33
H index
71
i10 index
4272
Citations
University of Reading | 33 H index 71 i10 index 4272 Citations RESEARCH PRODUCTION: 103 Articles 93 Papers 3 Books 8 Chapters EDITOR: Books edited RESEARCH ACTIVITY:
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Works with: Authors registered in RePEc who have co-authored more than one work in the last five years with Michael Peter Clements. | Is cited by: | Cites to: |
Year | Title of citing document | |
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2024 | Tail calibration of probabilistic forecasts. (2024). Ziegel, Johanna ; Segers, Johan ; Koh, Jonathan ; Allen, Sam. In: LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA. RePEc:aiz:louvad:2024018. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting technological progress. (2025). Lafond, François. In: INET Oxford Working Papers. RePEc:amz:wpaper:2025-10. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | To Bag is to Prune. (2024). Goulet Coulombe, Philippe. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2008.07063. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts. (2024). Plett, Hendrik ; Kruger, Fabian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2210.13562. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Reservoir Computing for Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2211.00363. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting skill of a crowd-prediction platform: A comparison of exchange rate forecasts. (2023). Lehmann, Niklas Valentin. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2312.09081. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Cross-Temporal Forecast Reconciliation at Digital Platforms with Machine Learning. (2024). Wilms, Ines ; Ternes, Marie ; Rombouts, Jeroen. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2402.09033. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Judgment in macroeconomic output growth predictions: Efficiency, accuracy and persistence. (2024). Pedersen, Michael. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2404.04105. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Multiple split approach -- multidimensional probabilistic forecasting of electricity markets. (2024). Nitka, Weronika ; Maciejowska, Katarzyna. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.07795. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Online Distributional Regression. (2024). Hirsch, Simon ; Berrisch, Jonathan ; Ziel, Florian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2407.08750. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data. (2024). Pinto, Gabriele ; Letta, Marco ; Cerqua, Augusto. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2411.09218. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | A data-driven merit order: Learning a fundamental electricity price model. (2025). Ghelasi, Paul ; Ziel, Florian. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2501.02963. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs. (2025). Schorfheide, Frank ; Gonz, Oriol. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2502.03693. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market. (2025). Chke, Katarzyna ; Uniejewski, Bartosz ; Weron, Rafal. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2503.02518. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting Thai inflation from univariate Bayesian regression perspective. (2025). Arwatchanakarn, Popkarn ; Taveeapiradeecharoen, Paponpat. In: Papers. RePEc:arx:papers:2505.05334. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | The Politics of the Paycheck Protection Program. (2024). Zhang, Eden ; Mishra, Prachi ; Lambert, Thomas ; Igan, Deniz. In: Working Papers. RePEc:ash:wpaper:133. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Real-time Nowcasting Growth-at-Risk using the Survey of Professional Forecasters. (2024). Schick, Manuel. In: Working Papers. RePEc:awi:wpaper:0750. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Enhancing the Inventory Management through Demand Forecasting. (2025). Muhammad, Afif Zuhri ; Salleh, Suzila Mat ; Malinjasari, Noor ; Irwan, Mohd Kamarul. In: International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science. RePEc:bcp:journl:v:9:y:2025:i:1:p:2737-2744. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Nexus of environmental, social, and governance performance in China‐listed companies: Disclosure and green bond issuance. (2024). Chen, Shihchih ; Wang, Shanshan ; Ali, Mohd Helmi ; Tseng, Minglang. In: Business Strategy and the Environment. RePEc:bla:bstrat:v:33:y:2024:i:3:p:1647-1660. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting the UK top 1% income share in a shifting world. (2024). Hendry, David ; Doornik, Jurgen ; Castle, Jennifer. In: Economica. RePEc:bla:econom:v:91:y:2024:i:363:p:1047-1074. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Exploring the impact of oil security attention on oil volatility: A new perspective. (2024). Li, Shan ; Wang, LU ; Liang, Chao. In: International Finance. RePEc:bla:intfin:v:27:y:2024:i:1:p:61-80. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Central bank forecasting: A survey. (2024). Sekkel, Rodrigo ; Binder, Carola. In: Journal of Economic Surveys. RePEc:bla:jecsur:v:38:y:2024:i:2:p:342-364. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Interpretable Machine Learning Using Partial Linear Models. (2024). Hué, Sullivan ; Hacheme, Gilles ; Laurent, Sbastien ; Flachaire, Emmanuel. In: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics. RePEc:bla:obuest:v:86:y:2024:i:3:p:519-540. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran. (2024). Gutmann, Jerg ; Farzanegan, Mohammad Reza. In: CESifo Working Paper Series. RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11578. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework. (2024). Xu, Yechi ; Li, Xin ; Wang, Shouyang ; Law, Rob. In: Annals of Tourism Research. RePEc:eee:anture:v:107:y:2024:i:c:s0160738324000689. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Judgment can spur long memory. (2025). Zanetti Chini, Emilio. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:170:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924001970. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | News and firm entry: The role of the waiting option. (2025). Matvieiev, Mykhailo ; Antonova, Anastasiia. In: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:171:y:2025:i:c:s0165188924002264. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Heterogeneity effect of positive and negative jumps on the realized volatility: Evidence from China. (2024). Song, Yuping ; Xu, Yang ; Zhang, Qichao ; Huang, Jiefei. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:136:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324001019. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting the climate-conflict risk in Africa along climate-related scenarios and multiple socio-economic drivers. (2024). Paglialunga, Elena ; Costantini, Valeria ; Tancredi, Andrea ; Conigliani, Caterina. In: Economic Modelling. RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:141:y:2024:i:c:s0264999324002682. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Improving volatility forecasts: Evidence from range-based models. (2024). Fiszeder, Piotr ; Molnar, Peter ; Fadziski, Marcin. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:69:y:2024:i:pb:s1062940823001420. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?. (2024). Su, Yi-Kai ; Tzeng, Kae-Yih. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:74:y:2024:i:c:s1062940824001499. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Reaction of the U.S. Treasury market to economic news when intrapersonal uncertainty and interpersonal disagreement are high. (2025). Ozocak, Onem. In: The North American Journal of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:76:y:2025:i:c:s1062940824002821. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Uncertainty of household inflation expectations: Reconciling point and density forecasts. (2024). Zhao, Yongchen. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:234:y:2024:i:c:s0165176523005128. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting inflation using sentiment. (2024). Eugster, Patrick ; Uhl, Matthias W. In: Economics Letters. RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:236:y:2024:i:c:s0165176524000582. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Reprint of: Out-of-sample tests for conditional quantile coverage: An application to Growth-at-Risk. (2024). Fosten, Jack ; Corradi, Valentina ; Gutknecht, Daniel. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:244:y:2024:i:2:s0304407624000927. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Variable selection in high dimensional linear regressions with parameter instability. (2024). Pesaran, Hashem M ; Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad ; Chudik, Alexander. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:246:y:2024:i:1:s0304407624002513. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Bootstrapping out-of-sample predictability tests with real-time data. (2025). Yao, Yongxu ; McCracken, Michael W ; Gonalves, Slvia. In: Journal of Econometrics. RePEc:eee:econom:v:247:y:2025:i:c:s0304407624002677. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | On the update frequency of univariate forecasting models. (2024). Petropoulos, Fotios ; Spiliotis, Evangelos. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:314:y:2024:i:1:p:111-121. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A new ordinal mixed-data sampling model with an application to corporate credit rating levels. (2024). Calabrese, Raffaella ; Goldmann, Leonie ; Crook, Jonathan. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:314:y:2024:i:3:p:1111-1126. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Combining probabilistic forecasts of intermittent demand. (2024). Kang, Yanfei ; Wang, Shengjie ; Petropoulos, Fotios. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:315:y:2024:i:3:p:1038-1048. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecast accuracy and inventory performance: Insights on their relationship from the M5 competition data. (2025). Spiliotis, Evangelos ; Theodorou, Evangelos ; Assimakopoulos, Vassilios. In: European Journal of Operational Research. RePEc:eee:ejores:v:322:y:2025:i:2:p:414-426. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A two-step dynamic factor modelling approach for forecasting inflation in small open economies. (2024). Wright, Cardel ; Aysun, Uluc. In: Emerging Markets Review. RePEc:eee:ememar:v:62:y:2024:i:c:s1566014124000839. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Technological shocks and stock market volatility over a century. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Demirer, Riza. In: Journal of Empirical Finance. RePEc:eee:empfin:v:79:y:2024:i:c:s0927539824000951. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices with trading applications. (2025). Petukhina, Alla ; Kozmik, Karel ; Kopa, Milos ; Hrdle, Wolfgang Karl ; Agakishiev, Ilyas. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:141:y:2025:i:c:s0140988324007163. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Does Natural Gas Matter for Financial Stability? A SVAR-X Analysis on the European Financial System and Financial Intermediaries. (2025). Marzioni, Stefano ; Spallone, Marco ; Paccione, Cosimo ; Mur, Pina. In: Energy Economics. RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:145:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325002397. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Urban‒rural disparities in household energy and electricity consumption under the influence of electricity price reform policies. (2024). Su, Bin ; Nie, Yan ; Zhong, Luhao ; Zhang, Guoxing. In: Energy Policy. RePEc:eee:enepol:v:184:y:2024:i:c:s0301421523004536. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns. (2024). Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain ; Będowska-Sójka, Barbara ; Hussain, Syed Jawad ; Cakici, Nusret ; Bdowska-Sojka, Barbara ; Zaremba, Adam. In: International Review of Financial Analysis. RePEc:eee:finana:v:94:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924001765. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Fan charts in era of big data and learning. (2024). Baruník, Jozef ; Hanus, Lubo ; Barunik, Jozef. In: Finance Research Letters. RePEc:eee:finlet:v:61:y:2024:i:c:s1544612324000333. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Energy market uncertainties and exchange rate volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS approach. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; Ogbonna, Ahamuefula ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Ji, Qiang. In: Finance Research Letters. RePEc:eee:finlet:v:67:y:2024:i:pb:s1544612324008778. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting Bitcoin volatility using machine learning techniques. (2024). Urquhart, Andrew ; Sangiorgi, Ivan ; Huang, Zih-Chun. In: Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. RePEc:eee:intfin:v:97:y:2024:i:c:s1042443124001306. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Eliciting expectation uncertainty from private households. (2024). Dovern, Jonas. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:113-123. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A market for trading forecasts: A wagering mechanism. (2024). Grammatico, Sergio ; Pinson, Pierre ; Kazempour, Jalal ; Raja, Aitazaz Ali. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:142-159. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Demand forecasting for fashion products: A systematic review. (2024). Venkitasubramony, Rakesh ; Swaminathan, Kritika. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:247-267. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Bayesian herd detection for dynamic data. (2024). Satopaa, Ville A ; Keppo, Jussi. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:285-301. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Conflict forecasting using remote sensing data: An application to the Syrian civil war. (2024). Zhu, Xiao Xiang ; Thurner, Paul W ; Kauermann, Goran ; Racek, Daniel ; Davidson, Brittany I. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:1:p:373-391. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecast combination-based forecast reconciliation: Insights and extensions. (2024). di Fonzo, Tommaso ; Girolimetto, Daniele. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:490-514. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Hierarchical forecasting for aggregated curves with an application to day-ahead electricity price auctions. (2024). Ghelasi, Paul ; Ziel, Florian. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:581-596. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Words or numbers? Macroeconomic nowcasting with textual and macroeconomic data. (2024). Fan, Xinyue ; Jin, Wei ; Zheng, Tingguo ; Fang, Kuangnan. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:746-761. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Financial-cycle ratios and medium-term predictions of GDP: Evidence from the United States. (2024). Moramarco, Graziano. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:777-795. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations. (2024). Pavlova, Lora ; Kruger, Fabian. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:2:p:796-810. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A theory-based method to evaluate the impact of central bank inflation forecasts on private inflation expectations. (2024). Oliveira, Luciano ; da Silva, Tarciso Gouveia ; Vereda, Luciano ; Savignon, Joo. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1069-1084. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Improving models and forecasts after equilibrium-mean shifts. (2024). Hendry, David ; Doornik, Jurgen ; Castle, Jennifer. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1085-1100. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Reservoir computing for macroeconomic forecasting with mixed-frequency data. (2024). van Huellen, Sophie ; Dellaportas, Petros ; Hirt, Marcel ; Grigoryeva, Lyudmila ; Ortega, Juan-Pablo ; Ballarin, Giovanni. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:3:p:1206-1237. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting seasonal demand for retail: A Fourier time-varying grey model. (2024). Shang, Zhongju ; Xie, Naiming ; Ye, Lili ; Boylan, John E. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1467-1485. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Survey density forecast comparison in small samples. (2024). Iacone, Fabrizio ; Coroneo, Laura ; Profumo, Fabio. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1486-1504. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A loss discounting framework for model averaging and selection in time series models. (2024). Griffin, Jim E ; Bernaciak, Dawid. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1721-1733. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Conditionally optimal weights and forward-looking approaches to combining forecasts. (2024). Vasnev, Andrey ; Gibbs, Christopher. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:40:y:2024:i:4:p:1734-1751. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting mail flow: A hierarchical approach for enhanced societal wellbeing. (2025). Babai, Zied M ; Klibi, Walid ; Kafa, Nadine. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:1:p:51-65. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Judgment in macroeconomic output growth predictions: Efficiency, accuracy and persistence. (2025). Pedersen, Michael. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:475-486. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Efficiency of poll-based multi-period forecasting systems for German state elections. (2025). Schnurbus, Joachim ; Haupt, Harry ; Fritsch, Markus. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:670-688. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Does economic uncertainty predict real activity in real time?. (2025). Keijsers, Bart ; van Dijk, Dick. In: International Journal of Forecasting. RePEc:eee:intfor:v:41:y:2025:i:2:p:748-762. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Data transparency and GDP growth forecast errors. (2024). Nguyen, Ha ; Lederman, Daniel ; Islam, Asif ; Gatti, Roberta ; Lotfi, Rana ; Mousa, Mennatallah Emam. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:140:y:2024:i:c:s0261560623001924. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Exchange rate predictability: Fact or fiction?. (2024). Magkonis, Georgios ; Jackson, Karen. In: Journal of International Money and Finance. RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:142:y:2024:i:c:s0261560624000135. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Forecasting the price of oil: A cautionary note. (2024). Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel ; Conlon, Thomas ; cotter, john. In: Journal of Commodity Markets. RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:33:y:2024:i:c:s2405851323000685. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Extrapolating the long-term seasonal component of electricity prices for forecasting in the day-ahead market. (2025). Weron, Rafa ; Uniejewski, Bartosz ; Che, Katarzyna. In: Journal of Commodity Markets. RePEc:eee:jocoma:v:37:y:2025:i:c:s2405851324000680. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Statistical analysis of gold production in South Africa using ARIMA, VAR and ARNN modelling techniques: Extrapolating future gold production, Resources–Reserves depletion, and Implication on South Africas gold exploration. (2024). Mutele, Litshedzani ; John, Emmanuel. In: Resources Policy. RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:93:y:2024:i:c:s0301420724004434. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Measuring wholesale electricity price risk from climate change: Evidence from Portugal. (2024). Fuinhas, Jos Alberto ; Entezari, Negin. In: Utilities Policy. RePEc:eee:juipol:v:91:y:2024:i:c:s0957178724001309. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Development of multi-forecasting model using Monte Carlo simulation coupled with wavelet denoising-ARIMA model. (2025). Parmar, Kulwinder Singh ; Singh, Sarbjit ; Kumar, Jatinder. In: Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM). RePEc:eee:matcom:v:230:y:2025:i:c:p:517-540. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks. (2025). Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo. In: Journal of Monetary Economics. RePEc:eee:moneco:v:151:y:2025:i:c:s030439322400182x. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Technical indicators and aggregate stock returns: An updated look. (2025). Shi, QI. In: Journal of Multinational Financial Management. RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:77:y:2025:i:c:s1042444x25000027. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Energy-related uncertainty and international stock market volatility. (2024). Salisu, Afees ; Ogbonna, Ahamuefula ; GUPTA, RANGAN ; Bouri, Elie. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:95:y:2024:i:c:p:280-293. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM. (2024). Wang, Xing ; Liang, Chao. In: The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:98:y:2024:i:c:s1062976924001339. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Optimal planning for hybrid renewable energy systems under limited information based on uncertainty quantification. (2024). Feng, Wei ; Wu, Xia ; Tian, Zhe ; Li, Xiaoyuan ; Niu, Jide. In: Renewable Energy. RePEc:eee:renene:v:237:y:2024:i:pd:s0960148124019347. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | A systematic review towards integrative energy management of smart grids and urban energy systems. (2024). Zheng, Zhuang ; Luo, Xiaowei ; Wang, Shengwei ; Shafique, Muhammad. In: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. RePEc:eee:rensus:v:189:y:2024:i:pb:s136403212300881x. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Inflation returns. Revisiting the role of external and domestic shocks with Bayesian structural VAR. (2024). Szafranek, Karol ; Szafraski, Grzegorz ; Leszczyska-Paczesna, Agnieszka. In: International Review of Economics & Finance. RePEc:eee:reveco:v:93:y:2024:i:pa:p:789-810. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | High inflation during Russia–Ukraine war and financial market interaction: Evidence from C-Vine Copula and SETAR models. (2024). Sami Ayad, Mina ; Hamza, Taher ; Mili, Mehdi ; ben Haj, Hayet. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:70:y:2024:i:pb:s0275531924001776. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | State-dependent pricing of monetary policy nonlinearities and inflation at risk for China. (2025). Xiao, Qiang ; Cao, Honghong ; He, Yongda ; Oxley, Les. In: Research in International Business and Finance. RePEc:eee:riibaf:v:75:y:2025:i:c:s0275531925000170. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Predicting policy funding allocation with Machine Learning. (2025). Resce, Giuliano ; Vaquero-Pieiro, Cristina ; Caravaggio, Nicola. In: Socio-Economic Planning Sciences. RePEc:eee:soceps:v:98:y:2025:i:c:s0038012125000242. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Investigating the diffusion of innovation: A comprehensive study of successive diffusion processes through analysis of search trends, patent records, and academic publications. (2024). Bastos, Julio Cesar ; Scornavacca, Eusebio ; Takahashi, Carlos Kazunari. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:198:y:2024:i:c:s0040162523006765. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Addressing Google Trends inconsistencies. (2024). Domenech, Josep ; Cebrian, Eduardo. In: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524001148. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | External arms embargoes and their implications for government expenditure, democracy and internal conflict. (2024). Murshed, Syed Mansoob ; Dizaji, Sajjad Faraji. In: World Development. RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:173:y:2024:i:c:s0305750x23002280. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Practice Makes Perfect: Learning Effects with Household Point and Density Forecasts of Inflation. (2024). Shiroff, Taylor ; Mitchell, James ; Braitsch, Hana. In: Working Papers. RePEc:fip:fedcwq:99062. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Electrification of Public Urban Transport: Funding Opportunities, Bus Fleet, and Energy Use Forecasts for Poland. (2024). Batg, Jacek ; Mojsiewicz, Magdalena ; Pluskota, Przemysaw. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:17:y:2024:i:23:p:6140-:d:1537660. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Long-Term Multi-Resolution Probabilistic Load Forecasting Using Temporal Hierarchies. (2025). Zareipour, Hamidreza ; Bahman, Shafie. In: Energies. RePEc:gam:jeners:v:18:y:2025:i:11:p:2908-:d:1670138. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | State-Dependent Model Based on Singular Spectrum Analysis Vector for Modeling Structural Breaks: Forecasting Indonesian Export. (2024). Prastyo, Dedy ; Sasmita, Yoga ; Kuswanto, Heri. In: Forecasting. RePEc:gam:jforec:v:6:y:2024:i:1:p:9-169:d:1337728. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting Follies: Machine Learning from Human Errors. (2025). Zhao, Yongchen ; Sun, LI. In: JRFM. RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:2:p:60-:d:1579096. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | DeepONet-Inspired Architecture for Efficient Financial Time Series Prediction. (2024). Chen, Meng ; Bao, Shudi ; Ahmad, Zeeshan. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:24:p:3950-:d:1544536. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Transformer-Based Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with Explanatory Variables. (2025). Oliveira, Jos Manuel ; Caetano, Ricardo ; Ramos, Patrcia. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:5:p:814-:d:1602666. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | Forecasting of Inflation Based on Univariate and Multivariate Time Series Models: An Empirical Application. (2025). Khan, Faridoon ; Rodrigues, Paulo Canas ; Alharbi, Abdulmajeed Atiah ; Iftikhar, Hasnain ; Allohibi, Jeza. In: Mathematics. RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:7:p:1121-:d:1623158. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2025 | An Improved Grey Prediction Model Integrating Periodic Decomposition and Aggregation for Renewable Energy Forecasting: Case Studies of Solar and Wind Power. (2025). Ran, Minghao ; Wang, Yingchao ; Qin, Qilu ; Huang, Jindi ; Jiang, Jiading. In: Sustainability. RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:11:p:5009-:d:1667814. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
2024 | Sir David Hendry: An Appreciation from Wall Street and What Macroeconomics Got Right. (2024). Guerard, John B. In: Working Papers. RePEc:gwc:wpaper:2024-001. Full description at Econpapers || Download paper | |
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1987 | The UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects..(1987) In: Oxford Review of Economic Policy. [Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 0 | article | |
1987 | The World and UK Economy: Analysis and Prospects. In: Oxford Review of Economic Policy. [Citation analysis] | article | 0 |
2010 | Forecasting from Mis-specified Models in the Presence of Unanticipated Location Shifts In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 2 |
2001 | Modelling Business Cycle Features Using Switching Regime Models In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 3 |
2001 | MODELLING BUSINESS CYCLE FEATURES USING SWITCHING REGIME MODELS..(2001) In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 3 | paper | |
2012 | Forecasting by factors, by variables, or both? In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 4 |
2016 | An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 22 |
2016 | An Overview of Forecasting Facing Breaks.(2016) In: Journal of Business Cycle Research. [Full Text][Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 22 | article | |
1991 | Testing Structural Hypotheses by Encompassing : Us Wages and Prices is the Mark-Up Pricing Hypothesis Dead? In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
1992 | On the Limitations of Comparing Mean Square Forecast Errors. In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] | paper | 46 |
1992 | Forecasting in Cointegrated Systems. In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] | paper | 26 |
1989 | THE ESTIMATION AND TESTING OF COINTEGRATING VECTORS: A SURVEY OF RECENT APPROACHES AND AN APPLICATION TO THE U.K. NON-DURABLE CONSUMPTION FUNCTION. In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] | paper | 5 |
1990 | THE MATHEMATICAL STRUCTURE OF MODELS THAT EXHIBIT COINTEGRATION: A SURVEY OF RECENT APPROACHES. In: Economics Series Working Papers. [Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2009 | Forecast Combination and Encompassing In: Palgrave Macmillan Books. [Citation analysis] | chapter | 14 |
2007 | Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US Output Growth In: Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 11 |
2011 | Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models In: Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 2 |
2007 | Macroeconomic Forecasting with Mixed Frequency Data: Forecasting US Output Growth In: Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 12 |
2011 | Improving Real-time Estimates of Output Gaps and Inflation Trends with Multiple-vintage Models In: Working Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 4 |
2023 | Do Professional Forecasters Phillips Curves Incorporate the Beliefs of Others? In: Economics Discussion Papers. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2018 | Assessing Macro-Forecaster Herding: Modelling versus Testing In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2014 | Measuring Macroeconomic Uncertainty: US Inflation and Output Growth In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 10 |
2014 | Anticipating Early Data Revisions to US GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2014 | Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate Their Differences? In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 7 |
2015 | Do US Macroeconomic Forecasters Exaggerate their Differences?.(2015) In: Journal of Forecasting. [Full Text][Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 7 | article | |
2014 | Assessing the Evidence of Macro- Forecaster Herding: Forecasts of Inflation and Output Growth In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2015 | Assessing Macro Uncertainty In Real-Time When Data Are Subject To Revision In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 9 |
2017 | Assessing Macro Uncertainty in Real-Time When Data Are Subject To Revision.(2017) In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 9 | article | |
2015 | Forecasters Disagreement about How the Economy Operates, and the Role of Long-run Relationships In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2016 | Are Macro-Forecasters Essentially The Same? An Analysis of Disagreement, Accuracy and Efficiency In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2016 | Sir Clive W.J. Grangers Contributions to Forecasting In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 0 |
2017 | Data Revisions and Real-time Probabilistic Forecasting of Macroeconomic Variables In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 1 |
2020 | Individual Forecaster Perceptions of the Persistence of Shocks to GDP In: ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 4 |
2022 | Individual forecaster perceptions of the persistence of shocks to GDP.(2022) In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] This paper has nother version. Agregated cites: 4 | article | |
1994 | Can Econometrics Improve Economic Forecasting? In: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES). [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 9 |
2002 | Can oil shocks explain asymmetries in the US Business Cycle? In: Empirical Economics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 38 |
2002 | Conditional mean functions of non-linear models of US output In: Empirical Economics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 1 |
2006 | Evaluating the survey of professional forecasters probability distributions of expected inflation based on derived event probability forecasts In: Empirical Economics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 20 |
1999 | On winning forecasting competitions in economics In: Spanish Economic Review. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 24 |
2012 | Improving Real-Time Estimates of Output and Inflation Gaps With Multiple-Vintage Models In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 7 |
2014 | Forecast Uncertainty- Ex Ante and Ex Post : U.S. Inflation and Output Growth In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 78 |
2017 | Predicting Early Data Revisions to U.S. GDP and the Effects of Releases on Equity Markets In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 12 |
2023 | The choice of performance measures, target setting and vesting levels in UK firms Chief Executive Officer equity‐based compensation In: International Journal of Finance & Economics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 0 |
2013 | REAL‐TIME FORECASTING OF INFLATION AND OUTPUT GROWTH WITH AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS IN THE PRESENCE OF DATA REVISIONS In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. [Citation analysis] | article | 37 |
2023 | Density forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models under macroeconomic data uncertainty In: Journal of Applied Econometrics. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 1 |
2015 | Are Professional Macroeconomic Forecasters Able To Do Better Than Forecasting Trends? In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 6 |
2018 | Do Macroforecasters Herd? In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 8 |
2022 | Forecaster Efficiency, Accuracy, and Disagreement: Evidence Using Individual‐Level Survey Data In: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking. [Full Text][Citation analysis] | article | 2 |
1997 | A Comparison of the Forecasting Performance of Markov-Switching and Threshold Autoregressive Models of US GNP In: The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS). [Full Text][Citation analysis] | paper | 5 |
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