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Last updated December, 3 2015 760.408 documents processed, 20.499.313 references and 8.066.571 citations

Working Papers / The George Washington University, Department of Economics, Research Program on Forecasting


0.31

Impact Factor

0.34

5-Years IF

4

5-Years H index

[Raw data] [50 most cited papers] [50 most relevant papers] [cites used to compute IF] [Recent citations ][Frequent citing series ]
[more data in EconPapers] [trace new citations] [Missing citations? Add them now] [Incorrect content? Let us know]

Main indicators


Raw data


IF AIF IF5 DOC CDO CCU CIF CIT D2Y C2Y D5Y C5Y %SC CiY II AII
19900.08000 (%)0.05
19910.08000 (%)0.05
19920.09000 (%)0.05
19930.1000 (%)0.05
19940.11000 (%)0.05
19950.15000 (%)0.1
19960.19000 (%)0.09
19970.2000 (%)0.08
19980.21000 (%)0.12
19990.27000 (%)0.15
20000.36000 (%)0.14
20010.36000 (%)0.17
20020.37000 (%)0.18
20030.39000 (%)0.18
20040.410100 (%)0.18
20050.43000 (%)0.22
20060.45000 (%)0.19
20070.381100 (%)0.17
20080.3891020.27113 (42.9%)0.17
20090.10.350.141410.074101101 (%)0.17
20100.230.320.2121650.31181331435 (27.8%)0.15
20110.50.410.25102660.2313631641 (7.7%)20.20.2
20120.830.460.46733140.428121026123 (37.5%)20.290.21
20130.120.490.1363950.134172324 (%)10.170.22
20140.310.560.34645130.29613429101 (16.7%)30.50.3
 
IF: Impact Factor: C2Y / D2Y
AIF: Average Impact Factor for series in RePEc in year y
IF5: Impact Factor: C5Y / D5Y
DOC: Number of documents published in year y
CDO: Cumulative number of documents published until year y
CCU: Cumulative number of citations to papers published until year y
CIF: Cumulative impact factor
CIT: Number of citations to papers published in year y
D2Y: Number of articles published in y-1 plus y-2
C2Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
D5Y: Number of articles published in y-1 until y-5
C5Y: Cites in y to articles published in y-1 until y-5
%SC: Percentage of selft citations in y to articles published in y-1 plus y-2
CiY: Cites in year y to documents published in year y
II: Immediacy Index: CiY / Documents.
AII: Average Immediacy Index for series in RePEc in year y

 

50 most cited documents in this series:


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleCited
Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Joutz, Fred ; Sinclair, Tara M. ; Stekler, Herman O.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001.

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18
2011Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment. (2011). Larson, William D.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-004.

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4
2008Exponential smoothing and non-negative data. (2008). Ord, Keith J. ; Akram, Muhammad . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-003.

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4
2011Examining the Quality of Early GDP Component Estimates. (2011). Stekler, H. O. ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-001.

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4
2012Has the Accuracy of German Macroeconomic Forecasts Improved?. (2012). Stekler, Herman ; Heilemann, Ullrich . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-001.

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3
2009Evaluating National Football League Draft Choices: The Passing Game. (2009). Boulier, Bryan L. ; Rankins, Timothy ; Coburn, Jason ; Stekler, Herman O.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-003.

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3
2011Jointly Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Forecasts of GDP Growth and Inflation. (2011). Gamber, Edward N. ; Reid, Elizabeth . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-002.

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3
2012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004.

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3
2008What Do We Know About G-7 Macro Forecasts?. (2008). Stekler, Herman O.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-009.

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2
2014EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION. (2014). Muller-Droge, Hans Christian ; Stekler, Herman O. ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004.

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2
2011Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt. (2011). Martinez, Andrew B.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-002.

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2
2014COMMENTS ON DOVERN, FRITSCHE, LOUNGANI AND TAMIRISA (FORTHCOMING). (2014). Coibion, Olivier . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-002.

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2
2
2008Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?. (2008). Gamber, Edward N.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2007-002.

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1
2013Benchmarking time series based forecasting models for electricity balancing market prices. (2013). Eriksrud, Anders Lund ; Fleten, Stein-Erik ; Stein- Erik Fleten, ; Klaeboe, Gro . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-006.

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1
2012Modelling and Forecasting Residential Electricity Consumption in the U.S. Mountain Region. (2012). Joutz, Fred ; Jorgensen, Jason B.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-003.

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1
2013Using Forecasting to Detect Corruption in International Football. (2013). Reade, James J. ; Akie, Sachiko . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-005.

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1
2012EVALUATING A VECTOR OF THE FED’S FORECASTS. (2012). Stekler, H. O. ; Carnow, Warren ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-002.

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1
2014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Messina, Jeff ; Stekler, Herman O. ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003.

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1
2013Truncated Product Methods for Panel Unit Root Tests. (2013). Yang, Jingyun ; Sheng, Xuguang . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-004.

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1
2013Information Environment and The Cost of Capital. (2013). Thevenot, Maya ; Sheng, Xuguang ; Barron, Orie . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2013-003.

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1
Forecast Errors Before and After the Great Moderation. (2009). Gamber, Edward N. ; Weiss, Matthew . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2008-001.

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1
2014INFORMATION RIGIDITIES: COMPARING AVERAGE AND INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR A LARGE INTERNATIONAL PANEL. (2014). Dovern, Jonas ; Fritsche, Ulrich ; Loungani, Prakash ; Tamirisa, Natalia . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-001.

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1

50 most relevant documents in this series:


Papers most cited in the last two years. [Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleCited
2010Can the Fed Predict the State of the Economy?. (2010). Joutz, Fred ; Sinclair, Tara M. ; Stekler, Herman O.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2009-001.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

10
2012A NEW APPROACH FOR EVALUATING ECONOMIC FORECASTS. (2012). Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2012-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

3
2011Evaluating Alternative Methods of Forecasting House Prices: A Post-Crisis Reassessment. (2011). Larson, William D.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2010-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
2014COMMENTS ON DOVERN, FRITSCHE, LOUNGANI AND TAMIRISA (FORTHCOMING). (2014). Coibion, Olivier . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
2011Comparing Government Forecasts of the United States’ Gross Federal Debt. (2011). Martinez, Andrew B.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2011-002.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2
2014EVALUATING FORECASTS OF A VECTOR OF VARIABLES: A GERMAN FORECASTING COMPETITION. (2014). Muller-Droge, Hans Christian ; Stekler, Herman O. ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-004.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

2

Citing documents used to compute impact factor 4:


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleSee
2014Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation. (2014). Clements, Michael P.. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:30:y:2014:i:1:p:99-117.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Have Betting Exchanges Corrupted Horse Racing?. (2014). Brown, Alasdair ; Yang, Fuyu . In: University of East Anglia Applied and Financial Economics Working Paper Series. RePEc:uea:aepppr:2012_66.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014Predicting US Recessions: Does a Wishful Bias Exist?. (2014). Smirnov, Sergey V.. In: HSE Working papers. RePEc:hig:wpaper:77/ec/2014.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014HOW DID THE FOMC VIEW THE GREAT RECESSION AS IT WAS HAPPENING?: EVALUATING THE MINUTES FROM FOMC MEETINGS, 2006-2010. (2014). Stekler, Herman O. ; Symington, Hilary . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-005.

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[Citation Analysis]

Cites in year: CiY


Recent citations received in: 2014


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleSee
2014A Multivariate Analysis of Forecast Disagreement: Confronting Models of Disagreement with SPF Data. (2014). Dovern, Jonas . In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0571.

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[Citation Analysis]
2014WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM REVISIONS TO THE GREENBOOK FORECASTS?. (2014). Messina, Jeff ; Stekler, Herman O. ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2014-003.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

[Citation Analysis]
2014What Can We Learn From Revisions to the Greenbook Forecasts?. (2014). Stekler, Herman ; Sinclair, Tara M. ; Messina, Jeff . In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwi:wpaper:2014-14.

Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2013


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleSee
2013Differential Interpretation of Public Information: Estimation and Inference. (2013). Thevenot, Maya ; Sheng, Xuguang . In: Working Papers. RePEc:amu:wpaper:2013-03.

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[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2012


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleSee
2012A new approach for evaluating economic forecasts. (2012). Stekler, H. O. ; Carnow, Warren ; Sinclair, Tara M.. In: Economics Bulletin. RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-12-00339.

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[Citation Analysis]
2012Baysian seasonal analysis with robust priors. (2012). . In: Investigación & Desarrollo. RePEc:iad:wpaper:0312.

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[Citation Analysis]

Recent citations received in: 2011


[Click on heading to sort table]

YearTitleSee
2011Forecasting House Prices in Germany. (2011). Micheli, Martin ; de Meulen, Philipp an . In: Ruhr Economic Papers. RePEc:rwi:repape:0294.

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[Citation Analysis]
2011Forecasting House Prices in Germany. (2011). de Meulen, Philipp an ; Schmidt, Torsten ; Micheli, Martin . In: Ruhr Economic Papers. RePEc:zbw:rwirep:294.

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[Citation Analysis]

Warning!! This is still an experimental service. The results of this service should be interpreted with care, especially in research assessment exercises. The processing of documents is automatic. There still are errors and omissions in the identification of references. We are working to improve the software to increase the accuracy of the results.

Source data used to compute the impact factor of RePEc series.