKS Papers on Economics. RePEc:mar:magkse:201325.

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2013Quantifying Heterogeneous Survey Expectations: The Carlson-Parkin Method Revisited. (2013). Zhao, Yongchen ; Lahiri, Kajal. In: Discussion Papers. RePEc:nya:albaec:13-08.

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2013Introducing time-changing economics into credit scoring. (2013). Sousa, Maria Rocha ; Brando, Elisio ; Gama, Joo . In: FEP Working Papers. RePEc:por:fepwps:513.

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2013A Comparison of the Finite Sample Properties of Selection Rules of Factor Numbers in Large Datasets. (2013). GUO-FITOUSSI, Liang . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:50005.

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2013An evaluation of simple forecasting model selection rules. (2013). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Fildes, Robert . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:51772.

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2013Forecasting with Factor Models: A Bayesian Model Averaging Perspective. (2013). Korobilis, Dimitris. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:52724.

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2013Forecasting the US Real Private Residential Fixed Investment Using Large Number of Predictors. (2013). Miller, Stephen ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Balcilar, Mehmet ; Aye, Goodness C.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:pre:wpaper:201348.

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2013Robust Estimation in VaR Modelling - Univariate Approaches using Bounded Innovation Propagation and Regression Quantiles Methodology. (2013). Ratuszny, Ewa . In: Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics. RePEc:psc:journl:v:5:y:2013:i:1:p:35-63.

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2013Important Channels of Transmission Monetary Policy Shock in South Africa. (2013). Kabundi, Alain ; Nombulelo Gumata, Alain Kabundi, ; Ndou, Eliphas . In: Working Papers. RePEc:rza:wpaper:375.

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2013An empirical comparison of alternate schemes for combining electricity spot price forecasts. (2013). Weron, Rafał ; Trueck, Stefan ; Nowotarski, Jakub ; Raviv, Eran . In: HSC Research Reports. RePEc:wuu:wpaper:hsc1307.

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2013Computing electricity spot price prediction intervals using quantile regression and forecast averaging. (2013). Weron, Rafał ; Nowotarski, Jakub. In: HSC Research Reports. RePEc:wuu:wpaper:hsc1312.

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2013Does Central Bank Staff Beat Private Forecasters?. (2013). Jung, Alexander ; Giesen, Sebastian ; El-Shagi, Makram. In: Annual Conference 2013 (Duesseldorf): Competition Policy and Regulation in a Global Economic Order. RePEc:zbw:vfsc13:79925.

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Recent citations received in: 2012


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2012A note on predicting recessions in the euro area using real M1. (2012). Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens. In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00730.

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2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara ; Carnow, Warren. In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00339.

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2012Does noncausality help in forecasting economic time series?. (2012). Nyberg, Henri ; Lanne, Markku ; Saarinen, Erkka . In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00360.

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2012Exchange return co-movements and volatility spillovers before and after the introduction of euro. (2012). Antonakakis, Nikolaos. In: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. RePEc:eee:intfin:v:22:y:2012:i:5:p:1091-1109.

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2012Statistical Significance in the New Tom and the Old Tom: A Reply to Thomas Mayer. (2012). MCCLOSKEY, DEIRDRE N. ; Ziliak, Stephen T.. In: Econ Journal Watch. RePEc:ejw:journl:v:9:y:2012:i:3:p:298-308.

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2012Expected and unexpected bond excess returns: Macroeconomic and market microstructure effects. (2012). Fricke, Christoph . In: Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Leibniz Universität Hannover. RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-493.

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2012Forecasting with a noncausal VAR model. (2012). Saikkonen, Pentti ; Nyberg, Henri. In: Research Discussion Papers. RePEc:hhs:bofrdp:2012_033.

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2012Government Regulations of Business, Corruption, Reforms, and the Economic Growth of Nations. (2012). Woodside, Arch G. ; Chang, Man-Ling ; Cheng, Cheng-Feng . In: International Journal of Business and Economics. RePEc:ijb:journl:v:11:y:2012:i:2:p:127-142.

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2012Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production. (2012). Stephan, Sabine ; Rietzler, Katja. In: IMK Working Paper. RePEc:imk:wpaper:94-2012.

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2012Maximum Likelihood Estimation of a Noninvertible ARMA Model with Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. (2012). Saikkonen, Pentti ; Meitz, Mika. In: Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers. RePEc:koc:wpaper:1226.

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2012Intermittent demand forecasting for inventory control: A multi-series approach. (2012). Snyder, Ralph ; Ord, Keith ; Beaumont, Adrian . In: Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers. RePEc:msh:ebswps:2012-15.

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2012Exchange return co-movements and volatility spillovers before and after the introduction of Euro. (2012). Antonakakis, Nikolaos. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:37869.

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2012Sovereign Bond Yield Spillovers in the Euro Zone During the Financial and Debt Crisis. (2012). Antonakakis, Nikolaos ; Vergos, Konstantinos . In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:43284.

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2012Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment. (2012). Scheufele, Rolf ; Drechsel, Katja. In: Working Papers. RePEc:snb:snbwpa:2012-16.

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2012Endogenous crisis dating and contagion using smooth transition structural GARCH. (2012). Yang, Minxian ; Thorp, Susan ; Milunovich, George ; Dungey, Mardi. In: Working Papers. RePEc:tas:wpaper:15030.

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2012Estimating bank loans loss given default by generalized additive models. (2012). Calabrese, Raffaella. In: Working Papers. RePEc:ucd:wpaper:201224.

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2012Short Sales Constraints and Financial Stability: Evidence from the Spanish 2011 Ban. (2012). Mayordomo, Sergio ; Arce, Oscar. In: Faculty Working Papers. RePEc:una:unccee:wp2512.

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2012Modeling spike occurrences in electricity spot prices for forecasting. (2012). Eichler, Michael ; Oliver, Grothe ; Hans, Manner ; Dennis, Tuerk . In: Research Memorandum. RePEc:unm:umamet:2012029.

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2012Fitting semiparametric Markov regime-switching models to electricity spot prices. (2012). Eichler, Michael ; Dennis, Tuerk . In: Research Memorandum. RePEc:unm:umamet:2012036.

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2012Endogenous Crisis Dating and Contagion Using Smooth Transition Structural GARCH. (2012). Yang, Minxian ; Thorp, Susan ; Milunovich, George ; Dungey, Mardi. In: Research Paper Series. RePEc:uts:rpaper:312.

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2012Inflation, Stock Market and Long-Term Investors: Real Effects of Changing Demographics. (2012). Gozluklu, Arie E.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:wbs:wpaper:wpn12-06.

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2012Output Volatility, Economic Growth, and Cross-Country Spillovers: New Evidence for the G7 Countries. (2012). Badinger, Harald ; Antonakakis, Nikolaos. In: Department of Economics Working Papers. RePEc:wiw:wiwwuw:wuwp141.

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2012Exchange Return Co-movements and Volatility Spillovers Before and After the Introduction of Euro. (2012). Antonakakis, Nikolaos. In: FIW Working Paper series. RePEc:wsr:wpaper:y:2012:i:080.

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2012Output Volatility, Economic Growth, and Cross-Country Spillovers: New Evidence for the G7 Countries. (2012). Badinger, Harald ; Antonakakis, Nikolaos. In: FIW Working Paper series. RePEc:wsr:wpaper:y:2012:i:098.

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2012The dynamics of spillover effects during the European sovereign debt turmoil. (2012). Alter, Adrian ; Beyer, Andreas . In: CFS Working Paper Series. RePEc:zbw:cfswop:201213.

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Recent citations received in: 2011


YearTitleSee
2011Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions. (2011). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Chang, Chia-Lin. In: Working Papers in Economics. RePEc:cbt:econwp:11/25.

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2011How Do Credit Supply Shocks Propagate Internationally? A GVAR approach. (2011). Ng, Tim ; Eickmeier, Sandra . In: CEPR Discussion Papers. RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:8720.

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2011Densidad de predicción basada en momentos condicionados y máxima entropía : aplicación a la predicción de potencia eólica. (2011). Pea, Daniel ; Bermejo, Miguel ngel ; Sanchez, Ismael . In: Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws111813.

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2011Bootstrap forecast of multivariate VAR models without using the backward representation. (2011). Ruiz, Esther ; Fresoli, Diego ; Pascual, Lorenzo . In: Statistics and Econometrics Working Papers. RePEc:cte:wsrepe:ws113426.

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2011Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions. (2011). van Dijk, Herman ; Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Casarin, Roberto ; Billio, Monica. In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110123.

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2011Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?. (2011). Franses, Philip Hans ; Legerstee, Rianne . In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:dgr:uvatin:20110135.

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2011Combination Schemes for Turning Point Predictions. (2011). Ravazzolo, Francesco ; Casarin, Roberto ; Billio, Monica ; van Dijk, Herman K.. In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:dgr:uvatin:2011123.

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2011Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?. (2011). Franses, Philip Hans ; Legerstee, Rianne . In: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers. RePEc:dgr:uvatin:2011135.

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2011Bayesian Inference for the Mixed-Frequency VAR Model. (2011). Viefers, Paul . In: Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin. RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1172.

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2011In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence. (2011). Kholodilin, Konstantin ; Herwartz, Helmut . In: Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin. RePEc:diw:diwwpp:dp1173.

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2011Group-based judgmental forecasting: An integration of extant knowledge and the development of priorities for a new research agenda. (2011). Rowe, Gene ; Wright, George . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:1:p:1-13.

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2011Advances in forecasting with neural networks? Empirical evidence from the NN3 competition on time series prediction. (2011). Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos ; Crone, Sven F. ; Hibon, Michele . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:635-660.

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2011Conditionally dependent strategies for multiple-step-ahead prediction in local learning. (2011). Ben Taieb, Souhaib ; Bontempi, Gianluca . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:689-699.

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2011The tourism forecasting competition. (2011). Hyndman, Rob ; Athanasopoulos, George ; Wu, Doris C. ; Song, Haiyan . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:822-844.

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2011The value of feedback in forecasting competitions. (2011). Hyndman, Rob ; Athanasopoulos, George. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:845-849.

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2011Forecasting tourist arrivals using time-varying parameter structural time series models. (2011). Athanasopoulos, George ; Li, Gang ; Witt, Stephen F. ; Song, Haiyan . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:855-869.

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2011Evaluating the forecasting performance of econometric models of air passenger traffic flows using multiple error measures. (2011). Wei, Yingqi ; Fildes, Robert ; Ismail, Suzilah . In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:27:y::i:3:p:902-922.

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2011Forecasting with real-time macroeconomic data: The ragged-edge problem and revisions. (2011). Jacobs, Jan ; Jacobs, Jan P. A. M., ; Bouwman, Kees E.. In: Journal of Macroeconomics. RePEc:eee:jmacro:v:33:y:2011:i:4:p:784-792.

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2011The European Way Out of Recessions. (2011). Ferrara, Laurent ; Bec, Frédérique ; Bouabdallah, Othman . In: THEMA Working Papers. RePEc:ema:worpap:2011-23.

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2011Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions. (2011). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Chang, Chia-Lin ; Franses, Ph. H. B. F., ; Chang, C-L., . In: Econometric Institute Research Papers. RePEc:ems:eureir:23785.

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2011Do experts SKU forecasts improve after feedback?. (2011). Franses, Philip Hans ; Legerstee, R. ; Franses, Ph. H. B. F., . In: Econometric Institute Research Papers. RePEc:ems:eureir:26656.

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2011Does the Box-Cox Transformation Help in Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series?. (2011). Proietti, Tommaso ; Lütkepohl, Helmut ; Luetkepohl, Helmut . In: Economics Working Papers. RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2011/29.

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2011Forecasting recessions using stall speeds. (2011). Nalewaik, Jeremy J.. In: Finance and Economics Discussion Series. RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2011-24.

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2011Forecasting US bond default ratings allowing for previous and initial state dependence in an ordered probit model. (2011). Tsoukas, Serafeim ; Mizen, Paul. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gla:glaewp:2011_19.

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2011Quelques constats sur les prévisions conjoncturelles de la croissance française. (2011). Jobert, Thomas ; Persyn, Lionel . In: Working Papers. RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-00721673.

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2011Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time. (2011). HAO, Yu ; Funke, Michael ; Mehrota, Aaron ; Yu, Hao . In: Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers. RePEc:ham:qmwops:21112.

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2011Quantifying survey expectations: Whats wrong with the probability approach?. (2011). Schmeling, Maik ; Breitung, Jörg. In: Diskussionspapiere der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Leibniz Universität Hannover. RePEc:han:dpaper:dp-485.

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2011Tracking Chinese CPI inflation in real time. (2011). Mehrotra, Aaron ; HAO, Yu ; Funke, Michael ; Yu, Hao . In: BOFIT Discussion Papers. RePEc:hhs:bofitp:2011_035.

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2011Those Unpredictable Recessions. (2011). Smirnov, Sergey. In: HSE Working papers. RePEc:hig:wpaper:02/ec/2011.

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2011Predicting Recessions: A New Approach For Identifying Leading Indicators and Forecast Combinations. (2011). Kisinbay, Turgut ; Baba, Chikako. In: IMF Working Papers. RePEc:imf:imfwpa:11/235.

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2011Fluctuations in Economic and Activity and Stabilization Policies in the CIS. (2011). Kiani, Khurshid. In: Computational Economics. RePEc:kap:compec:v:37:y:2011:i:2:p:193-220.

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2011Disagreement, Uncertainty and the True Predictive Density. (2011). Nolte, Ingmar ; Kruger, Fabian . In: Working Paper Series of the Department of Economics, University of Konstanz. RePEc:knz:dpteco:1143.

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2011Non-Parametric Estimation of Forecast Distributions in Non-Gaussian, Non-linear State Space Models. (2011). McCabe, Brendan ; Martin, Gael ; Forbes, Catherine ; Brendan P. M. McCabe, ; Ng, Jason . In: Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers. RePEc:msh:ebswps:2011-11.

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2011The value of feedback in forecasting competitions. (2011). Hyndman, Rob ; Athanasopoulos, George. In: Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers. RePEc:msh:ebswps:2011-3.

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2011Does the Box-Cox transformation help in forecasting macroeconomic time series?. (2011). Proietti, Tommaso ; Lütkepohl, Helmut. In: MPRA Paper. RePEc:pra:mprapa:32294.

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2011Modeling and Forecasting Interval Time Series with Threshold Models: An Application to S&P500 Index Returns. (2011). Rodrigues, Paulo ; Salish, Nazarii ; Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, ; Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, ; Paulo M. M. Rodrigues, . In: Working Papers. RePEc:ptu:wpaper:w201128.

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2011Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung im Inland zur Jahresmitte 2011 - Zunehmende Risiken für die Konjunktur. (2011). Zwick, Lina ; Vosen, Simeon ; Schmidt, Torsten ; Kitlinski, Tobias ; Gebhardt, Heinz ; Döhrn, Roland ; Barabas, György ; an de Meulen, Philipp ; Dohrn, Roland ; Micheli, Martin ; Zimmermann, Lina . In: RWI Konjunkturbericht. RePEc:rwi:konjbe:11_02_i.

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2011The Forecasting Performance of an Estimated Medium Run Model. (2011). Schmidt, Torsten ; Kitlinski, Tobias. In: Ruhr Economic Papers. RePEc:rwi:repape:0301.

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2011Does central bank communication really lead to better forecasts of policy decisions? New evidence based on a Taylor rule model for the ECB. (2011). Sturm, Jan-Egbert ; de Haan, Jakob. In: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv). RePEc:spr:weltar:v:147:y:2011:i:1:p:41-58.

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2011Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts. (2011). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Chang, Chia-Lin. In: Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. RePEc:ucm:doicae:1115.

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2011Analyzing Fixed-event Forecast Revisions. (2011). McAleer, Michael ; Franses, Philip Hans ; Chang, Chia-Lin. In: Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico. RePEc:ucm:doicae:1124.

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2011How do credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach. (2011). Ng, Tim ; Eickmeier, Sandra . In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies. RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:201127.

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2011U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials. (2011). Schumacher, Christian ; Marcellino, Massimiliano ; Foroni, Claudia. In: Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies. RePEc:zbw:bubdp1:201135.

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