Michael Peter Clements : Citation Profile


University of Reading

33

H index

71

i10 index

4272

Citations

RESEARCH PRODUCTION:

103

Articles

93

Papers

3

Books

8

Chapters

EDITOR:

2

Books edited

RESEARCH ACTIVITY:

   39 years (1986 - 2025). See details.
   Cites by year: 109
   Journals where Michael Peter Clements has often published
   Relations with other researchers
   Recent citing documents: 169.    Total self citations: 104 (2.38 %)

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   Permalink: http://citec.repec.org/pcl24
   Updated: 2025-07-12    RAS profile: 2025-04-24    
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Relations with other researchers


Works with:

Reade, J (3)

Tracy, Joseph (3)

Rich, Robert (3)

Rubaszek, Michał (2)

Urquhart, Andrew (2)

Martinez, Andrew (2)

Thomakos, Dimitrios (2)

Shang, Han Lin (2)

Li, Feng (2)

Paccagnini, Alessia (2)

Cepni, Oguzhan (2)

Sermpinis, Georgios (2)

Grossi, Luigi (2)

Franses, Philip Hans (2)

Guidolin, Massimo (2)

Castle, Jennifer (2)

Hendry, David (2)

Fiszeder, Piotr (2)

Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Michael Peter Clements.

Is cited by:

Hendry, David (165)

Marcellino, Massimiliano (145)

Castle, Jennifer (78)

Pesaran, Mohammad (60)

GUPTA, RANGAN (56)

Ericsson, Neil (55)

Swanson, Norman (51)

Ferrara, Laurent (49)

muellbauer, john (45)

Ravazzolo, Francesco (45)

Timmermann, Allan (43)

Cites to:

Hendry, David (147)

Croushore, Dean (121)

Diebold, Francis (84)

Timmermann, Allan (70)

Watson, Mark (53)

West, Kenneth (47)

Galvão, Ana (47)

Mankiw, N. Gregory (46)

McCracken, Michael (41)

Elliott, Graham (37)

Castle, Jennifer (35)

Main data


Where Michael Peter Clements has published?


Journals with more than one article published# docs
International Journal of Forecasting29
Journal of Applied Econometrics7
Oxford Review of Economic Policy6
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics4
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking4
Econometrics Journal4
Journal of Applied Econometrics4
Economic Journal3
Empirical Economics3
European Economic Review3
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics3
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics2
Journal of Forecasting2
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis2
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control2
Scottish Journal of Political Economy2
Journal of Forecasting2

Working Papers Series with more than one paper published# docs
The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) / University of Warwick, Department of Economics25
Economic Research Papers / University of Warwick - Department of Economics24
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance / Henley Business School, University of Reading16
Economics Series Working Papers / University of Oxford, Department of Economics13
Working Papers / Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland2

Recent works citing Michael Peter Clements (2025 and 2024)


YearTitle of citing document
2024Tail calibration of probabilistic forecasts. (2024). Ziegel, Johanna ; Segers, Johan ; Koh, Jonathan ; Allen, Sam. In: LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA. RePEc:aiz:louvad:2024018.

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2025Forecasting technological progress. (2025). Lafond, François. In: INET Oxford Working Papers. RePEc:amz:wpaper:2025-10.

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2024To Bag is to Prune. (2024). Goulet Coulombe, Philippe. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2008.07063.

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2024Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts. (2024). Plett, Hendrik ; Kruger, Fabian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.13562.

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2024Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.00363.

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2025Forecasting skill of a crowd-prediction platform: A comparison of exchange rate forecasts. (2023). Lehmann, Niklas Valentin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2312.09081.

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2024Cross-Temporal Forecast Reconciliation at Digital Platforms with Machine Learning. (2024). Wilms, Ines ; Ternes, Marie ; Rombouts, Jeroen. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.09033.

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2024Judgment in macroeconomic output growth predictions: Efficiency, accuracy and persistence. (2024). Pedersen, Michael. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2404.04105.

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2024Multiple split approach -- multidimensional probabilistic forecasting of electricity markets. (2024). Nitka, Weronika ; Maciejowska, Katarzyna. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.07795.

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2024Online Distributional Regression. (2024). Hirsch, Simon ; Berrisch, Jonathan ; Ziel, Florian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.08750.

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2025On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data. (2024). Pinto, Gabriele ; Letta, Marco ; Cerqua, Augusto. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2411.09218.

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2025A data-driven merit order: Learning a fundamental electricity price model. (2025). Ghelasi, Paul ; Ziel, Florian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2501.02963.

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2025Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs. (2025). Schorfheide, Frank ; Gonz, Oriol. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.03693.

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2025Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market. (2025). Chke, Katarzyna ; Uniejewski, Bartosz ; Weron, Rafal. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.02518.

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2025Forecasting Thai inflation from univariate Bayesian regression perspective. (2025). Arwatchanakarn, Popkarn ; Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2505.05334.

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2024The Politics of the Paycheck Protection Program. (2024). Zhang, Eden ; Mishra, Prachi ; Lambert, Thomas ; Igan, Deniz. In: Working Papers. RePEc:ash:wpaper:133.

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2024Real-time Nowcasting Growth-at-Risk using the Survey of Professional Forecasters. (2024). Schick, Manuel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0750.

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2025Enhancing the Inventory Management through Demand Forecasting. (2025). Muhammad, Afif Zuhri ; Salleh, Suzila Mat ; Malinjasari, Noor ; Irwan, Mohd Kamarul. In: International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science. RePEc:bcp:journl:v:9:y:2025:i:1:p:2737-2744.

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2024Nexus of environmental, social, and governance performance in China‐listed companies: Disclosure and green bond issuance. (2024). Chen, Shihchih ; Wang, Shanshan ; Ali, Mohd Helmi ; Tseng, Minglang. In: Business Strategy and the Environment. RePEc:bla:bstrat:v:33:y:2024:i:3:p:1647-1660.

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2024Forecasting the UK top 1% income share in a shifting world. (2024). Hendry, David ; Doornik, Jurgen ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Economica. RePEc:bla:econom:v:91:y:2024:i:363:p:1047-1074.

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2024Exploring the impact of oil security attention on oil volatility: A new perspective. (2024). Li, Shan ; Wang, LU ; Liang, Chao. In: International Finance. RePEc:bla:intfin:v:27:y:2024:i:1:p:61-80.

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2024Central bank forecasting: A survey. (2024). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Binder, Carola. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:38:y:2024:i:2:p:342-364.

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2024Interpretable Machine Learning Using Partial Linear Models. (2024). Hué, Sullivan ; Hacheme, Gilles ; Laurent, Sbastien ; Flachaire, Emmanuel. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. RePEc:bla:obuest:v:86:y:2024:i:3:p:519-540.

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2024International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran. (2024). Gutmann, Jerg ; Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11578.

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2024Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework. (2024). Xu, Yechi ; Li, Xin ; Wang, Shouyang ; Law, Rob. In: Annals of Tourism Research. RePEc:eee:anture:v:107:y:2024:i:c:s0160738324000689.

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2025Judgment can spur long memory. (2025). Zanetti Chini, Emilio. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:170:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924001970.

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2025News and firm entry: The role of the waiting option. (2025). Matvieiev, Mykhailo ; Antonova, Anastasiia. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:171:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924002264.

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2024Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China. (2024). Song, Yuping ; Xu, Yang ; Zhang, Qichao ; Huang, Jiefei. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:136:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001019.

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2024Forecasting the climate-conflict risk in Africa along climate-related scenarios and multiple socio-economic drivers. (2024). Paglialunga, Elena ; Costantini, Valeria ; Tancredi, Andrea ; Conigliani, Caterina. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:141:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324002682.

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2024Improving volatility forecasts: Evidence from range-based models. (2024). Fiszeder, Piotr ; Molnar, Peter ; Fadziski, Marcin. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1062940823001420.

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2024Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?. (2024). Su, Yi-Kai ; Tzeng, Kae-Yih. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824001499.

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2025Reaction of the U.S. Treasury market to economic news when intrapersonal uncertainty and interpersonal disagreement are high. (2025). Ozocak, Onem. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s1062940824002821.

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2024Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts. (2024). Zhao, Yongchen. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:234:y:2024:i:c:s0165176523005128.

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2024Forecasting inflation using sentiment. (2024). Eugster, Patrick ; Uhl, Matthias W. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:236:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524000582.

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2024Reprint of: Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage: An application to Growth-at-Risk. (2024). Fosten, Jack ; Corradi, Valentina ; Gutknecht, Daniel. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:244:y:2024:i:2:s0304407624000927.

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2024Variable selection in high dimensional linear regressions with parameter instability. (2024). Pesaran, Hashem M ; Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad ; Chudik, Alexander. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:246:y:2024:i:1:s0304407624002513.

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2025Bootstrapping out-of-sample predictability tests with real-time data. (2025). Yao, Yongxu ; McCracken, Michael W ; Gonalves, Slvia. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0304407624002677.

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2024On the update frequency of univariate forecasting models. (2024). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Spiliotis, Evangelos. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:314:y:2024:i:1:p:111-121.

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2024A new ordinal mixed-data sampling model with an application to corporate credit rating levels. (2024). Calabrese, Raffaella ; Goldmann, Leonie ; Crook, Jonathan. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:314:y:2024:i:3:p:1111-1126.

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2024Combining probabilistic forecasts of intermittent demand. (2024). Kang, Yanfei ; Wang, Shengjie ; Petropoulos, Fotios. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:315:y:2024:i:3:p:1038-1048.

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2025Forecast accuracy and inventory performance: Insights on their relationship from the M5 competition data. (2025). Spiliotis, Evangelos ; Theodorou, Evangelos ; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:322:y:2025:i:2:p:414-426.

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2024A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies. (2024). Wright, Cardel ; Aysun, Uluc. In: Emerging Markets Review. RePEc:eee:ememar:v:62:y:2024:i:c:s1566014124000839.

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2024Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Demirer, Riza. In: Journal of Empirical Finance. RePEc:eee:empfin:v:79:y:2024:i:c:s0927539824000951.

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2025Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices with trading applications. (2025). Petukhina, Alla ; Kozmik, Karel ; Kopa, Milos ; Hrdle, Wolfgang Karl ; Agakishiev, Ilyas. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:141:y:2025:i:c:s0140988324007163.

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2025Does Natural Gas Matter for Financial Stability? A SVAR-X Analysis on the European Financial System and Financial Intermediaries. (2025). Marzioni, Stefano ; Spallone, Marco ; Paccione, Cosimo ; Mur, Pina. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:145:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325002397.

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2024Urban‒rural disparities in household energy and electricity consumption under the influence of electricity price reform policies. (2024). Su, Bin ; Nie, Yan ; Zhong, Luhao ; Zhang, Guoxing. In: Energy Policy. RePEc:eee:enepol:v:184:y:2024:i:c:s0301421523004536.

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2024Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns. (2024). Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain ; Będowska-Sójka, Barbara ; Hussain, Syed Jawad ; Cakici, Nusret ; Bdowska-Sojka, Barbara ; Zaremba, Adam. In: International Review of Financial Analysis. RePEc:eee:finana:v:94:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924001765.

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2024Fan charts in era of big data and learning. (2024). Baruník, Jozef ; Hanus, Lubo ; Barunik, Jozef. In: Finance Research Letters. RePEc:eee:finlet:v:61:y:2024:i:c:s1544612324000333.

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2024Energy market uncertainties and exchange rate volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS approach. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; Ogbonna, Ahamuefula ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Ji, Qiang. In: Finance Research Letters. RePEc:eee:finlet:v:67:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324008778.

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2024Forecasting Bitcoin volatility using machine learning techniques. (2024). Urquhart, Andrew ; Sangiorgi, Ivan ; Huang, Zih-Chun. In: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. RePEc:eee:intfin:v:97:y:2024:i:c:s1042443124001306.

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2024Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households. (2024). Dovern, Jonas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:113-123.

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2024A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism. (2024). Grammatico, Sergio ; Pinson, Pierre ; Kazempour, Jalal ; Raja, Aitazaz Ali. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:142-159.

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2024Demand forecasting for fashion products: A systematic review. (2024). Venkitasubramony, Rakesh ; Swaminathan, Kritika. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:247-267.

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2024Bayesian herd detection for dynamic data. (2024). Satopaa, Ville A ; Keppo, Jussi. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:285-301.

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2024Conflict forecasting using remote sensing data: An application to the Syrian civil war. (2024). Zhu, Xiao Xiang ; Thurner, Paul W ; Kauermann, Goran ; Racek, Daniel ; Davidson, Brittany I. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:373-391.

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2024Forecast combination-based forecast reconciliation: Insights and extensions. (2024). di Fonzo, Tommaso ; Girolimetto, Daniele. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:490-514.

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2024Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions. (2024). Ghelasi, Paul ; Ziel, Florian. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:581-596.

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2024Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data. (2024). Fan, Xinyue ; Jin, Wei ; Zheng, Tingguo ; Fang, Kuangnan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:746-761.

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2024Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States. (2024). Moramarco, Graziano. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:777-795.

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2024Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations. (2024). Pavlova, Lora ; Kruger, Fabian. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:796-810.

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2024A theory-based method to evaluate the impact of central bank inflation forecasts on private inflation expectations. (2024). Oliveira, Luciano ; da Silva, Tarciso Gouveia ; Vereda, Luciano ; Savignon, Joo. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1069-1084.

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2024Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts. (2024). Hendry, David ; Doornik, Jurgen ; Castle, Jennifer. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1085-1100.

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2024Reservoir computing for macroeconomic forecasting with mixed-frequency data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1206-1237.

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2024Forecasting seasonal demand for retail: A Fourier time-varying grey model. (2024). Shang, Zhongju ; Xie, Naiming ; Ye, Lili ; Boylan, John E. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1467-1485.

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2024Survey density forecast comparison in small samples. (2024). Iacone, Fabrizio ; Coroneo, Laura ; Profumo, Fabio. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1486-1504.

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2024A loss discounting framework for model averaging and selection in time series models. (2024). Griffin, Jim E ; Bernaciak, Dawid. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1721-1733.

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2024Conditionally optimal weights and forward-looking approaches to combining forecasts. (2024). Vasnev, Andrey ; Gibbs, Christopher. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1734-1751.

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2025Forecasting mail flow: A hierarchical approach for enhanced societal wellbeing. (2025). Babai, Zied M ; Klibi, Walid ; Kafa, Nadine. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:1:p:51-65.

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2025Judgment in macroeconomic output growth predictions: Efficiency, accuracy and persistence. (2025). Pedersen, Michael. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:475-486.

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2025Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections. (2025). Schnurbus, Joachim ; Haupt, Harry ; Fritsch, Markus. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:670-688.

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2025Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time?. (2025). Keijsers, Bart ; van Dijk, Dick. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:748-762.

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2024Data transparency and GDP growth forecast errors. (2024). Nguyen, Ha ; Lederman, Daniel ; Islam, Asif ; Gatti, Roberta ; Lotfi, Rana ; Mousa, Mennatallah Emam. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:140:y:2024:i:c:s0261560623001924.

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2024Exchange rate predictability: Fact or fiction?. (2024). Magkonis, Georgios ; Jackson, Karen. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:142:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624000135.

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2024Forecasting the price of oil: A cautionary note. (2024). Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel ; Conlon, Thomas ; cotter, john. In: Journal of Commodity Markets. RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:33:y:2024:i:c:s2405851323000685.

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2025Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market. (2025). Weron, Rafa ; Uniejewski, Bartosz ; Che, Katarzyna. In: Journal of Commodity Markets. RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:37:y:2025:i:c:s2405851324000680.

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2024Statistical analysis of gold production in South Africa using ARIMA, VAR and ARNN modelling techniques: Extrapolating future gold production, Resources–Reserves depletion, and Implication on South Africas gold exploration. (2024). Mutele, Litshedzani ; John, Emmanuel. In: Resources Policy. RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:93:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724004434.

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2024Measuring wholesale electricity price risk from climate change: Evidence from Portugal. (2024). Fuinhas, Jos Alberto ; Entezari, Negin. In: Utilities Policy. RePEc:eee:juipol:v:91:y:2024:i:c:s0957178724001309.

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2025Development of multi-forecasting model using Monte Carlo simulation coupled with wavelet denoising-ARIMA model. (2025). Parmar, Kulwinder Singh ; Singh, Sarbjit ; Kumar, Jatinder. In: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM). RePEc:eee:matcom:v:230:y:2025:i:c:p:517-540.

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2025Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks. (2025). Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo. In: Journal of Monetary Economics. RePEc:eee:moneco:v:151:y:2025:i:c:s030439322400182x.

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2025Technical indicators and aggregate stock returns: An updated look. (2025). Shi, QI. In: Journal of Multinational Financial Management. RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:77:y:2025:i:c:s1042444x25000027.

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2024Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; Ogbonna, Ahamuefula ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Bouri, Elie. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:95:y:2024:i:c:p:280-293.

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2024Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM. (2024). Wang, Xing ; Liang, Chao. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:98:y:2024:i:c:s1062976924001339.

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2024Optimal planning for hybrid renewable energy systems under limited information based on uncertainty quantification. (2024). Feng, Wei ; Wu, Xia ; Tian, Zhe ; Li, Xiaoyuan ; Niu, Jide. In: Renewable Energy. RePEc:eee:renene:v:237:y:2024:i:pd:s0960148124019347.

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2024A systematic review towards integrative energy management of smart grids and urban energy systems. (2024). Zheng, Zhuang ; Luo, Xiaowei ; Wang, Shengwei ; Shafique, Muhammad. In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. RePEc:eee:rensus:v:189:y:2024:i:pb:s136403212300881x.

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2024Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR. (2024). Szafranek, Karol ; Szafraski, Grzegorz ; Leszczyska-Paczesna, Agnieszka. In: International Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:eee:reveco:v:93:y:2024:i:pa:p:789-810.

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2024High inflation during Russia–Ukraine war and financial market interaction: Evidence from C-Vine Copula and SETAR models. (2024). Sami Ayad, Mina ; Hamza, Taher ; Mili, Mehdi ; ben Haj, Hayet. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s0275531924001776.

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2025State-dependent pricing of monetary policy nonlinearities and inflation at risk for China. (2025). Xiao, Qiang ; Cao, Honghong ; He, Yongda ; Oxley, Les. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:75:y:2025:i:c:s0275531925000170.

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2025Predicting policy funding allocation with Machine Learning. (2025). Resce, Giuliano ; Vaquero-Pieiro, Cristina ; Caravaggio, Nicola. In: Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. RePEc:eee:soceps:v:98:y:2025:i:c:s0038012125000242.

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2024Investigating the diffusion of innovation: A comprehensive study of successive diffusion processes through analysis of search trends, patent records, and academic publications. (2024). Bastos, Julio Cesar ; Scornavacca, Eusebio ; Takahashi, Carlos Kazunari. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:198:y:2024:i:c:s0040162523006765.

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2024Addressing Google Trends inconsistencies. (2024). Domenech, Josep ; Cebrian, Eduardo. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524001148.

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2024External arms embargoes and their implications for government expenditure, democracy and internal conflict. (2024). Murshed, Syed Mansoob ; Dizaji, Sajjad Faraji. In: World Development. RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:173:y:2024:i:c:s0305750x23002280.

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2024Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation. (2024). Shiroff, Taylor ; Mitchell, James ; Braitsch, Hana. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedcwq:99062.

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2024Electrification of Public Urban Transport: Funding Opportunities, Bus Fleet, and Energy Use Forecasts for Poland. (2024). Batg, Jacek ; Mojsiewicz, Magdalena ; Pluskota, Przemysaw. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:23:p:6140-:d:1537660.

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2025Long-Term Multi-Resolution Probabilistic Load Forecasting Using Temporal Hierarchies. (2025). Zareipour, Hamidreza ; Bahman, Shafie. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:11:p:2908-:d:1670138.

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2024State-Dependent Model Based on Singular Spectrum Analysis Vector for Modeling Structural Breaks: Forecasting Indonesian Export. (2024). Prastyo, Dedy ; Sasmita, Yoga ; Kuswanto, Heri. In: Forecasting. RePEc:gam:jforec:v:6:y:2024:i:1:p:9-169:d:1337728.

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2025Forecasting Follies: Machine Learning from Human Errors. (2025). Zhao, Yongchen ; Sun, LI. In: JRFM. RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:2:p:60-:d:1579096.

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2024DeepONet-Inspired Architecture for Efficient Financial Time Series Prediction. (2024). Chen, Meng ; Bao, Shudi ; Ahmad, Zeeshan. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:24:p:3950-:d:1544536.

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2025Transformer-Based Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with Explanatory Variables. (2025). Oliveira, Jos Manuel ; Caetano, Ricardo ; Ramos, Patrcia. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:5:p:814-:d:1602666.

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2025Forecasting of Inflation Based on Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models: An Empirical Application. (2025). Khan, Faridoon ; Rodrigues, Paulo Canas ; Alharbi, Abdulmajeed Atiah ; Iftikhar, Hasnain ; Allohibi, Jeza. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:7:p:1121-:d:1623158.

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2025An Improved Grey Prediction Model Integrating Periodic Decomposition and Aggregation for Renewable Energy Forecasting: Case Studies of Solar and Wind Power. (2025). Ran, Minghao ; Wang, Yingchao ; Qin, Qilu ; Huang, Jindi ; Jiang, Jiading. In: Sustainability. RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:11:p:5009-:d:1667814.

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2024Sir David Hendry: An Appreciation from Wall Street and What Macroeconomics Got Right. (2024). Guerard, John B. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2024-001.

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More than 100 citations found, this list is not complete...

Michael Peter Clements has edited the books:


YearTitleTypeCited

Works by Michael Peter Clements:


YearTitleTypeCited
1996MULTI-STEP ESTIMATION FOR FORECASTING In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper79
1996Multi-step Estimation for Forecasting..(1996) In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 79
article
1996Multi-Step Estimation for Forecasting.(1996) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 79
paper
1996Evaluating the rationality of fixed-event forecasts In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper6
1996Evaluating the Rationality of Fixed-Event Forecasts..(1996) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 6
paper
1996The Performance of Alternative Forecasting Methods for SETAR Models In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper73
1997The performance of alternative forecasting methods for SETAR models.(1997) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article
1996Performance of Alternative Forecasting Methods for Setar Models.(1996) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 73
paper
1997FORECASTING SEASONAL UK CONSUMPTION COMPONENTS In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper0
1997Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components.(1997) In: Economic Research Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
1997Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components.(1997) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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paper
1997Forecasting Seasonal UK Consumption Components.(1997) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
1997SEASONALITY, COINTEGRATION, AND THE FORECASTING OF ENERGY DEMAND In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper0
1997Seasonality, Cointegration, and the Forecasting of Energy Demand.(1997) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
1997A COMPARISON OF THE FORECAST PERFORMANCE OF MARKOV-SWITCHING AND THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS OF US GNP In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper125
1998A comparison of the forecast performance of Markov-switching and threshold autoregressive models of US GNP.(1998) In: Econometrics Journal.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 125
article
1998NON-LINEARITIES IN EXCHANGE RATES In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper4
1998Non-Linearities in Exchange Rates.(1998) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 4
paper
1998EVALUATING THE FORECAST DENSITIES OF LINEAR AND NON-LINEAR MODELS: APPLICATIONS TO OUTPUT GROWTH AND UNEMPLOYMENT In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper32
1998Evaluating The Forecast of Densities of Linear and Non-Linear Models: Applications to Output Growth and Unemployment..(1998) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 32
paper
1998FORECASTING WITH DIFFERENCE-STATIONARY AND TREND-STATIONARY MODELS In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper39
2001Forecasting with difference-stationary and trend-stationary models.(2001) In: Econometrics Journal.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 39
article
2000Forecasting with Difference-Stationary and Trend-Stationary Models.(2000) In: Economics Series Working Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 39
paper
1998Forecasting with Difference-Stationary and Trend-Stationary Models..(1998) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 39
paper
1998Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterisation and Testing based on Markov-Switching Autoregressions In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper104
2003Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterization and Testing Based on Markov-Switching Autoregressions..(2003) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
[Citation analysis]
This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 104
article
1999Business Cycle Asymmetries: Characterisationand Testing Based on Markov-Switching Autoregression..(1999) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 104
paper
2006Internal consistency of survey respondentsíforecasts: Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper0
2006Internal consistency of survey respondents.forecasts : Evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters.(2006) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2006Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US output growth and inflation. In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper11
2006Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data : Forecasting US output growth and inflation..(2006) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 11
paper
2006Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper21
2010Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts.(2010) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 21
article
2006Forecast Encompassing Tests and Probability Forecasts.(2006) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 21
paper
2006Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper85
2008Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility.(2008) In: Journal of Empirical Finance.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 85
article
2006Quantile Forecasts of Daily Exchange Rate Returns from Forecasts of Realized Volatility.(2006) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 85
paper
2008Rounding of probability forecasts: The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper0
2008Rounding of probability forecasts : The SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth.(2008) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2008Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents forecasts In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper32
2010Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents forecasts.(2010) In: European Economic Review.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 32
article
2008Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondentsforecasts.(2008) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 32
paper
2012Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper1
2012Subjective and Ex Post Forecast Uncertainty : US Inflation and Output Growth.(2012) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 1
paper
2012US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010 In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper4
2014US Inflation Expectations and Heterogeneous Loss Functions, 1968–2010.(2014) In: Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 4
article
2012US inflation expectations and heterogeneous loss functions, 1968–2010.(2012) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 4
paper
2012Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper20
2014Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation.(2014) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 20
article
2012Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation.(2012) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 20
paper
2011Do Professional Forecasters Pay Attention to Data Releases? In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper16
2012Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?.(2012) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 16
article
2011Do Professional Forecasters Pay Attention to Data Releases?.(2011) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 16
paper
2010Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts? In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper0
2010Why are survey forecasts superior to model forecasts?.(2010) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2010Real-time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper9
2010Real-time Forecasting of Inflation and Output Growth in the Presence of Data Revisions.(2010) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 9
paper
2008First Announcements and Real Economic Activity In: Economic Research Papers.
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paper15
2010First announcements and real economic activity.(2010) In: European Economic Review.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 15
article
2009First Announcements and Real Economic Activity.(2009) In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS).
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 15
paper
2022Forecasting: theory and practice In: Papers.
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paper93
2022Forecasting: theory and practice.(2022) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 93
article
2008Macroeconomic Forecasting With Mixed-Frequency Data In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics.
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article245
2005FORECASTING QUARTERLY AGGREGATE CRIME SERIES In: Manchester School.
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article0
2005Guest Editors’ Introduction: Information in Economic Forecasting In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
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article19
2005Evaluating a Model by Forecast Performance* In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics.
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article7
1999Seasonality, Cointegration, and Forecasting UK Residential Energy Demand In: Scottish Journal of Political Economy.
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article18
2003Asymmetric output‐gap effects in Phillips Curve and mark‐up pricing models: Evidence for the US and the UK In: Scottish Journal of Political Economy.
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article17
2008Economic Forecasting in a Changing World In: Capitalism and Society.
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article24
2012Forecasting U.S. Output Growth with Non-Linear Models in the Presence of Data Uncertainty In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics.
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article2
1998Forecasting Economic Time Series In: Cambridge Books.
[Citation analysis]
book561
1998Forecasting Economic Time Series.(1998) In: Cambridge Books.
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book
2003TESTING THE EXPECTATIONS THEORY OF THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES IN THRESHOLD MODELS In: Macroeconomic Dynamics.
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article13
2001An Historical Perspective on Forecast Errors In: National Institute Economic Review.
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article5
2001An Historical Perspective on Forecast Errors.(2001) In: National Institute Economic Review.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 5
article
2001Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research In: Working Paper Series.
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paper94
2002Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research.(2002) In: Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002.
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paper
2003Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research.(2003) In: Economic Modelling.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 94
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2001Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research.(2001) In: Economics Papers.
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paper
2001Economic Forecasting: Some Lessons from Recent Research.(2001) In: Economics Series Working Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 94
paper
1995Rationality and the Role of Judgement in Macroeconomic Forecasting. In: Economic Journal.
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article26
1995Macro-economic Forecasting and Modelling. In: Economic Journal.
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article26
2004Evaluating the Bank of England Density Forecasts of Inflation In: Economic Journal.
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article88
2002Modelling methodology and forecast failure In: Econometrics Journal.
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article33
2004Pooling of forecasts In: Econometrics Journal.
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article230
2001Pooling of Forecasts.(2001) In: Economics Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 230
paper
2016Real-time factor model forecasting and the effects of instability In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis.
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article6
2014Real-Time Factor Model Forecasting and the Effects of Instability.(2014) In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 6
paper
2007Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressive time series In: Computational Statistics & Data Analysis.
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article20
2021Measuring the effects of expectations shocks In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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article10
2025An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.
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article0
2024An Investigation into the Uncertainty Revision Process of Professional Forecasters.(2024) In: Working Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0
paper
2006Forecasting with Breaks In: Handbook of Economic Forecasting.
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chapter88
2013Forecasting by factors, by variables, by both or neither? In: Journal of Econometrics.
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article36
1991Empirical analysis of macroeconomic time series : VAR and structural models In: European Economic Review.
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article63
2018Independent directors, information costs and foreign ownership in Chinese companies In: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money.
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article10
1997An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article43
1998Forecasting economic processes In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article54
2001Bootstrapping prediction intervals for autoregressive models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article42
2002Evaluating multivariate forecast densities: a comparison of two approaches In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article39
2003Some possible directions for future research In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article6
2004Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article68
2003Forecasting economic and financial time-series with non-linear models.(2003) In: Departmental Working Papers.
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paper
2004A comparison of tests of nonlinear cointegration with application to the predictability of US interest rates using the term structure In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article22
2008Consensus and uncertainty: Using forecast probabilities of output declines In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article23
2009Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article0
2009Comments on Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article1
2011Combining probability forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article31
2011Combining probability forecasts.(2011) In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 31
article
2013Forecasting with vector autoregressive models of data vintages: US output growth and inflation In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article12
2015Robust approaches to forecasting In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article33
2014Robust Approaches to Forecasting.(2014) In: Economics Series Working Papers.
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paper
2015Forecasting with Bayesian multivariate vintage-based VARs In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article10
2016Long-run restrictions and survey forecasts of output, consumption and investment In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article6
2014Long-Run Restrictions and Survey Forecasts of Output, Consumption and Investment.(2014) In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 6
paper
2017Model and survey estimates of the term structure of US macroeconomic uncertainty In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article19
2018Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article31
2016Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?.(2016) In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 31
paper
2019Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article11
2017Do forecasters target first or later releases of national accounts data?.(2017) In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 11
paper
2020Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article17
2021Do survey joiners and leavers differ from regular participants? The US SPF GDP growth and inflation forecasts In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article7
2020Do Survey Joiners and Leavers Differ from Regular Participants? The US SPF GDP Growth and Inflation Forecasts.(2020) In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 7
paper
2021Rounding behaviour of professional macro-forecasters In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article11
2023Forecasting GDP growth rates in the United States and Brazil using Google Trends In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article3
2024How local is the local inflation factor? Evidence from emerging European countries In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article4
2021How Local is the Local Inflation Factor? Evidence from Emerging European Countries.(2021) In: Working Papers.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 4
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2024Do professional forecasters believe in the Phillips curve? In: International Journal of Forecasting.
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article0
2024Survey expectations and adjustments for multiple testing In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization.
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article0
2001Evaluating forecasts from SETAR models of exchange rates In: Journal of International Money and Finance.
[Full Text][Citation analysis]
article48
2002Comments on The state of macroeconomic forecasting In: Journal of Macroeconomics.
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article2
2024Introduction to the Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting In: Chapters.
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chapter0
2024Real-time data and forecasting In: Chapters.
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In: .
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2006Combining Predictors and Combining Information in Modelling: Forecasting US Recession Probabilities and Output Growth In: Contributions to Economic Analysis.
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In: .
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chapter0
2008Chapter 1 Forecasting Annual UK Inflation Using an Econometric Model over 1875–1991 In: Frontiers of Economics and Globalization.
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chapter0
1999On SETAR non- linearity and forecasting In: Econometric Institute Research Papers.
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paper34
2003On SETAR non-linearity and forecasting.(2003) In: Journal of Forecasting.
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This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 34
article
2022Surveys of Professionals In: Working Papers.
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2020Are Some Forecasters’ Probability Assessments of Macro Variables Better Than Those of Others? In: Econometrics.
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2001MODELLING BUSINESS CYCLE FEATURES USING SWITCHING REGIME MODELS..(2001) In: Economics Series Working Papers.
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2014Anticipating Early Data Revisions to US GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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2014Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate Their Differences? In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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2015Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate their Differences?.(2015) In: Journal of Forecasting.
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2014Assessing the Evidence of Macro- Forecaster Herding: Forecasts of Inflation and Output Growth In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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2015Forecasters Disagreement about How the Economy Operates, and the Role of Long-run Relationships In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance.
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2023The choice of performance measures, target setting and vesting levels in UK firms Chief Executive Officer equity‐based compensation In: International Journal of Finance & Economics.
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